UNITED STATES OF AMERICA et al v. MICROSOFT CORPORATION

Filing 120

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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA et al v. MICROSOFT CORPORATION F Doc. 120 Memorandum TO: Ted ROM: Bob SUBJECT: DATE: Hei ntz Ber man Compari son of NYMEX Futures and Refiner Posted Prices September 9 , 1986 Data are for tend to e~ceed losses in falling become more pronounced as the suggests that futures-based- val and are, therefore, and below in rising somewhat above futures in fall i ng markets, markets. The particular period e~amined crude oil and corresponding postings by E~~on, Cities and Conoco. the period June 1985 through August The data tend to support the cl recent average and closingtabulations of comparisons of NYMEX monthly futures prices for West Te~as Intermediate Attached are aim that posted pri ces tend1986. futures, to I ag uati on gains in markets; and this is e~pected to ri si ng markets recovery continues. Thi s e~pectation is reinforced by the observation that short-term price advances tend to be ignored. ti es over some period of time , the posted prices underto royalthey which val ued fell short , on average , of futures and/or spot prices. were a analysis Ii kel y enhance publsimple monitoring and di ng a system would i c conf i dence by provi In the near term I bel i eve the suggestive of a number potential program modifications; data are and, at a minimum that some further more detailed analysis is i ndi cated. tend to contradi frequentl y heard assertion that the government would !!~!~! do better by assessing based on posted prices rather than on spot or It mi ght be desi rabl e, therefore, in future regulfutures ati ons to include a provision applicable to non- arm s length transacand/or program perspecti From a pol icy indicate The data royalties pri ces. ct the ti ons that woul d requi re an upward adj ustment if, agai ns~ relying on the result of a nonarm s length sale. It could also provi the Secretary wi th a strong response to ti cs who may resources are under- val ued for royal cri purposes; ty well as to provide an " ear~y warning of market prices. If regulatory change"weredivergence of posted and deemed desirable in future, the monitoring system would provide the basis. charge that de check the following pages I describe the leading to the conclusions supporting the empirical observations above recommendations. EXHIBIT J;J In the IbEtJvfAN RB 0283 Dockets.Justia.com C omp ar i son of X Futures and Ref i ner Post , Prices Page 2 Empirical Observations del ayed unti I the end of the quarter, and margi nal at that. Al though the The data show that al though the market val ue of WTI increased fourth quarter of Exxon did to thi s increase, and the response1985, ti es and not respond by Ci Conoco was during most of the down-turn that began I ate December 1985 was initially " recognized" by refiners at about the same noted in the market refiners were slower in recognizing the magnitude of the down-turn. The attached graphs showing monthly (day weighted) average posted prices compared with NYMEX in time closing price from the clearly show the lagging nature of posted prices, as well as the strong relationship between futures prices and refiner postings. prior month (for current deliveries) the almost immediately. duri ng the second quarter of 1986 whi ch was vi rtuall y ignored by Exxon and only marginally recognized by Cities and Conoco in setting posted prices. The subsequent down-turn, at the beginning of the thi rd quarter, however appeared to have been recogni zed were stabl e (unresponsi ve?) The short-term price advance during the fourth quarter of 1985 went unnoticed by Ex~on, and received little attention from Cities and Conoco. Similarly, there was a brief price run- duri ng 1985, several months wi thout change; but were much less stabl dur i ng a month. Posted pri ces responsive?) during 1986 sometimes changing 4 or more goi ng (more ti mes phenomenon is also shown by the comparisons and corresponding graph of Price Difference. from NYMEX Relative to Market Movement. The graph shows that, for all three of the refiners e~amined differences between (lagged) futures prices tended to be positive in markets and negati ve in bear markets. That the bull ish markets tended to be associ ated wi th wi th greater di fferenti al s is somewhat vi sabl e on quantified on the accompanying This The aggi ng behavi or of spot pri ces is al so shown by the tabl e and posted prices bull this graph, and Changes. table. of Monthly Price Anal ysi s and Tentati ve Cone! usi ons y to drawi about general or from the Ii mi ted exper i ence over the last 15 months. One conclusion however, appears irrefutable. The claim that " we will !!.~!~! do better by basing our valuation for royal ty purposes on posti ngs rather than spot or futures market prices " is most certainly false, as shown by the actual history. behavi The usual caveats must, of course, appl ng concl usi ons RB 0284 Compari son of ~ Futures and Refiner Posi j Prices Page 3 offered is based on the notion that the NYMEX closing price in month t is the value of the commodity month t+1. Thi s is true because: The valuation approach Pri aarreches lassociated with trades prior to the final trade prices in a disequilibrium transactions market (ala M s al ) . The pri ce associ ated wi th the ast trade of the last day has the properties of a Marshallian final settlement price, and in this sense should be regarded an equi 1 i bri um pri ce. settl ement pri ce. All open post t ions f or the month The final are closed at the final settlement price in month t is for during month t+1. del i veri es Two variations on this approach are offered. In the simple case, the differentials are calculated between the NYMEX closing price average price " offered" by refiners existing connot to all suppliers) during the following month. These differentials were then totaled and averaged over the indicated periods. The results show that, whether for the latter half of 1986 (except for Exxon), or the combined market and tracthe ts, (on 1985, valuations exceeded characterized the first half of 1986. Tentati vel y, posti ngs tended to be above futures duri ng the sharp decl ine that the refinery period, postings examined. Exxon tion to production (relative to refining or distribution). Ex~on, thi s may suggest a resi stance on the part of the larger integrated majors Cand mini-majors) to drop postings the face of a market decline. Empirically, this is suggested by the greatest Cposi ti ve) di fferenti al on bal ance, bei ng that of Cities the company with least (of the three) relative orientathe I argest of the three, oriented, e~hibited the greatest resistance to the price decline. and the most reI ati vel y producti on A resistance to price declines by major , integrated oil companies consi stent wi th the rel ati ve concentrati on of tax advantages upstream in the process , as well as the undesirable bal ance sheet impact of the lower price resulting in a decline in the value is the reserves asset. variation on this approach, I attempted to adjust for arguable timing differential between purchases under postings varyi ng 1 i ves and NYMEX hedg i ng on random days dur i ng month t as compared to the final settlement price in month Specifically, As t. NYMEX monthly theval ues over the average and the cl osi ng pri ce, and averaged these calculated the differentials between the from the average posting differentials to obtain the value less the adjustment. The particular adjustment does not affect any of the overall conclusions , but simply reduces the impact. indicated periods. The average differential was then subtracted Compari son of NY; ; Futures and Ref i ner Pos~ Pri ces Page 4 The " longer-term " view ascribed to majors, with respect to price postings appears to be somewhat seem to ignore upward movements in the market asymmetrical. That quickly to market indications of a down-turn. This pattern would seem to be consistent with risk aversion if risk associated wi th earni ngs as opposed to crude avai I ab i lit y. relatively short-lived (e.g. 3 to 6 months) but respond more pri ce that may be is, postings is of both spot and futures prices. It has also been reported that refiner postings also were quickly T i " conclus ohssthedlastiaon , weeks. The recentl y be " tested"OPEC cut-back f ulte in few however, should also announced by the events re rapid run-up adjusted upwards. Early a noti on of somewhat do not seem to be wi th as posted pri ces i ncreasi ng rapi dl y as futures pri ces. asymmetri cal behavi or, data, however, tend to be consistent RB 0286 1 - I QI"UII 11\ aJ II tnll 0 N~O~N~IOIIJ' -~CD 0 "ItlIJ'O O0 0 IJ' N CD N ,., O ~ NOI J ~ CD ~ ZU 1/1 II .... tn II -I II) II 0 - IlJ 0 "It N ,., IlJ "It NNNNN,.".,NN-----CD CD tn II 1: -iJ II ~l II .... II W CliO 111011.,101001000000001010 II O~~~IlJ"'OIOOOOOONN II ~IDIDID~CDIJ"'It~"It,.,IO"It-"It II NNNNNNNN------10 ,., ,., "It NNC\JNNNNN------IlJ ID ID CD IJ' IlJ cr. 0 II a. II QlIlIOIOIOIOOIOOOCDOO~"It1J'1lJ II) II tnll O~~~ID"'O"'IDOOCD-CDO L-. II aJ II ,. II cr II 11 f'1 1/1 II tn II 1: -iJ -iJ II '... II W 111 II CliO 111010101010000000001010 II NNNNNOOOOOOOIONN II II ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ CD CD 10 ,., ,., 10 f(') NC\JNC\JNNNN------"It 0 II a. II 1)1 (!) II .... II aJ 1l1O1O1C11O1O00NIOIDID0"-'1Of(') 0'111 II) II NNNNNOO"'~CDIDOIJ'~- L. II ~~~~~CDCDIOID"'N"Itf(')-f(') QI II roJ N N N N N N N - - - - - - - cr II 111 II 0'1 II 1: ,. II II .... II W -iJ II ~l II III CliO II OOOOOOOO~OIOOONN II CD CD CD CD CD CD CD 10 CD 10 000000001000001010 ,., "It "It N "It II C\JNNC\JNC\JNC\J------- a. II II aJ II OOOOOOOOCD--IONf(')ID II 0111 II 11\ OOOOOOONIO-N"It-1J'1J' D II) II W II ,. II cr QI II 0 L- II"" II L. II CD CD CD CD CD CD CD II aJ II "It f(') "It N N NNNNNNNNN------ ::J -iJ ::J II aJ 11111 ~lll II OOIJ'NQjN"'IJ'~QjO"ltIJ'~1lJ N~O~N~IOIO-~NOIDON -iJ II I.L. II II ~~CDCDO-IDO"ltN"'ID"It-1O ::III U II NNNN"'f(')NN------- ::I II W II 1: II O'IIIIJ'N~N"It~-(1\"ItIlJ~Nf(')IOL." ID~~CDIJ'O~NIONNIOf(')-1O aJ II cr II ,. II QI " 10 ~ 10 roJ CD f(') 10 IlJ N IlJ ID CD CD r,j NNNNNf'1NN------C.D .., I.L. l. L. 111 e.... 0'Ia.-iJ ,. (J ::I ::J ::I QJ II .., cr Ul 0 Z 0 ", II It") II CD iJ " cr 1: .., .., cr a.", ~C- ::I ::I II - II IJ' IJ' RB 0287 Monthly Prices NYMEX Logged Close vs EXXON Averoge c.. 1S ::0 I\) Jun Jul Aug Sap Oct Nov Dee Jan feb Months: 1985 - 1986 Mar Apr May Ju n Jul Aug NYMEX EXXON .... .::0, Monthly Prices NYMEX Logged CITGO Average Close vs a.. Jun Jul Aug Sap Oct Nav Dee Jan reb Mo Nnths: 1985 - 1986 YMEX Mar CITGO Apr May Jun Jul Aug ..... Monthly Prices NYMEX Lagged Close vs CONOCO Average to- a.. ::0 0::1 Jun Jul Aug Sap Oct Nov Dee Jan feb M Nonths: EX- 1986 YM 1985 Mar CONOCO Apr May Ju Jul Aug Changes in month I y pr 1 ees Changes EOM NYMEX Changes EXXON EO t1 Changes CITGO CONOCO Changes EOM NYMEX Date Average Close Average Average Average Lagged 1 . 34 1 . 97 Close 1985 O. 39 1. .J u I -0. 1. 26 1. 25 1 . 44 Rug Oct O. 75 18 Sep O. 75 O. 39 Nov Dee O. 00 O. 85 O. 75 O. 65 3. 37 1 . 56 1 . 44 1986 J an Feb O. 14 Mar Rpr -3. -4. -7. -2. -5. -5. -6. -1. -3. -6. -3. -1. -7. -6. -2. -1. -2. -2. -6. -4. -2. -2. -3. -2. -1. -2. -5. -5. -6. -1. 1 . 04 1.17 t1ay Jun -1. 19 -0. -5. -5. -1. -0. -1. - 2. 1 . 38 -2. -8. -2. -1. 1 . 34 -0. JuI 4. 19 Rug -1. -1. -1. -3. - O. 1 . 01 -1. - 3. 62 i') ..0 ... Monthly Price Changes NYMEX Logged Close vs CITGO Average II) a.. :=0 I\) Jut Aug Sep Oct Nay Dee Jal1 feb Mo Nnths: 1985 - 1986 YMEX Mar CITGO Apr M ay Jun Jut Aug ..0 (11 ... Monthly Price Change NYMEX Lagged Close vs CONOCO Average n.. Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee Jan feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug NYMrX Months: 1985 - 1986 CONOeO J EXHIBIT 'li3f~MAN ;J R. Berman . 10/28/86 Crude Oil Royalty Valuation Moni tori ng System expressed concern about how some of the approaches would be ap l ed and certainty which it faces thpeieamount about the lack of the Federal government. concerning of royal ti es due Moreover som of the existing or proposed methodologies are highly data intensive and involve detailed analyses that i are kel y to resul t in hi gh admi ni strati ve costs.f done properly, 1i approaches for handl i ng non-arm ' s-l ength contracts. MMS draft product valuation regulations suggest a number of Industry has the Secretary greater of val ti ons, a regul atory change coul d be i ndi cated; and procedure would have provided an " early warning result in cedure serves as a continuing validation of the Moreover if posted prices do over an extended period of time higher royalties relative to free- market determina- in the hi ghest royal ti es. An al ternati ve val uati on procedure, particul arl y one that is market-based , would also be beneficial in responding to criticism by Congress and the GAO. I f posted pri ces are, by and large, equal to or above market pri ces, the al ternati ve val uati on pro" to resul t Oi I Val uati on Panel is recommendi ng that posted pri ces be the basis for royalty valuation , including valuation of affiliate (non- arm s-length) transactions. Representatives of the oil industry have claimed that posted prices are the only reasonable way to proceed ~ and that historically has resulted in the highest royalty valuations. Since the Secretary is authorized to collect royal ti es on the greater of val ue or prudence woul d di ctate the development of a moni tori ng 1 anal ysi s system claim relative to the and to the The tocve~ifyconti nues that pro edure " gross proceeds, past, ensure not, program. the moni tori ng over some regulations might ue or gross proceeds, a potenti al is authorized to collect royalties based revi That is, since ues. thpeoaehreasons it may be desi rabl e to ex pI ore al ternati ve s c es to product ap r additional study is needed if there logically and empirically, that posted is reason to believe prices may not reflect value. and that require an upward adjustment to royalties if given period of time the posted prices which they were val ued fell short on average of market val For on the si on to the under val ue for non- arm ' s-l ength si tuati ons. That posted market val ue in non- arm ' s-l ength transacti ons; prices may sometimes understate market RB0298 Crude Oil Valuation Monitoring System ae titenstructure, subject to change and tax !D~ r2~!!!~the entity eserally.is transfer s, given the needs of opportuni; and Such g strategi c goal parties of opposing economic interests, and may not be unilateraly altered by either party. If parties are affiliated the transfer price will be that which maximizes after-tax profits ~2 ~Q! ~2metQ!~ !Q~t~~; may therefore reflect the corpor- not obligated price results from a trade or transaction between willing, but Economi c theory suggests that pri ces II negoti ated" between affiliated parties are not, ~ 2!:!.2!:!., market prices. . A market market pri ces. anal ysi s. There is , prices may or may not coincide with therefore, a I ogi cal basi s for further futu~es, specifically West Texas are cu~rentl yas any other commodity Mercanti Intermediate traded on the New York Exchange (NYMEX) much the same (e.g., eggs, wheat, pork bellies). Since the NYMEX is an organized commodities marCrude oil (WT I) , 1e ment of Energy (DOE) used NYMEX WT I futures pri ces to establ i sh miDim~m bi d pri ces in its 1985 test sal e of crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), and has proposed to use spot market prices in determining sale prices from NPR-l. NYMEX also frequently used as a basis for contracting tween private parties. Futures prices are generally believed to lead posted commodity markets most closely conform the classical definition of competitive markets NYMEX prices may be r~garded as a good measure of market In fact, the Depart- ket and since to value. prices are be- and are , peri od market markets below postings; and thus royalty collections based on prices would be expected to have been lower over this Thi s the~efore expected to be above posti ngs si ng and below postings in falling markets. Since the time consi dered was predomi natel y and dramati call y a fall i ng the hypothesis is that NYMEX prices should generally in ri prices, period. NYMEX comparisons of NYMEX monthly average and closing futures paper reports the resul ts of recent tabul ati ons and and based on futures pri ces. Data are for paper for WTI and corresponding postings by Exxon, Cities Conoco. the peri od June 1985 through August Thi s al so di scusses some possi bl e approaches to crude val uati on prices 1986. prices tend to lag futures the data do not support the expectation that thet NYMEX prices would be below postings. Specifically the parti cul ar peri od exami ned suggests that futures-based-val uarising markets tend to e~ceed losses falling and thi s is expected to become more pronounced the Al though the data tend to support the bel i ef that posted markets; tion gains in current recovery conti nues. Thi s expectat be ref ected in posted pr ices. ion is rei in if the observation that short-term market price advances tend not to nforced RB 0299 Crude Oi I Val uati on Moni tori ng System heard asserti on that More importantly, the data tend to contradict the frequently the government woul d !!.~!~! assessi ng royal ties based on posted pri ces rather than' on spot or futures prices. On the contrary, for the time period examined -- do ~etter le gt thnpph rtransactions, could have been higher had valuation been on e basis of futures prices. su o t for further analysis, Thus. in addition to theoretical empirical period over which posted prices might be expe~ted to futures prices -- royalty collections associated with non-exceed arm sLlppor t . there is also definite The empirical observations and analyses leading to the above con~l usi ons are des~ri bed below. Empi ri ~al Observati ons The d~ta show (see Exhi bi ts 1 and 2) that al though the market value of WTI increased during most of the fourth quarter of 1985 thi s increase was not ref ected in postings by Exxon and anI y marg i naIl y ref I e~ted in post i ngs by I ate in the quarter. Al though Ci ti es and Cono~o, as it oc~ured in the futures the m!go!~~~! of the price decline was refle~ted in the futures market sooner than in refinery postings. The attached graphs showing monthly (day weighted) average posted prices compared with the NYMEX closing price from the prior month (for current deliveries) clearly show the lagging the down-turn that began late in December 1985 was initially reflected in refinery postings at about the same time market, nature of posted prices, between futures prices and refiner as well as the strong relationship postings. marginally refle~ted in those of Cities and Conoco. Similarly, there was a br i ef mar ket pr ice advance duri ng the second quarter of 1986 which was not reflected in Exxon s posting, and had only small impact on the pr ices posted by Ci ti es and Conoco. The subsequent market pri ce decl i ne, at the begi nni ng of the thi rd quarter , however , appeared to have been reflected immediately. The short~term NYMEX price advance during the fourth quarter of 1985 was not reflected in Exxon s posted prices, and and only possi bl e spectrum of strong crude supply position. Cities was selected as the classic independent with weak native crude availability. Conoco is in the middle -- a " mini major " or " major independent" ref i ners. Exxon was sel ected as the cl assi c integrated major -- strongly oriented towards production, and The three compani es were set ected to represent the broadest RB 0300 : 1Q QI"UII 1/1 QI II C I O'lli . .-I 0 0 0 IJ' N CD N ,., IJ' ~ OJ ON~O~N~II1I11-~N0 "ItDO OI IJ' ~ CD ~ OJ CD 0 - IlJ 0 N N N N N f'1 ,., N N "It N ,., ID ZU /1 " 0'111 "It -I II) II t:Q ::I: 0'1 II :r -iJ II 0000000 0~~~ID"'01l100000NN CliO II ~IDIDID~OJIJ'.~"Itf'1I11"1t-"It II 111 IIi II 111 111 111 111 111 111 " NNNNNNNN------O~~~ID"'OIt')IDOOCD-CDO ~ CD IJ' IlJ IJ' 111 ,., f'1 "It c.. II 0 II QllIlI1l11l1iIl101l100CDOO~"It1J'1lJ 0'111 II) II U" 0" 111 GI" cr II ,. II L- II ~ IlJ IlJ ID NNNNNNNN------f'1 111 " tn" :r II NNNNNOOOOOOOIl1NN -iJ 11\ 1111111111111111100000000111111 -iJ II 11\ II '... 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" :III U" N N N N ,., ,., N N "It - In W II :r " Z" 1/1 GIll cr " O'IIIIJ'N~N"It~-IJ"'ItIlJ~N"'II1L- 1I1lJ~~OJIJ'O~NII1NNII1"'-1I1 II) II I" 1I1~II1NOJ"'II1~IDNIlJIDOJCDN NNNNN,.,NN------0'Ia.-iJ ::I ::I ::I II) II) -iJ " :) 0 c.c L- L. :JIC"" a.II) QlII.,., cr: If\ 0 Z 0 ., cr :r ., II' II II) ::I ::I I.L. :r .., cr II) II 111 II CD IJ' IJ' RB 030 1 LxHInn 2' Monthly Prices NY~rX Logged Close V!; EXXON Averoge \J1 a.. ;;0 Jun Aug Jul Sap Oct Nev Dee Jon feb Mo Nnth~: 1985 - 1986 YMEX Mar EXXON Apr M ay Jun Jut Aug i') (,.) LXH IE IT ./ hllonthly Prices t~YMEX Logged Close Averoge vs CITGO Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee Jan feb Mo NnthM1985 - 1986 Ys: EX Mar CITGO Apr M ay Jun Jul Aug O:J C/o) LxHIBIT Monthly Prices NYMEX logged Close vs CONOCO Average to- CL. ;:0 0::1 Jun Aug Jul Sap Oct Nov Dee Jon Fab Months: 1985 - 1986 Mor Apr M ay Jun Jut Aug ,1:1.. NYMEX eOHOeO Crude Oil Valuation Monitoring System ness to market fluctuations. Posted prices were stable during 1985, going several months without change; but that stability also indicates lack responsi veness to changi ng short-term market condi ti on5. Posted prices were much less stable during 1986 , sometimes changing 4 or more times during a month; suggesting a much greater responsive- Relative to Market Movement (see Exhibits 3 and 4). The graph shows that, for all three of the refiners examined, differences between (lagged) futures prices and posted prices tended to positive in rising markets and negative in falling markets. That the ris1ng markets tended to be associated with with greater d1fferences is somewhat visible on the graph (Exhibit 4), and Exhi bi ts T table he lagging behavior ,graph of Price Differences fromby the and corresponding of posted prices is also shown NYMEX quantified on the accompanying table (Exhibit 3). This phenomenon also shown by the comparisons of Monthly Price Changes (see is 5 and 6). Anal ysi s and Tentati ve Concl usi ons The usual caveats must of course , appl y to drawi ng conci ugeneral behavi or from 1 i mi ted data appl yi ng to three firms over the last 15 One conclusion , however , appears The claim that " we will !~~!~! do better by basing our valuation, for royalty purposes, on postings rather than spot futures market prices " is most certainly false, as shown by si ons about irrefutable. Prior months. the actual hi story. or to discussing the analysis it is necessary to first define some terms or posted prices (alone) are used as the measure of val ue there is no confusi on as to whi ch pri ce At any given point in time a particular refiner has toly one posted price for a particular crude use. on use. in concepts. If using NYMEX prices as a standard, an initial question to address is which price to That is, since transactions may occur at several di fferent pri ces throughout a day, week, and month, it is necessary to specify which price, or combination of prices, is to be used as the measure of val ue. The suggested val uati on approach on the notion that the NYMEX closing price, nearmonth contracts, month t is the value of the commodity in month t+1. This is true because: in location. That posted price is the commodity value tions with that refiner during the posting life. for transac- particular However, in is based on definition of market terminology is included in the appendi~ to this paper. The appendix also includes a more detailed discus- si on of mar ket operat ions rel ati ve to crude val uat i on. RB 0305 -------- ----------LxHInn 5 ------ ------ Difference bet~een HYMEX closing in prior month and the indicated month ayerage HYMEX yalues are contemporaneous differences~ prices. price NYMEX Close EXXON Date CITGO CONOCO 1985 Jun Ju I Rug Delta -0. Sep O. 09 O. 72 1 . 47 1.21 -0. -0. -0. 3. 72 O. 00 O. 75 1 . 34 1. 12 Oc t Noy 1 . 93 2. 72 1986 J an Feb O. 16 Dee Mar Rpr -0. -2. -1. -0. 1. 31 1 . 92 1 . 76 O. 91 O. 31 O. 12 2. 1 May Ju I Rug Jun -0. -0. -1. -1. -0. -1. -2. -0. -0. -0. 1 . 90 -0. -1. Means: Less Rdj 1 . 35 Less Rdj Less Adj 1. 35 O. 91 0:1 6-12 /85 1- 8 /86 -0. -0. O. 15 -0. 1. 1.14 6/85-8/86 1 . 08 O. 77 O. 71 Specifically, the ~ffiX close delta is the contemporaneous difference (e.g., June close less June barrels. The average) lagged (e.g., the June value is shown for July sinse it applies to July NY11EX average difference. adjustment is the refinery average difference less (algebraically) the and - 17 = . 44 -- 26 . For example, . 37 = . 82 - . 44 ...... ExHIBIT 4 Price Differences from NYM EX Relative to Market Movement CJ) QIt QIt :;0 tXJ 28. 00 EXXON 27. 20 27. 70 28. 09 28. 72 30. 28 31.72 26. 53 20. 59 14. 17 12. 78 13. Z0 16. 04 14. 69 HYMEX Clos1ng Pr1ce Logged 11. CJ,) CITGO CONOCO ()) -------- ------- -------- ------- -------- ------- -------- ------------------ ------- ------ ---LXHIBIT :" Changes in monthly prices CONOCO NYMEX Changes EXXON EOM Changes CITGO Changes EOM Changes EOM NYMEX Date Average Close Average Average Average Lagged 1 . 34 1 . 97 Close 1985 O. 32 JuI Rug O. 39 O. 00 1 . 56 -0. O. 75 O. 75 Sep Oct 1. 26 1. 25 1 . 44 18 Nov O. 75 1. 56 1 . 44 Dee 1986 J an Feb O. 14 Mar Apr - 1 . 50 -3. -4. -7. -2. - 3. 00 - 6. 25 - 3. 75 -5. -5. -6. -1. -7. -6. -2. -1. -2. 1 . 38 May -2. -6. -4. -2. -2. 1.17 -2. -3. -2. -1. 1. -5. -5. -6. -1. Jun -1. 80 4. 19 JuI -1. Aug -1. -3. -1. -0. -5. -5. -1. -0. -1.19 -2. -8. -2. -1. 1 . 34 -0. -2. -0. 1 . 01 -1. -3. :=0 CJo) ..... LxH IE IT Monthly Price Changes NYMEX Lagged Close V$ EXXON Average to- ;;c Jun Aug Jul Sep Oct Nav Dee Jon Month~: 1985 - 1986 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul (jI) ...0 NYMEX EXXON (".') -LxH IE IT Monthly Price Changes NYMEX Lagged CITGO Averoge Close vs .-.J n.. ;:0 Jut Sap Oct Aug Nov Dee Jan reb Mo NnthM1985 - 1986 Ys: EX Mar C ITGO Apr Moy Jun Jut Aug u rj;; ~1 -- Mr. Berman procedures; i. e., paid. alternate valuat ion futures and/or spot prices. The implication that posted s is, of course, true to the extent that postings ar offers to bu and do not always reflect ch~nges, and are adj~sted as mar~et conditions requir s analysis speaks to " market- based" wfii! e poste ~Il" vary Sllghtly from actual market pnces, they are The MMS would be hard pressed to defend a posit ion that futures prices are better, more accurate, and more current measures of royalty value for cu rrent product ion than are concu rrent posted prices. oR.c~ 4l~(:)AJ -.6 pnces may, ndo ' were Posti ever, driven El. the market ~senSitive to prices actually marke!./c on ~#l -- Posted prices are widely available. posting relates to oil with the same They exist for nparly ill fields and Further, since a field areas for which royalty valuation is necessary. (qua 1 i ty- based pri ce adjustments are simpl e and accurate. pu rpos es. general quality characteristics, The same cannot I'-' be said for application of spot or futures prices for royalty valuation l ength transact ions. Two ent i rely length (We agree that non-arm rent valuation standards would ~he ~ m~:~~~~~~g ~riOrit transa~tions should receive a 111' hi. ;:! m i!nc;a t'o and gener.) l~the However, lnvestlgated more t ro an ards to which each t e of trans ction i held should be as similar as A real inconsistency would develop if prices received under arm conditions were accepted for royalty valuation purposes while length futures ' ed to non-arm ' 't1 ~ rj exist. ons. arm s- length prices are acceptable for roya y va ua 10n not length prices is purposes, a reasonable proxy for current non-arm futures price, but , rather, an assessment of at is currently bei ng length conditions. obtained under arm Q1 ctl1~'" ?f'~ In summary, even though Mr. Berman s analysis is a scholarly study which provides insight into the workings of the oil futures market , we must disagree with the application of oil futures or spot prices as a basis for royalty length situations. W~ave iqnored the fact that the valuation in non-arm hort period of timp (15 months) during which X"treme-,pricinq volatility took place, and we have not discussed other, more ore lmportant is the mln or disagreements we have with the stu conclusion that, even if the study results do indicate that oil futures prices stu~overM-a- relati~lylead" posted prices, this has ic ~tJJ 'JoTj at the For royalty valuation purposes, we must apply "(i1arketJ value existing roduction or sale. Whether postings are considered to time of urchase il futures pr ces or not, postings re resent are adjusted as necessary 0 conform to market conal 10ns. Further, oil futures and spot prices are available on such a limited basis as to make price adjustments for quality and/or transportation extremely difficult, if not r'\p bearing on our v.:l~i!tion rpc;.ponsihilit;pc;. current meaningless. RB 0321 I "' length situations to verify that the It has been our policy in non-arm posting or other price to be applied for royalty purposes is consistent with length prices. This policy is, we feel, rightly extended in prevailing arm the proposed oil royalty valuation regulations. The continued acceptance of length posti ngs or contract prices is seen as the most equitable, most arm practical, and most easily administered method of royalty valuation ava i 1 ab 1 e. The wides pread exi stence and acceptance of posted pri ces make them much more applicable to specific cases than oil futures or spot prices, both in terms of timi ng and necessary adjustments. try D. Hill RB 0322 4 , Oil Pipeline Rights-of- Way And Royalty Valuation of Oil In California ureaus: BLM / MMS States: California. Issue: Have oil pipelines failed to 9perate as common carriers , contrary to their certification and requirements of the Mineral Leasing Act of 1920 as amended (MLA)? Has such failure led to under-pricing of crude from Federal lands , thus denying the Government proper royalties? Recommendation: The Office of Policy Analysis should co-ordinate and substantively participate in a study of the conunon carrier issue and the royalty valuation issue with the BLM and MMS (initial discussions with BLM and MMS staff indicate favorable disposition). facilitate this , additional infonnation should be sought and obtained as soon as possible Court. California v. including information which may be under protective order issued by the California State Initial Review: An initial examination of testimony and evidence developed in connection with the litigation (hereafter referred to as the Long Chevron, Mobil, Texaco, et. al. Beach II or LB- ll litigation) appears to provide reason to suspect that certain rights-of-way holders may have improperly certified as to their common carrier status as required by Section 28 of the MLA. Moreover , the evidence further appears to provide reason to suspect that. such failure to satisfy MLA common carrier obligations , in conjunction with other practices, has led to a significant under-pricing of crude oil in California. Some of this crude oil was extracted from Federal lands; and some of this was ' subject to Federal royalty payments. Accordingly, any under- pricing would result in valuation below fair market value and subsequent underpayment of royalty obligations. Much of the evidence developed in the LB- ll litigation has not been previously available to the Department. Congressional Interest: Congressman Philip Sharp has recently learned that some of this evidence , including evidence that may be the subject of a California Court protective order , was inadvertently provided to the Department of Commerce as part of an environmental assessment they were conducting concerning allowing the export of California heavy crudes. Congressman Sharp has communicated his interest to Secretary Brown , requesting " copies of all records relating to the operation of oil pipelines in California obtained by the Department of Commerce in the past 12 months. Congressman Sharp has had a long-standing interest and concern in this area , and had inquired about Department knowledge such practices in the past. It is , therefore, reasonable to assume that the Congressman may wish to discuss these matters with the Department of the Interior in the near future. EXHIBIT gel( MAN J!I RBO056 Oil Pipeline Rights-of- Way And Royalty Valuation of Oil In California Page 2 Background: Section 28 of the MLA requires that all pipelines granted rights-of-way over statute Federal lands be operated as a common carrier. Although no definition of a common carrier is contained in either the statute orin Department regulations implementing the , a common law defInition (Black' s Law Dictionary) states " Common carriers are those that hold themselves out to undertake to carry persons or goods indifferently, or of all who choose to legislative history specifically identifies pipelines owned by Associated Oil and Standard Oil , and voiced the concern that " They were not common carriers; they would not take the oil of anybody . "2 unless that person sold it to them at their own price (Emphasis added. ) Section 28 of the MLA was intended to solve that problem. In 1935, integrated oil companies; and , accordingly, Congress required that any oil pipelines crossing lands subject to the MLA be operated as a common carrier so that " these The (independent) producers reach the market which otherwise they could never reach. operated by the employ it. " The legislative history revels that there was concern that the only pipelines were those Interior Secretary Ickes expressed additional concern, and supported in addition an to requiring common carriage, also included a requirement to " accept, convey, transport , and/or purchase without discrimination... in such ",3 proportionate amounts as the Secretary of the Interior may determine to be reasonable expanding the scope of Section 28. That this 1935 amendment was intended to expand the scope of Section 28 is further demonstrated in Interior Secretary Whitaker s 1973 letter to Senator Jackson: " ... The amendment was enacted not to enforce the common carrier provision , but to prevent harm to the public lands and mineral resources of the United amendment that States.... "4 Certain integrated oil companies, by contrast, have long asserted that the effect of the 1935 amendment was to limit the common carrier provision and allow the common carriage requirement to be fulfilled by non-discriminatory purchasing (e. , the price it paid to They have further asserted Department of the Interior others when purchasing). agreement in this interpretation by quoting the Department as fmding that Arm I S length s legal 1 The Solicitor s office is currently preparing a memorandum addressing BLM' questions relative to the common carrier issue. 2 H- 16 at 2. 3 H- ll at 2. 4 H- 6 5 H- 2 at 10. at 62. H- 5 at 25- 27. H- 7 at 7. H-8 at 20. H- 9 at 18. RBO057 Oil Pipeline Rights-of- Way And Royalty Valuation of Oil In California Page 3 purchases and exchanges satisfy the MLA requirement of purchasing without discrimination. "6 However, the same correspondence also stated As to pipelines refusing "7 The to transport oil of another owner, no specific occurrence has been identified. written refusals to transport oil of another owner which surfaced in the LB- II litigation appear to provide basis for reconsideration. Although the BLM has not received any documented complaints , correspondence between independent producers and integrated . oil companies concerning requests for common carriage through pipelines holding rights-of-way pursuant to the MLA is consistently denied. The pipeline companies conSistently and unequivocally state that the pipelines are 10 Indeed , the companies themselves private facilities which transport only their own oil. have stated that " Getty and Texaco have always operated its line privately and have never "11 carried oil for others for compensation. Separately, and independently of the common carrier issue, the MMS has unsuccessfully pursued the under-pricing / royalty valuation issue in California. The basis of prior allegations has peen limited to the inconsistency between (1) posted prices and prices implied by refmery net-back analyses, and (2) gravity differentials in the California market more relative to the mid-continent market. The LB- II litigation appears to offer a common compelling argument by explaining the under-pricing through linkage to the 6 H- 2 Reference is to a memorandum from Assistant Secretary, Land and Minerals Management, to Secretary of the Interior (February 17, 1987); and letter from James M. Hughes, Deputy Assistant Secretary, Land and Minerals Management , to Representative Philip at 64. H- 7 at 8. R. Sharp (April 19 , 1990). 7 Letter from James M. Hughes, Deputy Assistant Secretary, Land and Minerals Management, to Representative Philip R. Sharp (April 19, 1990). S H- 12, H- , and H- 15. 9 Burton J. Stanley in the Office of the Regional Solicitor , Pacific Southwest Region, in commenting on 1991 IG rIDding of lack of compliance, explained the lack of complaints as follows: " The problem arises because there is no state or federal agency capable of assuming regulatory jurisdiction over these pipeline companies. An independent oil producer is indeed unlikely to challenge the operation of a pipeline company in a proprietary manner if, in fact, he can obtain no meaningful relief even if he complained. " (Memorandum BLM. PS. 1308 dated January 14 , 1990 , contained in IG audit report no. 91- 503 dated February 1991.) 10 H- 15. H- 14. 11 H- 2 at 50. RBO058 Oil Pipeline Rights-of- Way And Royalty Valuation of Oil In California Page 4 carrier issue and other price , exchange , and purchasing practices of the integrated fmns in California. From an economic perspective, a vertically integrated finD possessing strong market or monopoly power cannot be presumed to behave as a common carrier by acting as a common purchaser; even if it stands ready to purchase all oil tendered at its offering price. That is because such a fmn can exercise its market power by offering only very low prices and / or exchanging only with large location differentials. This was precisely the concern that led to section 28 in the fIrst place. That the effect of continuing to serve only as a common purchaser has resulted in field prices significantly below fair market value is freely admitted by the integrated companies ; and is attested to by the difference in their practices when dealing with each other. That is, records of integrated oil companies show that they believed that the prices paid for heavy crudes, in particular, were " less than true value " Y It is specifically this 12 The legislative history shows that pipeline companies were behaving as common purchasers for many years prior to the MLA. It this practice were acceptable to the Congress , there would have been no reason to include section 28 at all. Indeed, the nature of the problem then , as now, as common purchasers and , by not providing to common only is that pipeline' companies act carriage, enforce their low field price objective. 13 B- 1 at 13-26. 14 B- 1 at 13- 15. RBO059 Oil Pipeline Rights-of-Way And Royalty Valuation of Oil In California Page 15 Court records show, under-pricing that led to the development of the 3- Cut exchange. for example, a Texaco official explained the need for the 3- Cut exchange as: Generally speaking badger (3-Cut) exchanges are considered to be the most equitable arrangement for both parties and, in many instances, posted price exchanges are very adverse economically to one of the parties to the exchange. or gravity barrel 16 . Similarly, on deposition, ARCO' s Crude Supply Manager characterized the 3Q. The Cut: question I am asking you is simply, do you agree that 3-cut exchanges were utilized in California because crude oils were not priced THE WITNESS: If you are according to their value in California?.. looking for a simple answer, yesY a wash" , but produced It is further important to note that the 3-cut exchanges ' were not " The persistence of the very large imbalances, whether measured in barrels or dollars. exchanging parties to large imbalances necessitated periodic settlements between the IS Since such payments were the result of exchange sales, they reduce the imbalances. should be viewed as a part of the payment for the crude , even though such payment may IS In simple terms , the 3-Cut exchange was a mechanism allowing crude to be exchanged a consistent with the crudes cut at a time, as if it were refmed product. This allowed for pricing This exchange basis (later giving way to gravity actual market value, rather than the posted price. balancing exchanges) was used by the integrated oil companies when dealing among themselves; and therefore not since valuation at posted prices would severely disadvantage one of the parties, used only for dealing acceptable. Posted prices (or location discounts from posted prices) were with independent producers (and valuation of crude for Cut exchanges royalty purposes). Although it is easiest to understand the operation of the 3pipelines), such appear to involve involving pipeline transportation (and the majoritY did exchanges were used even when pipeline transportation was not involved, as when deliveries were s burden by tanker. Although it is claimed that 3-Cut exchanges were used only ease the refmerproviding of adding and subtracting exchanged crudes without protracted negotiations, as well as , it is important to recognize that 3- Cut a means for automatic maintenance of a quality balance exchanges were never used outside the California market. 16 B- 1 17 B- 1 at 14. at 16. IS B- 1 at 19. RBO060 ~I Oil Pipeline Rights-of- Way And Royalty Valuation of Oil In California Page 6 have occurred outside the sale contract itself. To the extent that such payments were related to the sale or exchange of crudes lifted from Federal leases (including those crudes exchanged for similar, non- Federal crudes before reaching their fmal destination), ,they are properly royalty bearing. crudes, including quantitative analyses indicating that the amount of such under-pricing There are also reported to be other indicia of significant under- pricing of California may have been as high as $2 - $4 per barrel. These include comparison of posted prices with: Comparable ANS crudes; Crudes sold at auction, including Federal auction sales; and Prices obtained from traders. Program Contact: Bob Berman, Office of Policy Analysis, 208- 3751. Much of the economic analyses is currently under protective order. Its existence and results are reported based on discussions with the individual who conducted the analysis. 19 RBO061 California Common Carrier and Crude Valuation Bureaus: BLM , MMS States: . California Issue:Should the Department actively pursue the " common carrier " and associated crude oil product value issues in California? Recommendation: The Department should establish an internal process and investigate (1) whether holders of pipeline rights-of-way across Federal lands are operating such pipelines as common carriers; and (2) whether the system of crude oil trading (badger or 3-Cut exchanges), monopolistic common purchasing and/or failure to Options: (1) provide pipeline access led to an under-valuing of crude oil resulting in deficient royalty collections. In the event the investigation results in a positive fmding, the Department should (1) revoke rights-of-way of holders not providing common carriage (and not agreeing to provide such carriage); and (2) initiate action to collect royalties due. Pursue both common carrier and royalty issues. Pro: Recognizes mutual interdependence of the issues. Could provide significant additional. revenues. Could benefit independent producers and refmers enhancing competition. in California, thus Secretary would be perceived as taking positive actipn to resolve a longstanding problem , regardless of outcome. Action would be dispositive of Issue. High likelihood of Congressional perceived favorably. hearings. Action underway would be Consistent with State government actions. Action would be favored by independent oil prbducers and refmers. Con: Department has never challenged right-of-way holder on common carrier requirement of statute. No regulations have ever been promulgated to address the common carrier issue, or to defme a process for reviewing and revoking a right-of-way. Major oil companies could perceive Secretary as being anti-oil. EXHIB~/ G:R.Mrv RBO062 (2) Pursue only the common carrier issue. Pro: Could benefit independent producers and refiners enhancing competition. in California, thus Secretary would be perceived as taking positive action to resolve a 10r1g- , standing problem , regardless of outcome. Some action would be viewed favorably by Congress. Avoids potential embarrassment of second failure on royalty issue. Viewed by the State government as at least " half a loaf" since one objective is to enhance the position of independents vis-a-vis integrated firms. Action would be favored by independent oil producers and refiners. Con: Fails to recognize mutual interdependence of the issues. Forgoes significant additional revenues. Action may not be dispositive of the issues. Viewed by State government as only " half a loaf" since they are very interested in the royalties. Major oil companies could perceive Secretary as being anti-oil. (3) Pursue only the royalty issue. Pro: Could provide significant additional revenues. Some action would be viewed favorably by Congress. Viewed by State government as at least " half a loaf" since they, are very interested in the royalties , and have been requesting Department assistance for some time. No benefits to independent California. independents vis-a-vis Con: Failure to include common carrier issue would weaken royalty claim. Action would not be dispositive of the issue. producers or refmers , or to competition in May be viewed by the State government as only " half a loaf" since , one integrated objective is to enhance the position of firms. Major oil companies could perceive Secretary as being anti-oil. (4) Take no action. Pro: 1. ' Largely consistent with Department position for last several years. RBO063 Option would be favored by major oil companies. Avoids any potential embarrassment that might be associated with failure. Con: Forgoes significant additional revenue. Congress would likely be critical of lack of action provided by the State of California. State government would view non-action unfavorably. given the materials No benefits to independent California. producers or refmers, or to competition in Initial Review: An initial examination of testimony and evidence developed in connection with litigation (hereafter referred to as California v. Chevron, Mobil, the Long Beach II or LB- II litigation) appears to provide rea~on to suspect that certain rights-of-way holders may have improperly certified as to their common the Texaco, et. al. carrier status as requireq by Section 28 of the MLA. Moreover , the evidence further appears to provide reason to suspect that such failure to satisfy MLA common carrier obligations, in conjunction with other practices, has led to a significant under- pricing of crude oil in California. Some of this crude oil was extracted from Federal lands; and some of this was subject to Federal royalty payments. Accordingly, any under-pricing would result in valuation below fair market value and subsequent underpayment of royalty obligations. Much of the evidence developed in the LB- II litigation has not been previously available to the Department. Congressional Interest: Congressman Philip Sharp has recently learned that some of this evidence including evidence that may be the subject of a California Court protective order was inadvertently provided to the Department of Commerce as part of an environmental assessment they were conducting concerning allowing the export of California heavy crudes. Congressman Sharp has communicated his interest to Secretary Brown , requesting " copies of all records relating to the operation of oil pipelines in California obtained by the Department of Commerce in the past months. " Congressman Sharp has had a long-standing interest and concern in this area , and had inquired about Department know1edge such practices in the past. It is therefore , reasonable to assume that the Congressman may wish to discuss these RBO064 matters with the Department of the Interior in the near future. over Federal lands be operated as a common carrier. Although no definition of a common carrier is contained in either the statute or in Department regulations implementing the statute , a common law defmition (Black' s Law Dictionary) states " Common carriers are those that hold themselves out to undertake to carry persons or goods indifferently, or of all who choose to employ it." The legislative history revels that there was concern that the only pipelines were those operated by the integrated oil companies; and , accordingly, Congress required that any oil pipelines crossing lands subject to the MLA be operated as a common carrier so that " JJackground: Section 28 of the MLA requires that all pipelines granted rights-of-way never reach. " these (independent) producers reach the market which otherwise they could The legislative history specifically identifies pipelines owned by Associated and voiced the concern that " They were not common carriers; they anybody Oil and Standard Oil , would not take price . "2 the oil of unless that person sold it to (Emphasis added. ) Section 28 of the them at their own MLA was intended to solve that problem. In 1935, Interior Secretary Ickes expressed additional concern, and supported an amendment that ment to " to requiring common carriage , also included a requireaccept , convey, transport , and/or purchase without discrimination... in addition such proportionate amounts as the Secretary of the Interior may determine to be reasonable " , 3 expanding the scope of Section 28. That this 1935 amendment was intended to expand the scope of Section 28 is further demonstrated in Interior Secretary Whitaker s 1973 letter to Senator Jackson: " ... The amendment was enacted not to enforce the common carrier provision , but to prevent harm to the public lands and mineral resources of the United States.... Certain integrated oil companies, by contrast , have long asserted that the effect of amendment was to limit the common carrier provision and allow the common carriage requirement to be fulfilled by non- discriminatory purchasing the 1935 1 The Solicitor s office is currently preparing a memorandum addressing BLM' s legal questions relative to the common carrier issue. 2 H- 16 at 2. 3 H- ll 4 H- 6 at 2. at 10. RBO065 (e. g. , the price it paid to others when purchasing). Department of 5 They have further asserted the Interior agreement in this interpretation by quoting the Department as rIDding that" Ann I S length purchases and exchanges satisfy the MLA requirement of purchasing without discrimination. "6 However , the same correspondence also stated As to pipelines refusing to transport oil of another "7 The written refusals to owner , no specific occurrence has been identified. transport oil of another owner which surfaced in the LB- II provide basis for reconsideration. Although the BLM has not received any documented complaints , correspondence between independent producers and integrated oil companies concerning requests for common carriage through pipelines holding rights-of-way pursuant to the MLA is consistently denied. The pipeline companies consistently and unequivocally state 10 Indeed that the pipelines are private facilities which transport only their own oil. the companies themselves have stated that " Getty and Texaco have always operated litigation 8 appear to 5 H- 2 6 H- 2 at 62. H-5 at 25-27. H-7 at 7. H-8 at 20. H-9 at 18. at 64. H- 7 at 8. Reference is to a memorandum from Assistant Secretary, Land and Minerals Management , to Secretary of the Interior (February 17 , 1987); and letter from James M. Hughes, Deputy Assistant Secretary, Land and Minerals Management, to Representative Philip R. Sharp (April 19 , 1990). 7 Letter from James M. Hughes, Deputy Assistant Secretary, Land and Minerals Management , to Representative Philip R. Sharp (April 19 , 1990). 8 H- , H- , and H- 15. 9 Burton J. Stanley in the Office of the Regional Solicitor , Pacific Southwest Region, in commenting on 1991 IG rIDding of lack of compliance, explained the lack of complaints as follows: " The problem arises because there is no state or federal agency capable of assuming regulatory jurisdiction over these pipeline companies. An independent oil producer is indeed unlikely to challenge the operation of a pipeline company in a proprietary manner if , in fact, he can obtain no meaningful relief even if he complained. (Memorandum BLM. PS. 1308 dated Jarmary 14 , 1990 , contained in IG audit report no. 91503 dated February 1991.) 10 H- 15. H- 14. RBO066 its line privately and have never carried oil for others for compensation. Separately, and independently of the "11 common carrier issue, the MMS has / royalty valuation issue in California. unsuccessfully pursued the under- pricing The basis of prior allegations has been limited to the inconsistency betWeen (1) posted prices and prices implied by refinery net- back analyses, and (2) gravity differentials in the California market relative to the mid-continent market. The LB- II litigation appears to offer a more compelling argument by explaining the underpricing through linkage to the common carrier issue and other price , exchange, and purchasing practices of the integrated firms in California. From an economic perspective, a vertically integrated firm possessing strong market or monopoly power cannot be presumed to behave as a common carrier acting as a common purchaser; even if it stands ready to purchase all oil tendered at its offering price. That is because such a firm can exercise its market power by offering only very low prices and / or exchanging. only with large location section 28 in the first differentials. This was precisely the concern that led to placeY That the effect of continuing to serve only as a common purchaser has resulted in field prices significantly below fair market value is freely admitted by the integrated companies ; and is attested to by the difference in their practices when dealing with each other. That is , records of integrated oil companies show that they believed that the prices paid for heavy crudes , in particular , were " less than true value development of the 3- Cut It is specifically this under- pricing that led to the 11 H- 2 at 50. 12 The legislative history shows that pipeline companies were behaving as common purchasers for many years prior to the MLA. It this pract~ce were acceptable to the , the nature Congress , there would have been no reason to include section 28 at all. Indeed as common purchasers of the problem then , as now and , by not providing to common carriage , enforce their low field price objective. , is that pipeline companies act only 13 B- 1 at 13- 26. 14 B- 1 at 13- 15. RBO067 T exchange. 15 Court records show , for example , a Texaco official explained the need for the 3- Cut exchange as: Generally speaking badger (3- Cut) exchanges are considered to be the most equitable arrangement for both parties and, in many instances posted price or gravity barrel exchanges are very adverse economically to one of the parties to the exchange. Similarly, on deposition , ARCa' s Crude Supply Manager characterized the 3Q. The Cut: question I am asking you is simply, do you agree that 3-cut exchanges were utilized in California because crude oils were not HE WITNESS: If priced according to their value in California? you are looking for a simple answer , yes. 17 but It is further important to note that the 3-cut exchanges were not " a wash" , produced very large imbalances , whether measured in barrels or dollars. The mechanism allowing crude to be allowed for pricing exchanged a cut at a time , as if it were refmed product. This This exchange consistent with the crudes actual market value , rather than the posted price. oil basis (later giving way to gravity balancing exchanges) was used by the integrated companies when dealing among ' themselves; since valuation at posted prices would exchange was a 15 In simple terms, the 3- Cut severely disadvantage one of the parties, and therefore not acceptable. Posted prices (or location discounts from posted prices) were used only for dealing with independent producers (and valuation of crude for Cut royalty purposes). Although it is easiest to understand the operation of the 3to involve exchanges involving pipeline transportation (and the majority did appear pipelines), such exchanges were used even when pipeline transportation was not involved, as when deliveries were by tanker. Although it is claimed that 3- Cut exchanges were used only ease the refmer s burden of adding and subtracting exchanged crudes without , quality balance, it is important to recognize that 3- Cut exchanges were never used outside the California market. 16 B- 1 17 B- 1 at 14. protracted negotiations, as well as providing a means for automatic maintenance of a at 16. RBO068 18 Since such payments were the result exchanging parties to reduce the imbalances. of exchange sales , they should be viewed as a part of the payment for the crude, persistence of the large imbalances necessitated periodic settlements between the even though such payment may have occurred outside the sale contract itself. the extent that such payments were related to the sale or exchange of crudes lifted from Federal leases (including those crudes exchanged for similar ' non- Federal crudes before reaching their fmal destination), they are properly royalty bearing. There are also reported to be other indicia of significant under-pricing of California crudes, including quantitative analyses indicating that the amount of such underpricing may have been as high as $2 - $4 per barrel. These include comparison of posted prices with: Comparable ANS crudes; Crudes sold at auction , including Federal auction sales; and Prices obtained from traders. 18 B- 1 19 at 19. Much of the economic analyses is currently under protective order. Its existence and results are reported based on discussions with the individual who conducted the analysis. RBO069 Footnote Codes Index Description Standard Oil of California: Appellees ' Reply Brief City of Long Beach and State of California: Appellants Brief Decision in Denver Petroleum v. Shell Oil 306 F. Supp 289 (1969) Antitrust action addressing common law notion of a common carrier B:.4 Legislative history of Mineral Leasing Act RBO070 Index Description Cover letter dated 3/30/93 Excerpts from the parties ' 10 briefs developing the MLA arguments (listed in chronological order): Plaintiffs I submIssion: 6/29/92 Defendants ' consolidated position: 7/29/92 Plaintiff's reply submissIOn: 8/25/92 Plaintiffs ' pretrial brief: 12/15/92 Defendants I pretrial brief: 1/5/93 Plaintiffs ' reply to (H- 5) Defendant Mobil' s issues: 1/22/93 explanatory memorandum responding to Court' s MLA questions: 2/9/93 Defendant Mobil' s closing argument: 3/10/93 Defendants ' joint closing argument: 3/12/93 Phlintiffs ' reply closing argument: 3/19/93 Research memoranda (w/attachments) detailing the legislative history of the common carrier requirement and the amendment to same 1935 Broad , Schultz , Larson & Winberg Office Memorandum on Legislative history of 1935 Amendment to MLA Section 28. Broad, Schultz, Larson & Winberg Office Memorandum on MLA legislative history & related refs for use in briefs RBO071 Index Description Correspondence and BLM records on Texaco s S. 386 right-ofway indicatmg that texaco had" abandoned" the portion of the pipeline which crossed government land as of June 29 1992. This corresponded to Defendants ' claim in (H-2/72) that Texaco had abandoned the right-of-way. Yet Texaco paid rental for the right-of-way on 6/2/92 through 1996. Correspondence between Berry Petroleum and Mobile, and between Par Petroleum and Mobile and Texaco requesting access to their pipelines pursuant to MLA. Berry request of 7/24/90 , BLM/SOL query of 10/11/90 , and Mobile responses to Berry (8/29/90) and BLM/SOL (10/12/90 and 10/15/90) Par / Mobil Correspondence Par / Texaco Correspondence RBO073

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