State of Hawaii v. Trump
Filing
239
Declaration re 238 MOTION to Convert Temporary Restraining Order to Preliminary Injunction of Neal K. Katyal. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit A, # 2 Exhibit B, # 3 Exhibit C, # 4 Certificate of Service)(Katyal, Neal)
3/21/2017
Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants The New York Times
https://nyti.ms/2nwgT6v
U.S.
Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of
Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants
By STEPHANIE SAUL
MARCH 16, 2017
The president of Portland State University, Wim Wiewel, met last week with 10
prospective students in Hyderabad, India. But what started as a getacquainted visit
quickly turned into more of a counseling session, as the students expressed fears
about coming to the United States this fall.
One student, who is Muslim, said his father was worried that America had an
antiMuslim attitude, Mr. Wiewel recounted. “Several others said they were
concerned about the ‘Trump effect,’” he said in an email.
“I’d say the rhetoric and actual executive orders are definitely having a chilling
effect,” Mr. Wiewel wrote, referring to the Trump administration’s travel ban.
Like many universities across the country, the Oregon university is getting fewer
international applications.
Nearly 40 percent of colleges are reporting overall declines in applications from
international students, according to a survey of 250 college and universities,
released this week by the American Association of Collegiate Registrars and
Admissions Officers. The biggest decline is in applications from the Middle East.
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Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants The New York Times
Many officials cited worries among prospective students about Trump
administration immigration policies. “International student recruitment
professionals report a great deal of concern from students all over the globe,” the
study said.
On Wednesday, the federal judge in Hawaii who blocked the latest version of
the administration’s travel ban cited the financial harm the executive order posed to
the state’s university system, which recruits students and hires faculty members
from the six target countries. (Washington State officials raised similar concerns in
successfully challenging the first travel ban.)
Graduate schools appear to be feeling the worst pinch, with nearly half
reporting drops. “Our deans describe it as a chilling effect,” said Suzanne Ortega,
president of the Council of Graduate Schools.
The numbers — while not yet final — are provoking anxiety in some programs
that rely on international students, who bring more than $32 billion a year into the
United States economy. International enrollment at American colleges has been on
the rise over the past decade, and for the first time exceeded one million students
last year.
Still, despite the steady increase, the movement of students from one country to
another is sensitive to fluctuations tied to political and economic forces. So some
officials cautioned that a “Trump effect’ is just one possible explanation for this
year’s application figures. Beyond that, many schools, including New York
University, the University of Southern California and Northeastern University,
reported that their international numbers are up. Purdue University reported a 1.2
percent decline in graduate school applications.
Mr. Wiewel made his trip to Hyderabad not long after residents of the city held
funeral services for a young Indian man who was killed in a bar in Olathe, Kan.,
where he worked as an engineer. The shooting is being investigated as a hate crime.
Mr. Wiewel reassured the students — all admitted to Portland State’s graduate
engineering program — that his university’s environment was safe and welcoming.
He was a bit surprised by their concerns, he said, because students he visited earlier
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Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants The New York Times
in New Delhi and Bangalore had been more anxious about financing their graduate
studies, apparently a reaction to India’s recent currency shortage. Other economic
factors may also be involved in the application declines, Ms. Ortega said, including
crude oil prices in Saudi Arabia.
Also at play: uncertainty about the future of a visa program called H1B that
international graduates frequently rely on to remain in the United States to work.
For several graduate schools, the Trump administration’s travel ban, which
initially affected seven predominantly Muslim countries, could not have been more
poorly timed. It was announced in late January as deadlines loomed for applications
to some graduate programs, and it came on the heels of Mr. Trump’s virulently anti
immigrant rhetoric during the campaign.
Slumping graduate school applications can now be seen at universities ranging
from giant Big Ten public universities like Ohio State and Indiana University to
regional programs such as Portland State, with just over 27,000 students, including
more than 1,900 international students.
At Indiana University, international applications for undergraduate programs
increased 6 percent, but graduate applications for some programs are posting big
drops, said David Zaret, vice president for international affairs.
Mr. Zaret said international applications to the masters program in business
were down 20 percent, and down 30 percent in both the master of law program and
at the School of Informatics and Computing. The university will not have problems
filling the programs, but the drop might affect the overall quality of the applicant
pool, he said.
Ohio State has also seen an increase in international undergraduate
applications but a significant overall drop — 8.4 percent — in international
applicants to its graduate programs, a university spokesman, Chris Davey, said. The
biggest decline was among students from China — a fact Mr. Davey said did not
support the “Trump effect” theory. In 2016, he said, there were 2,412 graduate
applications from China; this year the number was down to 1,952.
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Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants The New York Times
“We’re inclined to say that the overarching factors that might be influencing this
are probably global economic factors and it would be premature to conclude that it’s
the travel ban,” Mr. Davey said. “But it certainly could be.”
Because application deadlines at several larger colleges had passed before Mr.
Trump’s travel ban was announced, some universities are more worried about the
“yield” — the number of students offered admission who end up enrolling, said
Frances Leslie, vice provost for the graduate division at the University of California,
Irvine.
Applications at Irvine are not down, but students have expressed concerned
about coming to the United States, Ms. Leslie said. “We’re hearing from students,
even beyond the seven countries, expressing concern,” Ms. Leslie said, referring to
Iran, Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen, which were singled out in the
first travel ban. “This year, even when students are admitted, they may not be willing
to accept the offers.”
The university will not have those numbers until April 15, a national deadline
for students to make a decision.
At Portland State, where undergraduate international applications are up 4
percent but international graduate applications are down 15 percent, the vice
provost for international affairs, Margaret Everett, said she had heard recently from
a Chinese student who canceled his application, citing the political climate.
“Obviously we’re concerned about the climate and the rhetoric and the
administration policies and travel ban,” Ms. Everett said.
A version of this article appears in print on March 17, 2017, on Page A12 of the New York edition with the
headline: In a Survey, 40% of Colleges Report a Drop in Foreign Applicants.
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3/21/2017
Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants The New York Times
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