Texas et al v. United States of America et al

Filing 91

RESPONSE filed by District of Columbia, State of California, State of Connecticut, State of Delaware, State of Hawaii, State of Illinois, State of Kentucky, State of Massachusetts, State of Minnesota, State of New Jersey, State of New York, State of North Carolina, State of Oregon, State of Rhode Island, State of Vermont, State of Virginia, State of Washington re: 39 MOTION for Injunction (Attachments: # 1 Appendix of Supporting Evidence - Part 1, # 2 Appendix of Supporting Evidence - Part 2, # 3 Proposed Order) (Palma, Neli)

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IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY, and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-O v. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAII, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA, and WASHINGTON, Intervenor-Defendants. APPENDIX IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENOR-DEFENDANTS’ BRIEF IN OPPOSITION TO PLAINTIFFS’ APPLICATION FOR A PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION The Defendant States submit the following appendix in support of their Opposition to Plaintiffs’ Application for a Preliminary Injunction. Appendix in Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 1 APPENDIX OF SUPPORTING EVIDENCE Exhibit No. Document Pages 1 Declaration of Henry J. Aaron (Brookings Institution) 001 - 061 2 Declaration of Benjamin Barnes (CT) 062 - 075 3 Declaration of Peter Berns (The ARC) 076 – 080 4 Declaration of Sharon C. Boyle (MA) 081 – 083 5 084 – 104 6 Declaration of Sabrina Corlette (Center on Health Insurance Reforms) Declaration of James DeBenedetti (CA) 7 Declaration of Alfred J. Gobeille (VT) 108 – 113 8 Declaration of Carole Johnson (NJ) 114 – 117 9 Declaration of Jennifer Kent (CA) 118 – 121 10 Declaration of Mila Kofman (DC) 122 – 128 11 Declaration of Jennifer Lee (VA) 129 – 133 12 Declaration of Kimberly Lufkin (VA Resident) 134 – 136 13 Declaration of Chris Maley (IL) 137 – 140 14 Declaration of Thea Mounts (WA) 141 – 148 15 Declaration of Neli Palma (Supporting Materials) 149 – 367 16 Declaration of Judy Mohr Peterson (HI) 368 – 372 17 Declaration of Claudia Schlosberg (DC) 373 – 380 18 Declaration of Ryan Smith (IL Resident) 381 – 383 19 Declaration of Kara Odom Walker (DE) 383 – 387 20 Declaration of Sherry White (NY Resident) 388 – 390 21 Declaration of Walker Wilson (NC) 391 – 394 22 Declaration of Howard A. Zucker (NY) 395 – 408 23 Declaration of Patrick M. Allen (OR) 409 - 415 24 Declaration of Zachery W. Sherman (RI) 416 - 420 25 Declaration of John Jay Shannon (IL) 421 - 425 26 Declaration of Kristi M. Bohn (MN) 426 - 429 Appendix in Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) 105 – 107 Page 2 Dated: June 7, 2018 Respectfully submitted, Xavier Becerra Attorney General of California Julie Weng-Gutierrez Senior Assistant Attorney General Kathleen Boergers Supervising Deputy Attorney General /s/ Neli N. Palma /s/ Nimrod P. Elias Neli N. Palma Nimrod P. Elias Deputy Attorneys General California State Bar No. 203374 California State Bar No. 251634 P.O. Box 944255 Sacramento, CA 94244-2550 Telephone: (916) 210-7522 Fax: (916) 322-8288 E-mail: Neli.Palma@doj.ca.gov Attorneys for Intervenors-Defendants GEORGE JEPSEN Attorney General of Connecticut JOSEPH RUBIN Associate Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Connecticut MATTHEW P. DENN Attorney General of Delaware ILONA KIRSHON Deputy State Solicitor DAVID J. LYONS Deputy Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Delaware RUSSELL A. SUZUKI Attorney General of Hawaii HEIDI M. RIAN Deputy Attorney General ROBERT T. NAKATSUJI Deputy Solicitor General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Hawaii Appendix in Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 3 LISA MADIGAN Attorney General of Illinois David F. Buysse Deputy Chief, Public Interest Division Anna P. Crane Public Interest Counsel Matthew V. Chimienti Assistant Attorney General, Special Litigation Bureau Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Illinois ANDY BESHEAR Attorney General of Kentucky LA TASHA BUCKNER Executive Director, Office of Civil and Environmental Law S. TRAVIS MAYO TAYLOR PAYNE Assistant Attorneys General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the Commonwealth of Kentucky MAURA HEALEY Attorney General of Massachusetts STEPHEN P. VOGEL Assistant Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the Commonwealth of Massachusetts OFFICE OF THE ATTORNEY GENERAL State of Minnesota SCOTT IKEDA Assistant Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Minnesota by and through its Department of Commerce GURBIR S. GREWAL Attorney General of New Jersey JEREMY M. FEIGENBAUM Assistant Attorney General ANGELA JUNEAU BEZER Deputy Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of New Jersey Appendix in Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 4 BARBARA D. UNDERWOOD Acting Attorney General of New York STEVEN C. WU Deputy Solicitor General LISA LANDAU Bureau Chief, Health Care Bureau ELIZABETH CHESLER Assistant Attorney General, Health Care Bureau Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of New York JOSHUA H. STEIN Attorney General of North Carolina SRIPRIYA NARASIMHAN Deputy General Counsel Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of North Carolina ELLEN F. ROSENBLUM Attorney General of Oregon HENRY KANTOR Special Counsel to the Attorney General SCOTT KAPLAN Assistant Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Oregon PETER KILMARTIN Attorney General of Rhode Island MICHAEL W. FIELD Assistant Attorney General MARIA R. LENZ Special Assistant Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Rhode Island THOMAS J. DONOVAN, JR. Attorney General of Vermont BENJAMIN D. BATTLES Solicitor General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Vermont MARK R. HERRING Attorney General of Virginia TOBY J. HEYTENS Solicitor General MATTHEW R. MCGUIRE Deputy Solicitor General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the Commonwealth of Virginia Appendix in Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 5 ROBERT W. FERGUSON Attorney General of Washington JEFFREY G. RUPERT Chief, Complex Litigation Division JEFFREY T. SPRUNG Assistant Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the State of Washington KARL A. RACINE Attorney General for the District of Columbia ROBYN R. BENDER Deputy Attorney General VALERIE M. NANNERY Assistant Attorney General Attorneys for Intervenor-Defendant the District of Columbia Appendix in Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 6 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-O v. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAII, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF HENRY J. AARON, PhD., IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS’ OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION I, Henry J. Aaron, declare as follows: 1. I am currently the Bruce and Virginia MacLaury Senior Fellow in the Economic Studies Program at the Brookings Institution. From 1990 through 1996, I was the Director of the 00001 Economic Studies Program. I am a member of the District of Columbia Health Benefits Exchange Executive Board and a member and former chair of the Social Security Advisory Board. I am a graduate of UCLA and hold a Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University. I taught at the University of Maryland from 1967 through 1989, except for 1977 and 1978 when I served as Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation at the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. I chaired the 1979 Advisory Council on Social Security. During the academic year 1996-97, I was a Guggenheim Fellow at the Center for Advanced Studies in the Behavioral Sciences at Stanford University. I have been a member of the visiting committees for the Department of Economics and the Medical and Dental Schools at Harvard University. I am the author of many books and articles on health insurance and health care policy, including two studies of the impact on health care of limited resources in Great Britain (with William Schwartz), a study of health policy in the United States, and recommendations for modifications in Medicare (a book with Jeanne Lambrew and an article with Robert Reischauer). 2. In creating this declaration, I consulted with fellow national health experts Sara Rosenbaum, the Harold and Jane Hirsh Professor of Health Law and Policy and founding chair, Department of Health Policy, Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University and Jeffrey Levi, Professor of Health Policy and Management at the Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University. While I consulted with these individuals for their expert advice, I can attest to the information in this declaration based on my independent experience and background. 3. I understand that this lawsuit involves a challenge to the Affordable Care Act and seeks to enjoin it. As noted above, I am the author of numerous books and articles on health insurance and health care policy. In my expert opinion, enjoining the Affordable Care Act would completely disrupt the U.S. health care market for patients, providers, insurance carriers, and federal and state governments. The Affordable Care Act Has Contributed to Improvements in Health Coverage, Access, Financial Security, and Affordability 00002 4. The Affordable Care Act (ACA) is a comprehensive law that has improved the quality and affordability of health care and health insurance. It has done so by: strengthening consumer protections in private insurance; making the individual insurance market accessible and affordable; expanding and improving the Medicaid program; modifying Medicare’s payment systems while filling in benefit gaps; increasing funding and prioritization of prevention and public health; supporting infrastructure such as community health centers, the National Health Service Corps, and the Indian Health Service, among other policies. There is widespread agreement that the ACA is the most significant health legislation enacted since the Social Security Act amendments that created Medicare and Medicaid in 1965. 5. The ACA helped lower the number of people without health insurance by an estimated 20.0 million people from October 2013 to early 2016, a drop of 43 percent in the uninsured rate. This increase in coverage included 3 million African-Americans, 4 million people of Hispanic origin, and 8.9 million white non-elderly adults. An estimated 6.1 million young adults and 1.2 million children gained coverage between 2010 and early 2016.1,2 The reduction in the uninsured rate occurred across the income spectrum: the 2013 to 2015 rate reduction was 36 percent, 33 percent, and 31 percent for non-elderly people with income below 138 percent of poverty, between 138 and 400 percent of poverty, and above 400 percent of poverty respectively.3 The drop in the uninsured rate was larger in states that expanded Medicaid than in states that did not do so.4 Uberoi N, Finegold K and Gee E, Health Insurance Coverage and the Affordable Care Act, 2010 – 2016, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation Issue Brief, 2016, https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/187551/ACA2010-2016.pdf 2 Executive Office of the President Council of Economic Advisors, 2017 Economic Report of the President, Chapter 4 Reforming the Health Care System, U.S. Government Publishing Office, 2017, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/chapter_4-reforming_health_care_system_2017.pdf 3 Executive Office of the President Council of Economic Advisors, 2017 Economic Report of the President, Chapter 4 Reforming the Health Care System, U.S. Government Publishing Office, 2017, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/chapter_4-reforming_health_care_system_2017.pdf 4 Broaddus, M, Census Data: States Not Expanding Medicaid Lag Further on Health Coverage, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, 2017, https://www.cbpp.org/blog/census-data-states-not-expanding-medicaid-lag-further-on-health-coverage 1 00003 6. Many studies have found that access to health care has improved since the ACA was enacted, especially among low-income people.5 For example, from the fall of 2013 to the spring of 2017, the share of non-elderly adults without a regular source of care fell from 30 percent to 24.7 percent; the share that did not receive a routine checkup in the last 12 months fell from nearly 40 percent to 34 percent.6 The Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) estimated a onethird drop in the share of people who reported that they were unable to obtain needed medical care because of cost, with the 2015 level falling below its pre-recession level. The CEA also found a correlation between increased coverage and an increased share of people having a personal doctor and receiving a checkup in the past 12 months.7 A review of the literature in 2017 found evidence that significant improvements in access to and use of care were associated with gaining coverage. These gains included increased use of outpatient care; greater rates of having a usual source of care or personal physician; increased use of preventive services; increased prescription drug use and adherence; and improved access to surgical care.8 Racial and ethnic disparities in access to care fell following the expansion of coverage.9 7. The expansion of coverage and other provisions of the ACA will contribute to longer, healthier lives. Research on previous coverage expansions has found that having health insurance coverage improves children’s learning ability, adults’ productivity, and seniors’ qualify of life.10 A recent review found that coverage improves rates of diagnosing chronic conditions, treatment 5 Kominski GF, Nonzee NJ and Sorensen A, The Affordable Care Act’s Impacts on Access to Insurance and Health Care for Low-Income Populations, Annual Review of Public Health, 2017, 38:489-505, https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/10.1146/annurev-publhealth-031816-044555 6 Long SK, Bart L, Karmpan M, Shartzer A and Zuckerman S, Sustained Gains in Coverage, Access, and Affordability Under the ACA: A 2017 Update. Health Affairs, 36(9), 2017, https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/abs/10.1377/hlthaff.2017.0798 7 Executive Office of the President Council of Economic Advisors, 2017 Economic Report of the President, Chapter 4 Reforming the Health Care System, U.S. Government Publishing Office, 2017, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/chapter_4-reforming_health_care_system_2017.pdf 8 Sommers BD, Gawande AA and Baicker K, Health Insurance Coverage and Health – What the Recent Evidence Tells Us, The New England Journal of Medicine, 2017, 377:586-593, http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsb1706645 9 Chen J, Vargas-Bustamante A, Mortensen K and Ortega AN. Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Health Care Access and Utilization under the Affordable Care Act. Med. Care, 2016, 54:140–146, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26595227; Sommers BD, Gunja MZ, Finegold K and Musco T. Changes in Self-Reported Insurance Coverage, Access to Care, and Health Under the Affordable Care Act. JAMA, 2015, 314:366–374, https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2411283 10 Institute of Medicine, Board on Health Care Services, Coverage Matters: Insurance and Health Care, National Academies Press, 2001, http://www.nationalacademies.org/hmd/Reports/2001/Coverage-Matters-Insurance-and-Health-Care.aspx 00004 of such conditions, outcomes for people with depression, and self-reported health.11 The CEA estimated that, if the ACA experience matches that in Massachusetts, 24,000 deaths are being avoided annually.12 The Institute of Medicine also found that coverage improves community health by limiting the spread of communicable diseases and reducing the diversion of public health resources for medical care for the uninsured.13 8. The law’s contribution to health extends beyond its coverage provisions. In part thanks to the ACA’s payment incentives and its Partnership for Patients initiative, an estimated 125,000 fewer patients died in the hospital as a result of hospital-acquired conditions in 2015 compared to 2010, saving approximately $28 billion in health care costs over this period.14 And its Tips from Former Smokers initiative resulted in an estimated 500,000 people quitting smoking permanently in the first five years of the campaign.15 9. The ACA strengthened financial security as well as physical and mental health. A study found that self-reported concerns about the cost of health care dropped at a greater rate for lowincome people in two states that expanded Medicaid relative to one that did not.16 Between September 2013 and March 2015, the number of people having problems paying medical bills dropped by an estimated 9.4 million, a reduction from 22.0 to 17.3 percent of non-elderly adults.17 One study found that the amount of debt sent to collection was reduced by over $1,000 Sommers BD, Gawande AA and Baicker K, Health Insurance Coverage and Health – What the Recent Evidence Tells Us, The New England Journal of Medicine, 2017, 377:586-593, http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsb1706645 12 Executive Office of the President Council of Economic Advisors, 2017 Economic Report of the President, Chapter 4 Reforming the Health Care System, U.S. Government Publishing Office, 2017. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/chapter_4-reforming_health_care_system_2017.pdf 13 Institute of Medicine, Board on Health Care Services, A Shared Destiny: Community Effects of Uninsurance, The National Acadamies Press, 2003, https://www.nap.edu/catalog/10602/a-shared-destiny-community-effects-of-uninsurance. 14 Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, National Scorecard on Rates of Hospital-Acquired Conditions 2010 to 2015: Interim Data from National Efforts to Make Health Care Safer, December 2016, https://www.ahrq.gov/professionals/qualitypatient-safety/pfp/2015-interim.html 15 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tips Impact and Results, no date, https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/campaign/tips/about/impact/campaign-impact-results.html?s_cid=OSH_tips_D9391 16 Sommers BD, Blendon RJ, Orav EJ and Epstein AM, Changes in Utilization and Health Among Low-Income Adults after Medicaid Expansion or Expanded Private Insurance, JAMA Internal Medicine, 2016, 176:1501–1509, https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2542420 17 Kapman M and Long SK, 9.4 Million Fewer Families Are Having Problems Paying Medical Bills, Urban Institute Health Policy Center, Health Reform Monitoring Survey, 2015, http://hrms.urban.org/briefs/9-4-Million-Fewer-Families-Are-HavingProblems-Paying-Medical-Bills.html 11 00005 per person residing in ZIP Codes with the highest share of low-income, uninsured individuals in states that expanded Medicaid compared to those that did not expand the program.18 The law also has reduced income inequality: projected incomes in the bottom tenth of the distribution will increase by 7.2 percent while those in the top tenth will be reduced by 0.3 percent.19 10. Most experts agree that the ACA contributed to slower health care cost growth since its enactment, although there is disagreement about the size of the effect. The prices of health care goods and services grew more slowly in the period from 2010 to 2016 than in any comparable period since these data began to be collected in 1959. Adding to this, health care service use growth per enrollee slowed since 2010. National health expenditures and projections for 2010 to 2019, as of 2016, were over $2.6 trillion lower than the national health expenditure projections for the same period made in 2010. Additionally, employer-based health plan premiums and outof-pocket costs grew more slowly from 2010 to 2016 than they did from 2000 to 2010. As a result, total spending associated with a family policy was $4,400 less in 2016 than it would have been had costs risen as fast as they did during the previous decade. The coverage expansion under the law also lowered hospitals’ cost of providing uncompensated care by $10.4 billion in 2015; in states that expanded Medicaid, the share of hospital operating costs devoted to uncompensated care dropped by around half during this period.20 11. The ACA’s contribution to lower health care cost growth has broader economic effects. It helped stabilize the share of gross domestic product spent on health. When the ACA was under consideration, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that the ACA would reduce the federal budget deficit by an estimated $115 billion from 2010 to 2019 by cutting federal health Hu L, Kaestner R, Mazumder B, Miller S and Wong A, The Effect Of The Patient Protection And Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions On Financial Well-Being, National Bureau of Economic Research, 2016, No. 22170, http://www.nber.org/papers/w22170.pdf 19 Aaron H and Burtless A, Potential Effects of the Affordable Care Act on Income Inequality, Brookings Report, 2014, https://www.brookings.edu/research/potential-effects-of-the-affordable-care-act-on-income-inequality/ 20 Executive Office of the President Council of Economic Advisors, 2017 Economic Report of the President, Chapter 4 Reforming the Health Care System, U.S. Government Publishing Office, 2017. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/chapter_4-reforming_health_care_system_2017.pdf. 18 00006 spending and raising revenue.21 States have realized budget savings as well because of increased federal Medicaid support and reduced uncompensated care costs. Because the ACA has lowered the cost to employers of health insurance for their employees, workers have received higher wages and other fringe benefits. The ACA also has reduced “job lock,” by freeing workers to change jobs without fear of losing health insurance coverage. An estimated 1.5 million people became self-employed because of the ACA’s individual market reforms and financial assistance.22 Contrary to some critics’ claims, there is no evidence that the law’s benefits have come at the expense of employment, hours of work, or compensation.23 ACA coverage also improves the U.S. system of automatic stabilizers by protecting families’ health coverage during economic downturns. Improvement is greatest in states that expanded Medicaid. The ACA Expanded Consumer Protections in All Types of Private Insurance 12. The ACA improved the quality, accessibility, and affordability of health insurance coverage both for people who were already insured and for the previously uninsured. Insurers may no longer set higher premiums for people with pre-existing conditions, charge women more than men, and carve out benefits for people who need them. They can no longer set annual or lifetime limits on total benefits or rescind coverage except in cases of fraud. Insurers must cover dependents up to age 26 under their parents’ plans, include annual out-of-pocket limits, and provide rebates to the insured if total benefits do not exceed statutory shares of premiums received. All non-grandfathered private plans must cover such evidence-based preventive services as immunizations and cancer screenings, and they must do so with no cost sharing. Individual and small group plans now must include essential health benefits: ten categories of 21 Elmendorf DW, Letter to Honorable Nancy Pelosi, Speaker, U.S. House of Representatives, Congressional Budget Office, March 20, 2010, https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/111th-congress-2009-2010/costestimate/amendreconprop.pdf 22 Blumberg LJ, Corlette S and Lucia K, The Affordable Care Act: Improving Incentives for Entrepreneurship and Self Employment, Timely Analysis of Immediate Health Policy Issues, Urban Institute, May 2013, https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/23661/412830-The-Affordable-Care-Act-Improving-Incentives-forEntrepreneurship-and-Self-Employment.PDF 23 Abraham J and Royalty AB, How Has the Affordable Care Act Affected Work and Wages, Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Issue Brief, January 2017, https://ldi.upenn.edu/brief/how-has-affordable-care-actaffected-work-and-wages 00007 health services with a scope that is the same as a typical employer plan. The ACA also filled in the gaps in the Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity Act, which requires group health plans and insurers that offer mental health and substance use disorder benefits to provide coverage that is comparable to coverage for general medical and surgical care. 13. The ACA’s guarantee of access to health insurance offers peace of mind to the up to 133 million Americans who have a pre-existing health condition, including parents of 17 million children with such conditions.24 Before the ACA, those with pre-existing conditions had to worry about finding affordable coverage if they lost a job that provided health insurance or they stopped being eligible for programs such as Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP). Even if they could find insurance, they faced the risk that needed services might be “carved-out” for them or excluded for all enrollees: before 2014, 62 percent of individual market enrollees lacked maternity coverage, 34 percent lacked coverage for substance use disorders, 18 percent lacked coverage for mental health care, and 9 percent lacked prescription drug coverage.25 Before enactment of the ACA, parents of children with autism typically lacked private health insurance coverage for habilitative services. The ACA bars benefit carve-outs and requires all individual and small group market plans to cover essential health benefits. The ACA’s focus on comprehensive benefits has been particularly important in combatting the opioid epidemic: it requires coverage of screening and treatment for substance use disorders, has expanded parity to all plans, and supports integrating prevention and treatment with mental health, primary care, and other related services.26 Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Health Insurance Coverage for Americans with Pre-Existing Conditions: The Impact of the Affordable Care Act, Issue Brief, January 2017, https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/255396/PreExistingConditions.pdf 25 Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Essential Health Benefits: Individual Market Coverage, Issue Brief, December 2011, https://aspe.hhs.gov/basic-report/essential-health-benefits-individual-market-coverage 26 Abraham AJ, Andrews CM, Grogan CM, D’Aunno T, Humphreys KN, Pollack HA and Friedmann PD, The Affordable Care Act Transformation of Substance Use Disorder Treatment, American Journal of Public Health, 2017, 107(1):31-32, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5308192/ 24 00008 14. The ACA has improved women’s coverage as well. From 2010 to early 2016, 9.5 million women gained coverage.27 Starting in 2014, the ACA banned the common practice of varying insurance rates by sex – a practice that had added an estimated $1 billion a year to women’s health insurance premiums.28 Health plans may no longer carve-out maternity care from plans and must allow women to see their obstetrician or gynecologist without a referral. All nongrandfathered plans must cover women’s preventive services, which includes contraceptive services, screening for interpersonal and domestic violence, and breast-feeding services and supplies. The ACA’s reduction in cost-sharing for contraceptive services increased women’s use of these services, including long-term contraception methods.29 The ACA’s bar on sex discrimination makes it an important civil rights, as well as health reform, law. 15. The ACA has improved coverage for young adults. The ACA requires health insurers to extend dependent coverage to children up to age 26. An estimated 2.3 million young adults (ages 19 to 25) gained health insurance between 2010 and the end of 2013. Starting in 2014, millions more gained coverage through the Health Insurance Marketplaces and other reforms.30 According to one review, “a wealth of evidence finds that the ACA dependent coverage expansions increased access to care, use of a wide variety of services, and reduced out-of-pocket spending.”31 For example, mental health visits increased by 9.0 percent and inpatient visits by 3.5 percent for young adults gaining coverage on their parents’ plans.32 27 Uberoi N, Finegold K and Gee E, Health Insurance Coverage and the Affordable Care Act, 2010 – 2016, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation Issue Brief, 2016. https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/187551/ACA2010-2016.pdf 28 Garrett D, Greenberger M, Waxman J, Benyo A, Dickerson K, Gallagher-Robbins K, Moore R and Trumble S, Turning To Fairness: Insurance Discrimination Against Women Today and the Affordable Care Act, National Women’s Law Center, Report, March 2012, https://www.nwlc.org/sites/default/files/pdfs/nwlc_2012_turningtofairness_report.pdf 29 Carlin CS, Fertig AR and Dowd BE, Affordable Care Act’s Mandate Eliminating Contraceptive Cost Sharing Influenced Choices of Women With Employer Coverage, Health Affairs 35(9), 2016, https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/abs/10.1377/hlthaff.2015.1457 30 Uberoi N, Finegold K and Gee E, Health Insurance Coverage and the Affordable Care Act, 2010 – 2016, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation Issue Brief, 2016. https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/187551/ACA2010-2016.pdf 31 Abraham J and Royalty AB, How Has the Affordable Care Act Affected Work and Wages, Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Issue Brief, January 2017, https://ldi.upenn.edu/brief/how-has-affordable-care-actaffected-work-and-wages 32 Akosa Antwi Y, Moriya AS and Simon KI, Access to Health Insurance and the Use of Inpatient Medical Care: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act Young Adult Mandate, J Health Econ 39:171-187, 2015, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25544401 00009 16. The ACA newly required all private health plans to end the use of annual and lifetime limits and to include an annual out-of-pocket limit on cost sharing. An estimated 22 million people enrolled in employer coverage are now protected against catastrophic costs.33 While data collected on personal bankruptcy does not include causes, filings dropped by about 50 percent between 2010 and 2016; experts attribute some of this change to the new financial protections offered by the ACA starting in 2010.34 The ACA’s Health Insurance Marketplaces Have Given Millions Access to Quality Private Insurance, Often with Financial Assistance 17. The ACA created Health Insurance Marketplaces (Marketplaces), a new way for people not eligible for Medicare or Medicaid to get affordable, accessible private insurance independent of their jobs. These Marketplaces offer websites at which people can compare plans that have four different levels of cost sharing (bronze, silver, gold, and platinum).35 Financial assistance comes through income-related, premium-based tax credits for qualified individuals with income between 100 and 400 percent of the federal poverty level and cost-sharing assistance or “reductions” for qualified individuals with income between 100 and 250 percent of the federal poverty level enrolled in silver plans. The Marketplaces also provide people with support in navigating the system through in-person help and call centers. In 2018, 12 states operate their State-based Marketplaces (SBMs) (operating their own websites rather than using the federallyrun HealthCare.gov), 28 states rely entirely on the federal government to run their Marketplaces (use HealthCare.gov), and 11 states have hybrid Marketplaces (assuming some but not all 33 Executive Office of the President Council of Economic Advisors, 2017 Economic Report of the President, Chapter 4 Reforming the Health Care System, U.S. Government Publishing Office, 2017. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/chapter_4-reforming_health_care_system_2017.pdf 34 St. John A, How the Affordable Care Act Drove Down Personal Bankruptcy, Consumer Reports, May 2017, https://www.consumerreports.org/personal-bankruptcy/how-the-aca-drove-down-personal-bankruptcy/ 35 People under age 30 also have access to a plan that only covers catastrophic costs. 00010 functions).36 The Marketplaces also offer small businesses a way to find qualified health plans (called SHOP). 18. Several aspects of the ACA contributed to the 57 percent increase between 2013 and 2016 in the number of people covered in the individual market (on and off Marketplaces).37 An estimated 40 to 50 percent of the coverage gain explained by the ACA resulted from the Health Insurance Marketplaces’ policies.38 One key reason for this expansion is financial assistance, primarily in the form of premium tax credits. In 2017, 84 percent of the 10.3 million people enrolled in Marketplaces received premium tax credits, whose average annualized amount was $4,458 per enrollee.39 The premium tax credit is set to limit the percent of income an enrollee pays for the second-lowest silver plan in an area. This method of setting assistance means that aid varies regionally with health insurance costs. Second, individual market insurance reforms contributed to increased individual market enrollment. The number of people with pre-existing conditions covered in the individual market rose by 64 percent between 2010 and 2014.40 Coverage also increased because of the individual mandate, the requirement that people who can afford coverage have it. How much of this increase in coverage can be traced to financial incentives, changes in insurance requirements, or the coverage mandate remains a matter of academic dispute. 19. The ACA set up the Marketplaces to encourage competition among insurers, both the keep premiums low and improve customer service. To that end, it standardized benefits to facilitate shopping on price, required that the Marketplaces create tools to allow consumer to Kaiser Family Foundation, State Health Insurance Marketplace Types, 2018, https://www.kff.org/health-reform/stateindicator/state-health-insurance-marketplacetypes/?currentTimeframe=0&sortModel=%7B%22colId%22:%22Location%22,%22sort%22:%22asc%22%7D 37 Kaiser Family Foundation, Health Insurance Coverage of Nonelderly 0-64, 2013 and 2016, https://www.kff.org/other/stateindicator/nonelderly-064/?dataView=1&currentTimeframe=3&sortModel=%7B%22colId%22:%22Location%22,%22sort%22:%22asc%22%7D 38 Frean M, Gruber J and Sommers BD, Premium Subsidies, the Mandate, and Medicaid Expansion: Coverage Effects of the Affordable Care Act, National Bureau of Economic Research, 53:72-86, 2016, http://www.nber.org/papers/w22213 39 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, 2017 Effectuated Enrollment Snapshot, June 2017, https://downloads.cms.gov/files/effectuated-enrollment-snapshot-report-06-12-17.pdf 40 Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Health Insurance Coverage for Americans with Pre-Existing Conditions: The Impact of the Affordable Care Act, Issue Brief, January 2017, https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/255396/PreExistingConditions.pdf 36 00011 compare plans, and established a permanent risk-adjustment program to prevent insurers from profiting by disproportionately enrolling people with lower-than-average health care costs. The unsubsidized cost of coverage in the Marketplaces, before the start of the Trump Administration, was 10 percent lower than the average employer-sponsored insurance premium.41 In the early years after the Marketplaces opened, some insurers set prices so low that they lost money in order to gain market share; others did not fully understand the risks of their new customers. In 2017, they raised premiums to correct those mistakes. After the 2017 price corrections, analysis indicated that premiums would have grown in single digits for 2018 but for the policy changes under the Trump Administration.42 Premiums have been lower in SBMs than in HealthCare.gov states, because SBMs manage their plans more actively than the administration.43 In 2017, 71 percent of enrollees could buy a health plan with a cost (net of tax-credit assistance) of less than $75 per month.44 In 2016, most (70 percent) of Marketplace enrollees reported no difficulty paying out-of-pocket costs in the previous year, slightly lower than enrollees in employer plans (75 percent).45 States benefited fiscally in two ways: Marketplace financial assistance is fully federally financed and expanded insurance reduces state outlays to offset the cost to providers of uncompensated care. 20. Access and satisfaction as well as affordability of individual market coverage have improved. According to one survey, in 2010, 60 percent of people seeking individual market coverage found it very difficult or impossible to find affordable care; by 2016, that proportion Blumberg LJ, Holahan J and Wengle E, Are Nongroup Marketplace Premiums Really High? Not in Comparison with Employer Insurance, Urban Institute, Brief, September 2016, https://www.urban.org/research/publication/are-nongroupmarketplace-premiums-really-high-not-comparison-employer-insurance 42 Fiedler M, Taking Stock of Insurer Financial Performance in the Individual Health Insurance Market Through 2017, USCBrookings Schaeffer Initiative for Health Policy, Report, October 2017, https://www.brookings.edu/wpcontent/uploads/2017/10/individualmarketprofitability.pdf 43 Hall MA and McCue MJ, Health Insurance Markets Perform Better in States That Run Their Own Marketplaces, To the Point, The Commonwealth Fund, March 2018, http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/blog/2018/mar/health-insurancemarkets-states 44 Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Health Plan Choice and Premiums in the 2018 Federal Health Insurance Exchange, Research Brief, October 2017, https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/258456/Landscape_Master2018_1.pdf 45 Presentation: 2016 Survey of US Health Care Consumers: A Look at Exchange Consumers, Deloitte Development LLC, 2016, https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/us/Documents/life-sciences-health-care/us-dchs-consumer-survey-hix.pdf 41 00012 fell to 34 percent.46 A study of people newly enrolled in one plan in California and Colorado found that the proportion of enrollees with a personal health care provider rose from 59 to 73 percent, and the proportion receiving a flu shot in the previous year rose from 41 to 52 percent.47 Satisfaction was roughly the same among enrollees in Marketplace plans and employer plans in 2016.48 Satisfaction among adults with Marketplace or Medicaid coverage rose between 2014 (78 percent) and 2017 (89 percent).49 The ACA’s Medicaid Provisions Expanded Eligibility, Improved Accessibility and Quality of Care, and Increased Savings 21. The ACA included a number of changes to Medicaid. It expanded Medicaid coverage to adults with income under 138 percent of the federal policy level (which the Supreme Court ruled was unenforceable as a mandate in 2012, but which 32 states have now adopted). It expanded minimum coverage standards for children ages 6 to 18, simplified program eligibility rules as well as the enrollment and renewal process, increased spending on long-term services and supports, added incentives to encourage quality measurement, and promoted care coordination for dual Medicare-Medicaid eligible beneficiaries. It made family planning coverage a state option, extended coverage for young adults aging out of foster care, increased Medicaid drug rebates, and increased efforts to combat fraud. Through the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI), the ACA also supported testing and evaluation of payment reforms to improve quality and decrease costs. The ACA also extended funding for CHIP and made policy changes that Congress recently largely incorporated in a ten-year reauthorization of the program. Collins SR, Gunja MZ, Doty MM and Beutel S, How the Affordable Care Act Has Improved Americans; Ability to Buy Health Insurance on Their Own, The Commonwealth Fund, Issue Brief, 2016, http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/issuebriefs/2017/feb/how-the-aca-has-improved-ability-to-buy-insurance 47 Schmittdiel JA, Barrow JC, Wiley D, Ma L, Sam D, Chau CV and Shetterly SM, Improvements in Access and Care Through the Affordable Care Act, American Journal of Managed Care, 23(3):e95-97, 2017, http://www.ajmc.com/journals/issue/2017/2017-vol23-n3/improvements-in-access-and-care-through-the-affordable-care-act 48 Presentation: 2016 Survey of US Health Care Consumers: A look at Exchange Consumers, Deloitte Development LLC, 2016, https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/us/Documents/life-sciences-health-care/us-dchs-consumer-survey-hix.pdf 49 The Commonwealth Fund, A Majority of Marketplace and Medicaid Enrollees Are Getting Health Care They Could Not Have Afforded Prior to Having Coverage, Affordable Care Act Tracking Survey, no date, http://acatracking.commonwealthfund.org/ 46 00013 22. The number of non-elderly people with Medicaid coverage increased by 13 percent between 2013 and 2016,50 largely because 32 states (including the District of Columbia) expanded eligibility to low-income adults under the new category created by the ACA.51 Eligibility rule streamlining and other simplifications, increased outreach efforts, a “spillover” effect from the opening of the Marketplaces, and the individual mandate appear to have had a coverage effect as well. A recent literature review listed numerous studies documenting reductions in all states of the proportion of people without insurance. Reductions have been larger in states that expanded Medicaid than in those that did not. It also found that the Medicaid expansion improved coverage among young adults, people with HIV, veterans, rural residents, and racial and ethnic minorities.52 The law’s Medicaid expansion’s impact on coverage may have exceeded that of other ACA policies.53 23. At least 40 studies have found improved access to and use of health care associated with the Medicaid expansion. For example, one study found that, from November 2013 to December 2015, low-income adults in two expansion states reported a greater increase (12.1 percentage points) in having a personal physician and a greater reduction (18.2 percentage points) in costrelated barriers to access to care compared to low-income adults in a non-expansion state.54 Medicaid coverage also has increased access to treatment for substance use disorder, including opioid addiction.55 Some critics of the ACA have alleged that Medicaid expansion caused Kaiser Family Foundation, Health Insurance Coverage of Nonelderly 0-64, 2013 and 2016, https://www.kff.org/other/stateindicator/nonelderly-064/?dataView=1&currentTimeframe=3&sortModel=%7B%22colId%22:%22Location%22,%22sort%22:%22asc%22%7D 51 Maine has also scheduled an expansion to begin on July 1, 2018. 52 Antonisse L, Garfield R, Rudowitz R and Artiga S, The Effects of Medicaid Expansion Under the ACA: Updated Findings From a Literature Review, Henry J Kaiser Family Foundation, Issue Brief, September 2017, https://www.kff.org/medicaid/issuebrief/the-effects-of-medicaid-expansion-under-the-aca-updated-findings-from-a-literature-review-september-2017/ 53 Frean M, Gruber J and Sommers BD, Premium Subsidies, the Mandate, and Medicaid Expansion: Coverage Effects of the Affordable Care Act, National Bureau of Economic Research, 53:72-86, 2016, http://www.nber.org/papers/w22213 54 Sommers BD, Blendon RJ, Orav EJ and Epstein AM, Changes in Utilization and Health Among Low-Income Adults After Medicaid Expansion or Expanded Private Insurance, JAMA Intern Med., 176(1):1501-1509, 2016, https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2542420 55 Clemens-Cope L, Epstein M and Kenney G, Rapid Growth in Medicaid Spending on Medications to Treat Opioid Use Disorder and Overdose, The Urban Institute, Report, 2017, http://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/91521/2001386rapid-growth-in-medicaid-spending-on-medications-to-treat-opioid-use-disorder-and-overdose_3.pdf 50 (continued…) 00014 addiction. What researchers have found is that states that expanded eligibility tended to have higher rates of addiction before enactment of the ACA but that drug related mortality fell compared to states that did not expand Medicaid after enactment.56 Evidence is also building that Medicaid coverage for low-income adults has helped provide continuity of care for people going in and out of prisons and may reduce recidivism.57 24. Much of the evidence on improvements to health stemming from the ACA comes from its Medicaid expansion. One analysis found a 6.1 percent relative reduction in adjusted all-cause mortality in states that had expanded Medicaid before the ACA.58 In addition, studies have documented improved outcomes for such services as cardiac surgery associated with the ACA’s Medicaid policies.59 25. The ACA’s Medicaid expansion has also led to documented savings to people, states, and the health system. For example, self-reported medical debt in Ohio fell by nearly 50 percent after it broadened Medicaid eligibility.60 An analysis of prescription drug transaction data found that uninsured people gaining Medicaid coverage due to the expansion experienced a 79 percent reduction in out-of-pocket spending per prescription.61 State budgets may have also benefited from receiving federal matching payments for state-funded programs and reductions in payments for uncompensated care; Louisiana, for example, estimated such savings at $199 million in (…continued) Wen H, Hockenberry J, Borders T and Druss B, Impact of Medicaid Expansion on Medicaid-Covered Utilization of Buprenorphine for Opioid Use Disorder Treatment, Medical Care, 55(4):336-341, 2017, http://journals.lww.com/lwwmedicalcare/Fulltext/2017/04000/Impact_of_Medicaid_Expansion_on_Medicaid_covered.5.aspx 56 Goodman-Bacon A and Sandoe E, Did Medicaid Expansion Cause The Opioid Epidemic? There’s Little Evidence That It Did., Health Affairs Blog, August 2017, https://www.healthaffairs.org/do/10.1377/hblog20170823.061640/full/. 57 Regenstein M and Rosenbaum S, What The Affordable Care Act Means For People With Jail Stays, Health Affairs, 33(3), 2014, https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/full/10.1377/hlthaff.2013.1119. 58 Sommers BD, Baicker K and Epstein AM, Mortality and Access to Care among Adults after State Medicaid Expansions, The New England Journal of Medicine, 367:(1025-1034), 2012, http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmsa1202099. 59 Charles E, Johnston LE, Herbert MA, Mehaffey JH, Yount KW, Likosky DS, Theurer PF, Fonner CE, Rich JB, Speir AL, Ailawadi G, Prager RL and Kron IL, Impact of Medicaid Expansion on Cardiac Surgery Volume and Outcomes, The Annals of Thoracic Surgery, 104:1251-1258, June 2017, http://www.annalsthoracicsurgery.org/article/S0003-4975(17)30552-0/pdf. 60 The Ohio Department of Medicaid, Ohio Medicaid Group VIII Assessment: A Report to the Ohio General Assembly, January 2017, http://medicaid.ohio.gov/Portals/0/Resources/Reports/Annual/Group-VIII-Assessment.pdf. 61 Mulcahy AW, Eibner C and Finegold K, Gaining Coverage through Medicaid Or Private Insurance Increased Prescription Use And Lowered Out-Of-Pocket Spending, Health Affairs, 35(9), 2016, https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/abs/10.1377/hlthaff.2016.0091. 00015 2017.62 A recent national study found no significant increase in state Medicaid spending, nor a decrease in education, transportation, or other state spending, as a result of the expansion.63 States also have not shown regret about their decisions to expand Medicaid, as indicated by reauthorizations of and public statements supporting the Medicaid expansion, even in Republican-led states.64 The health system, in particular the hospital sector, has also gained financially from the Medicaid expansion. As previously mentioned, not only has uncompensated care decreased to a greater degree in states that expanded Medicaid as compared to those that did not; the hospitals that gained the most tended to be small, rural, for-profit, and non-federal governmental hospitals.65 26. The ACA’s Medicaid provisions indirectly and directly improved coverage for people with disabilities. Its expansion directly helped those who did not qualify under pre-ACA rules, including those awaiting a disability determination. It also authorized a new eligibility pathway for full Medicaid benefits for people who were previously only eligible for partial Medicaid benefits under home- and community-based care waivers. The law created new programs such as the Community First Choice Options as well as demonstration programs to integrate care for people eligible for both Medicaid and Medicare. Medicaid covers about 6 million low-income seniors and 10 million non-elderly people with disabilities, with these two groups accounting for nearly two-thirds of overall Medicaid spending. As of 2016, 17 states had adopted the ACA’s option for home- and community-based services and 8 were participating in Community First Choice.66 62 Louisiana Department of Health, Medicaid Expansion 2016/17, June 2017, http://dhh.louisiana.gov/assets/HealthyLa/Resources/MdcdExpnAnnlRprt_2017_WEB.pdf. 63 Sommers B and Gruber J, Federal Funding Insulated State Budgets From Increased Spending Related To Medicaid Expansion, Health Affairs, 65(5):938-944, 2017, https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/pdf/10.1377/hlthaff.2016.1666. 64 Hall M, Do States Regret Expanding Medicaid? USC-Brookings Schaeffer On Health Policy, March, 2018, https://www.brookings.edu/blog/usc-brookings-schaeffer-on-health-policy/2018/03/26/do-states-regret-expanding-medicaid/ 65 Blavin F, How Has the ACA Changed Finances for Different Types of Hospitals? Updated Insights from 2015 Cost Report Data, The Urban Institute, April 2017, https://www.rwjf.org/content/dam/farm/reports/issue_briefs/2017/rwjf436310. 66 Musumeci M and Young K, State Variation in Medicaid Per Enrollee Spending for Seniors and People with Disabilities, Henry J Kaiser Family Foundation, Issue Brief, May 2017, https://www.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/state-variation-in-medicaid-perenrollee-spending-for-seniors-and-people-with-disabilities/. 00016 The ACA’s Medicare Provisions Improved Benefits, Reduced Overpayments, Supported Value-Based Purchasing, and Tackled Fraud and Abuse 27. The ACA modified Medicare to improve its benefits; promote quality, value-based purchasing, and alternative payment models; and lower overpayments and fraud in its traditional program and Medicare Advantage. It created CMMI to develop and test new payment models which, if determined to reduce spending without harming quality of care (or to improve quality without increasing spending), could be adopted by Medicare nationwide. It also included specific payment models as alternatives to paying for volume, such as Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) and bundled payments that pay per person or episode, respectively. New quality “star rating” programs were expanded to inform choices. The law also raised the Medicare payroll tax for high-income people to support Medicare’s Hospital Insurance Trust Fund. 28. The ACA included a major focus on preventive services (described below as well). It created an annual wellness visit in Medicare and eliminated cost sharing for certain evidencebased preventive services. In 2016, more than 10.3 million Medicare beneficiaries had an annual wellness visit and 40.1 million used at least one preventive service with no copay (provisions included in the ACA). It also included a provision that would gradually close the coverage gap or “donut hole” in Medicare’s Part D drug benefit. Before the ACA, Medicare beneficiaries had no drug coverage after the standard benefit that ends with $2,830 in total spending and its catastrophic benefit that begins with $4,550 in out-of-pocket spending (2010 values). Because of changes contained in the ACA, nearly 12 million Medicare beneficiaries received cumulative prescription drug savings from 2010 to 2016 that averaged $2,272 per person ($1,149 per beneficiary in 2016 alone).67 Research suggests the policy both reduced out-of-pocket costs and contributed to greater use of generic drugs.68 Drug savings for Medicare – and other payers – 67 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Nearly 12 Million People with Medicare Have Saved over $26 Billion on Prescription Drugs since 2010, Press Release, January 2017, https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Pressreleases/2017-Press-releases-items/2017-01-13.html. 68 Bonakdar Tehrani A and Cunningham PJ, Closing the Medicare Doughnut Hole: Changes in Prescription Drug Utilization and Out-of-Pocket Spending Among Medicare Beneficiaries With Part D Coverage After the Affordable Care Act, Medical Care, (continued…) 00017 will also flow from ACA’s new pathway for approval of lower-cost “biosimilar” drugs. A RAND analysis estimated that this provision could reduce U.S. health spending by $54 billion from 2017 to 2026.69 29. Most of the ACA’s savings come from reducing Medicare overpayments. The ACA, for the first time, built permanent productivity adjustments into Medicare payment formulas. The ACA also phased in new benchmark payment rates and reduced upcoding for risk in Medicare Advantage (MA). Despite concerns about an estimated 12 percentage point reduction in MA rates, MA program enrollment has grown by over 70 percent and premiums have dropped since 2010.70 The ACA also included new tools and resources to combat health care fraud; in 2015, the government recovered $2.4 billion, returning $6.10 for each dollar invested, and conducted its largest ever nationwide health care fraud takedown, charging 243 people with false billing.71 30. The ACA prioritized delivery system reform to promote more efficient, high-quality care, led by Medicare. As of 2016, nearly 30 percent of payments in Medicare and major private plans were made through new payment models, virtually none of which existed in 2010.72 In 2017, 21 percent of Medicare beneficiaries received care from an ACO or medical home, with another 33 percent in Medicare Advantage.73 Because these innovations are new, few evaluations have been done. Some demonstrations seem to have been successful. For example, the pioneer ACOs saved Medicare $24 million in 2016, reduced spending by 1 to 2 percent relative to a comparison group (…continued) 55(1):43-49, 2017, https://journals.lww.com/lwwmedicalcare/Abstract/2017/01000/Closing_the_Medicare_Doughnut_Hole__Changes_in.7.aspx. 69 Mulcahy AW, Hlavka JP and Case SR, Biosimilar Cost Savings in in the United States, RAND Corporation, Perspectives, 2017, https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE264.html. 70 Jacobson G, Damico A, Neuman T and Gold M, Medicare Advantage 2017 Spotlight: Enrollment Market Update, Henry J Kaiser Family Foundation, Issue Brief, June 2017, https://www.kff.org/medicare/issue-brief/medicare-advantage-2017-spotlightenrollment-market-update/. 71 Department of Justice, Fact Sheet; The Health Care Fraud and Abuse Control Program Protects Consumers and Taxpayers by Combating Health Care Fraud, Press Release, February 2016, https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/fact-sheet-health-care-fraud-andabuse-control-program-protects-conusmers-and-taxpayers. 72 Health Care Payment Learning & Action Network, Measuring Progress: Adoption of Alternative Payment Models in Commercial, Medicaid, Medicare Advantage, and Fee-for-Service Medicare Programs, Report, October 2017, https://hcplan.org/groups/apm-fpt-work-products/apm-report/. 73 Henry J Kaiser Family Foundation, Medicare Delivery System Reform: The Evidence Link, no date, https://www.kff.org/medicare-delivery-system-reform-the-evidence-link/. 00018 in 2013, and had overall quality composite scores that increased over time.74 And, research has found that the bundled payments for lower extremity joint replacement reduced readmissions while cutting average Medicare per-episode spending by 21 percent if there were no complications and 14 percent if there were complications.75 31. Medicare is on stronger financial footing because of the ACA. In 2010, CBO estimated that the ACA would reduce Medicare spending by over $400 billion from 2010 to 2019.76 A study by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services found Medicare spent $473.1 billion less from 2009 to 2014 than it would have had the 2000 to 2008 average growth rate continued.77 Reduced Medicare spending, combined with increased revenue, contributed to extending the life of Medicare’s Hospital Insurance Trust Fund by 12 years (to 2029) as compared to its projected insolvency when the ACA was enacted (2017).78 The benefits of slower Medicare cost growth accrue to beneficiaries and states as well. In 2016, Medicare premiums and cost sharing for traditional Medicare were $700 lower per beneficiary compared to what such spending would have been under 2009 projections.79 States similarly have saved since they pay Medicare premiums and cost sharing for certain low-income beneficiaries. The ACA Strengthened the Public Health System and Made Other Capacity Improvements 74 Henry J Kaiser Family Foundation, Medicare Delivery System Reform: The Evidence Link, Side-by-Side Comparison: Medicare Accountable Care Organization (ACO) Model, no date, https://www.kff.org/interactive/side-by-side-comparisonmedicare-accountable-care-organization-aco-models/. 75 Navathe AS, Troxl AB, Liao JM, Nan N, Zhu J, Zhon W, and Emanuel EJ, Cost of Joint Replacement Using Bundled Payment Models, JAMA Intern Med., 177(2):214-222, 2017, https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/articleabstract/2594805. 76 Elmendorf DW, Letter to Honorable Nancy Pelosi, Speaker, U.S. House of Representatives, Congressional Budget Office, March 20, 2010, https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/111th-congress-2009-2010/costestimate/amendreconprop.pdf 77 Chappel A, Sheingold S and Nguyen N, Health Care Spending Growth And Federal Policy, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Issue Brief, March 2016, https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/190471/SpendingGrowth.pdf. 78 Medicare Trustees Report. Note that 2029 was also the projection in the 2010 report in which the Trustees attributed much of the improvement to the ACA. For Trustees report, see: https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/StatisticsTrends-and-Reports/ReportsTrustFunds/index.html. 79 Executive Office of the President Council of Economic Advisors, 2017 Economic Report of the President, Chapter 4 Reforming the Health Care System, U.S. Government Publishing Office, 2017. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/chapter_4-reforming_health_care_system_2017.pdf 00019 32. Key coverage and funding provisions of the ACA have protected millions of Americans from infectious and chronic diseases through clinical preventive services, funding for state and local public health services, and investments in healthier communities. It supports improving health system infrastructure through policies such as a new Community Health Center Fund to expand services, a program to build school-based health clinics, a permanent authorization of the Indian Health Care Improvement Act, and a set of workforce policies to promote primary care and increase the number of people trained through the National Health Service Corps. It also encourages integration of behavioral and primary care services through training programs as well its insurance and payment policies. 33. The required coverage of clinical preventive services has resulted in increased use of key preventive services such as blood pressure and cholesterol screenings and flu vaccinations.80 Insurance coverage of vaccinations and ACA investments in the Section 317 Immunization Program, totaling almost $768 million for fiscal years 2010 to 2017, have increased protection against vaccine-preventable diseases among Americans. For example, women were 3.3 times as likely to have had the HPV vaccine after implementation of the ACA.81 Increased coverage of smoking cessation services under Medicaid, newly mandated under the ACA, has also been demonstrated both to reduce state health care costs and to improve health outcomes. One analysis in Massachusetts found savings of $3.12 in medical costs for every $1 spent on smoking cessation services.82 Han X, Yabroff KR, Guy GP, Zheng Z and Jemal A, Has Recommended Preventive Service Use Increased after Elimination of Cost-Sharing as Part of the Affordable Care Act in the United States? Preventive Medicine, 78:85–91, 2015, http://doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2015.07.012. 81 Corriero R, Gay JL, Robb SW and Stowe EW, Human Papillomavirus Vaccination Uptake Before and After the Affordable Care Act: Variation According to Insurance Status, Race, and Education (NHANES 2006-2014), Journal of Pediatric and Adolescent Gynecology, 31(1):23-27, 2017, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpag.2017.07.002. 82 Richard P, West K and Ku L, The Return on Investment of a Medicaid Tobacco Cessation Program in Massachusetts, PLoS ONE, 7(1): e29665, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0029665.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0029665 80 00020 34. The Prevention and Public Health Fund (PPHF), a new funding stream created by the ACA, has sent over $3.9 billion to states since 2010 ($650 million for fiscal year 2017).83 This fund has supported key programs, three of which are described below in paragraphs 35-37. 35. The PPHF funded Tips from Former Smokers, an advertising campaign to encourage quit attempts. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimated that it led 500,000 people to quit smoking for good in the first five years of the campaign, with an estimated cost of $2,000 for every life saved from a smoking death.84 In addition, states have received PPHF grants for their smoking cessation programs, totaling over $133 million since 2010. 36. The PPHF investment, including nearly $17 million in fiscal year 2017, permitted expansion of the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP), a community-based lifestyle change program. This program has been shown to prevent progression to diabetes among many of those with prediabetes, resulting in savings and improved health outcomes. In testing by CMMI, DPP saved Medicare an estimated $2,650 for each person enrolled in DPP over a 15-month period.85 The Medicare Diabetes Prevention Program (MDPP) is now available to all eligible beneficiaries. 37. PPHF has been critical in expanding and sustaining the capacity of state and local health departments to meet the needs of their communities, in particular through annual funding of the Preventive Health and Health Services Block Grant ($160 million a year) and Epidemiology and Laboratory Grants ($40 million a year). The two grants combined have put over $1.1 billion into communities in fiscal years 2010 through 2017. 38. The ACA invested $1.5 billion in the Maternal, Infant, and Early Childhood Home Visiting Grants to support state-level expansion of the Nurse-Family Partnership. This program 83 Trust for America’s Health, Updated Prevention and Public Health Fund (PPHF) State Funding Data (FY10-FY17), March 2018, http://healthyamericans.org/health-issues/news/updated-prevention-and-public-health-fund-pphf-state-funding-data-fy10fy17/ 84 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tips Impact and Results, no date, https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/campaign/tips/about/impact/campaign-impact-results.html?s_cid=OSH_tips_D9391. 85 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Medicare Diabetes Prevention Program (MDPP) Expanded Model, no date, https://innovation.cms.gov/initiatives/medicare-diabetes-prevention-program/. 00021 has had a dramatic impact on medical care, child welfare, special education, and criminal justice system involvement by the families served by the program, with a savings to government programs of 1.9 times the cost.86 39. There is growing evidence that pediatric asthma, diabetes, heart disease and other chronic conditions are linked with social and economic factors or conditions where people live, grow, and work.87 Through both the PPHF and CMMI, the ACA has supported investments in the multi-sector partnerships that can address the health-related social needs of people served by our health system. CMMI is supporting a $157 million initiative, Accountable Health Communities (AHC), in 23 states across the country as well as accountable communities for health models through the State Innovation Models grants in 10 states.88 Through various community prevention programs supported by the PPHF’s over $1 billion investment from 2010 to 2017, every state has received support to build stronger partnerships across sectors that will improve the health of communities. 40. ACA investments have also expanded the health care workforce in every state. More primary care providers are now working in teams to address complex care needs of populations. The increases are due in large part to the expansion of primary care training programs for physicians, physician assistants, and nurse practitioners funded through the PPHF, which added approximately 4,500 providers.89 There was also the expansion of residency training programs under the ACA, such as the Teaching Health Centers program, that added approximately 1,555 primary care physicians working in shortage areas. Through a $1.5 billion investment in the National Health Service Corps, the number of people served by Corps clinicians rose from 9 86 Miller, TR, Projected Outcomes of Nurse-Family Partnership Home Visitation during 1996-2013, USA., Prevention Science, 16(6):765-777, 2015, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26076883. 87 Magnan, S, Social Determinants of Health 101 for Health Care: Five Plus Five. NAM Perspectives. National Academy of Medicine, 2017, https://nam.edu/social-determinants-of-health-101-for-health-care-five-plus-five. 88 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, CMS’ Accountable Health Communities Model Selects 32 Participants to Serve as Local ‘Hubs’ Linking Clinical and Community Services, Press Release, April 2017, https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Press-releases/2017-Press-releases-items/2017-04-06.html. 89 Health Resources and Services Administration, FY 2016 Annual Performance Report, 2016, https://www.hrsa.gov/sites/default/files/about/budget/peformancereport2016.pdf. 00022 million in 2010 to 15.9 million in 2016. The ACA investment increased its number of health care providers from 7,358 to 15,159, including physicians, nurses, dentists, and behavior health providers serving in over 14,000 shortage area sites. Corps clinicians had an 80 percent retention rate after one year of completed service requirements. 41. The ACA invested in health care facilities as well as workers. Its Community Health Center Fund has been used, among other activities, for facility improvement, expanded access points, and expanded service capacity.90 This Fund, plus the expansion of Medicaid, contributed to growth in the number of patients served from 19.5 million in 2010 to 25.9 million in 2016.91 It supported construction and renovation of school-based health clinics, providing about 520 awards.92 The ACA also authorized new programs within the Indian Health Service, including behavior health programs, and expanded subsidies in Medicaid and the Marketplaces for American Indians and Native Americans.93 Enjoining the ACA Would Cause Widespread Harm in All States for the Vast Majority of Americans 42. As this review of the impact of the ACA illustrates, enjoining the ACA would cause grievous immediate and long-term harm to Americans’ health and financial security, to the health system, and to federal and state budgets. The law’s provisions are so interwoven in the health system that the harms from an injunction would go far beyond negating the benefits directly traceable to the ACA. Some ACA policies could not simply fall back to what they were almost a decade ago. For example, Medicare probably could not make payments to Medicare Advantage plans pursuant to an injunction since the ACA replaced the previous payment system; 90 Congressional Research Service Reports, The Community Health Center Fund: In Brief, 2017, https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/R43911.html. 91 Rosenbaum S, Tolbert J, Sharac J, Shin P, Gunsalus R and Zur J, Community Health Centers: Growing Importance in a Changing Health System, Henry J Kaiser Family Foundation, Issue Brief, March 2018, http://files.kff.org/attachment/Issue-BriefCommunity-Health-Centers-Growing-Importance-in-a-Changing-Health-Care-System 92 Pilkey D, Skopec L, Gee E, Finegold K, Amaya K and Robinson W, The Affordable Care Act and Adolescents, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Research Brief, August 2013, https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/180281/rb_adolescent.pdf. 93 Ross RW, Garfield LD, Brown DS and Raghavan R, The Affordable Care Act and Implications for Health Care Services for American Indian and Alaska Native Individuals, J Health Care Poor Underserved, 26(4):1081-1088, 2015, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4824684/. 00023 19 million beneficiaries could lose their plans and publicly traded insurers’ stocks could plummet. Some programs that pre-dated the ACA would cease to function under an injunction. For example, the ACA’s PPHF is now the only source of support for the long-standing Preventive and Public Health Services Block Grant. This grant supports critical services, including lab capacity to test for outbreaks of flu or virus-borne diseases such as Zika, responses to emerging public health threats such as the opioid epidemic, and chronic health threats such as damage to children through exposure to lead.94 Beyond the heightened threat to public health, states’ credit ratings could fall due to their increased financial exposure from such funding cuts along with the loss of federal Medicaid funding.95 43. CBO acknowledged these and other challenges when it estimated the implications of the full repeal of the ACA in 2015. It projected that repealing the ACA would increase the federal budget deficit by $353 billion over ten years, not taking into account macroeconomic feedback. Medicare spending would increase by $802 billion over this period, raising seniors’ premiums and hastening Medicare Trust Fund insolvency. CBO projected that 24 million people would become uninsured.96 44. CBO prepared similar estimates in 2016 and early 2017 when legislation to repeal parts of the ACA (without a replacement) was under consideration. The Urban Institute found that partial repeal would increase in the number of uninsured by 29.8 million, of whom 82 percent would be in working families and 38 percent would be young adults. This dramatic increase in the number of uninsured would increase the cost of uncompensated care by an estimated $1.1 trillion over a decade, which would put significant budget stress on state and local governments Clary A, Rosenthal J, Riley T, The Prevention and Public Health Fund – Lessons from States; Questions for Policymakers, National Academy for State Health Policy, State Health Policy Blog, March 2017, https://nashp.org/the-prevention-and-publichealth-fund-lessons-from-states-questions-for-policymakers/ 95 Schneider A, Fitch Report: Proposed Medicaid Cuts Could Impact States’ Credit Ratings, Georgetown University Health Policy Institute, Center for Children and Families, Say Ahhh! Blog, June 2017, https://ccf.georgetown.edu/2017/06/28/fitchreport-medicaid-cuts-will-impact-states-schools-and-more/ 96 Congressional Budget Office, Budgetary and Economic Effects of Repealing the Affordable Care Act, June 2015, https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/114th-congress-2015-2016/reports/50252-effectsofacarepeal.pdf 94 00024 as well as the health system.97 An analysis funded by the American Hospital Association estimated that income of hospitals would be reduced by $165.8 billion from 2018 to 2026.98 45. No analysis has systematically examined the immediate implications of an injunction of the entire law. It is not clear how Medicare would continue to make payments if the basis for those payment rates is nullified, whether states would get federal funding in the next quarter for service and eligibility categories authorized by the ACA, and if insurers no longer receiving premium tax credits could immediately revert to medical underwriting. Workers in programs funded by the ACA, such as CMMI programs, may become immediately unemployed. Drug discounts provided to seniors with Medicare coverage could immediate cease. People with disabilities whose care is funded by Community First Choice could immediately lose access to care without state intervention. These few examples illustrate that enjoining the entire ACA would create both chaos and inflict harm. State-Specific Impacts 46. Enjoining the ACA would harm the health system, public health, and budgets of states across the country. If people cannot access health coverage, more people will become uninsured, uncompensated care costs for states will increase, and states will be pressured to fill the void left from the ACA. The estimates described below come from four sources: (1) state fact sheets from the Department of Health and Human Services;99 (2) Urban Institute estimates of the impact of a repeal of the ACA’s funding-related provisions;100 (3) the Trust for America’s Health;101 and (4) 97 Blumberg LK, Buettgens M and Holahan J, Implications of Partial Repeal of the ACA through Reconciliation, Urban Institute, Report, December 2016, https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/86236/2001013-the-implications-of-partial-repealof-the-aca-through-reconciliation_1.pdf 98 Dobson DaVanzo & Associates, LLC, Estimating the Impact of Repealing the Affordable Care Act on Hospitals, 2016, American Hospital Association, Report, 2016, https://www.aha.org/system/files/2018-02/impact-repeal-aca-report_0.pdf 99 Office of the Assistant Secretary of Planning and Evaluation, Compilation of State Data on the Affordable Care Act, December 2016, https://aspe.hhs.gov/compilation-state-data-affordable-care-act. Note that some estimates are not available for all states due to small sample size. 100 Blumberg LK, Buettgens M and Holahan J, Implications of Partial Repeal of the ACA through Reconciliation, Urban Institute, Report, December 2016, https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/86236/2001013-the-implications-ofpartial-repeal-of-the-aca-through-reconciliation_1.pdf. (continued…) 00025 the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.102 While some of these numbers come from older or national versus state-specific studies, they are consistent in magnitude and direction with the likely impact of an injunction. California 47. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 3,826,000 people in California gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the California Health Insurance Marketplace (called Covered California), an estimated 294,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid (called Medi-Cal) expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 48. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 16,133,192 people in California have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 12,092,000 people in California with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 15,867,909 people in California, including 6,324,503 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, (…continued) Buettgens M, Blumberg LJ, Holahan J, The Impact on Health Care Providers of Partial ACA Repeal Through Reconciliation, Urban Institute, Report, January 2017, https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/86916/2001046-the-impact-onhealth-care-providers-of-partial-aca-repeal-through-reconciliation_1.pdf. 101 Trust for America’s Health, Updated Prevention and Public Health Fund (PPHF) State Funding Data (FY10-FY17), March 2018, http://healthyamericans.org/health-issues/news/updated-prevention-and-public-health-fund-pphf-state-funding-data-fy10fy17/ 102 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, 2017 Effectuated Enrollment Snapshot, June 2017, https://downloads.cms.gov/files/effectuated-enrollment-snapshot-report-06-12-17.pdf; Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Nearly 12 Million People with Medicare Have Saved over $26 Billion on Prescription Drugs since 2010, Press Release, January 2017, https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Press-releases/2017-Press-releases-items/2017-0113.html. 00026 cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 49. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 1,389,886 people in California covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 85 percent of Marketplace enrollees in California received a premium tax credit that averaged $4,150 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 50. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 1,188,000 fewer people in California would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 136,000 more getting all needed care, 169,000 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 109,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 1,430 avoided deaths each year in California. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. This could, for example, mean that people with disabilities in California’s Community First Choice program could lose access to services. 51. Impact on Medicare: The 5,829,777 people with Medicare in California would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 403,631 people in California with $1,169 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 3,879,678 people with Medicare in California used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in California. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 00027 5,580 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in California in 2015. The 29 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in California that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 52. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in California would also be reduced under an injunction. California received $317,998,658 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $61,653,559 for immunizations and $15,110,953 for tobacco cessation efforts. 53. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on California would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $61.1 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $99.1 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $160.2 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, California hospitals could lose $64.1 billion and physicians could lose $24.7 billion. Uncompensated care costs in California would increase by $140.1 billion over this period. Connecticut 54. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 110,000 people in Connecticut gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Connecticut Health Insurance Marketplace (called AccessHealthCT), an estimated 25,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 55. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 1,554,628 people in Connecticut have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 1,386,000 people in Connecticut with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an 00028 injunction to the ACA. An estimated 1,819,938 people in Connecticut, including 746,444 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 56. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 98,260 people in Connecticut covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 77 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Connecticut received a premium tax credit that averaged $5,312 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 57. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 72,000 fewer people in Connecticut would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 8,000 more getting all needed care, 10,200 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 7,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 90 avoided deaths each year in Connecticut. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. This could, for example, mean that people with disabilities in Connecticut’s Community First Choice program could lose access to services. 58. Impact on Medicare: The 644,136 people with Medicare in Connecticut would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 65,248 people in Connecticut with $1,268 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 473,312 people with Medicare in Connecticut used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Connecticut. It 00029 would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 1,306 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Connecticut in 2015. The 12 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Connecticut that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 59. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Connecticut would also be reduced under an injunction. Connecticut received $86,545,015 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $10,382,997 for immunizations and $971,964 for tobacco cessation efforts. 60. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Connecticut would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $4.3 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $10.5 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $14.8 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Connecticut hospitals could lose $6.0 billion and physicians could lose $2.4 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Connecticut would increase by $14.9 billion over this period. Delaware 61. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 35,000 people in Delaware gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Delaware Health Insurance Marketplace, an estimated 7,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 62. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 383,607 people in Delaware have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 00030 320,000 people in Delaware with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 417,265 people in Delaware, including 171,575 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 63. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 24,171 people in Delaware covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 83 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Delaware received a premium tax credit that averaged $5,010 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 64. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 6,000 fewer people in Delaware would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 1,000 more getting all needed care, 900 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 1,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 10 avoided deaths each year in Delaware. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 65. Impact on Medicare: The 186,835 people with Medicare in Delaware would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 23,485 people in Delaware with $1,292 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 149,051 people with Medicare in Delaware used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Delaware. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital 00031 readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 575 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Delaware in 2015. The 7 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Delaware that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 66. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Delaware would also be reduced under an injunction. Delaware received $34,384,937 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $5,146,859 for immunizations and $314,964 for tobacco cessation efforts. 67. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Delaware would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $900 million in federal Marketplace spending and $2.7 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $3.6 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Delaware hospitals could lose $1.5 billion and physicians could lose $500 million. Uncompensated care costs in Delaware would increase by $2.8 billion over this period. District of Columbia 68. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 25,000 people in the District of Columbia gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the District of Columbia Health Insurance Marketplace (called DC Health Link), an estimated 6,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 69. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 268,134 people in the District of Columbia have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 208,000 people in the District of Columbia with employer or individual market 00032 coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 281,235 people in the District of Columbia, including 127,531 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 70. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 18,038 people in the District of Columbia covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 4 percent of Marketplace enrollees in the District of Columbia received a premium tax credit that averaged $2,967 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 71. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 16,000 fewer people in the District of Columbia would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 2,000 more getting all needed care, 2,300 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 1,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 20 avoided deaths each year in the District of Columbia. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 72. Impact on Medicare: The 90,492 people with Medicare in the District of Columbia would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 3,360 people in the District of Columbia with $1,181 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 54,535 people with Medicare in the District of Columbia used in 00033 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in the District of Columbia. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 346 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in the District of Columbia in 2015. The 8 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in the District of Columbia that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 73. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in the District of Columbia would also be reduced under an injunction. The District of Columbia received $79,091,220 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $9,212,443 for immunizations and $2,144,515 for tobacco cessation efforts. 74. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on the District of Columbia would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose about $100 million in federal Marketplace spending and $1.7 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be about $1.7 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, District of Columbia hospitals could lose $700 million and physicians could lose $200 million. Uncompensated care costs in the District of Columbia would increase by $1.7 billion over this period. Hawaii 75. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 54,000 people in Hawaii gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Hawaii Health Insurance Marketplace, an estimated 9,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 00034 76. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 560,494 people in Hawaii have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 462,000 people in Hawaii with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 631,152 people in Hawaii, including 256,448 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 77. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 16,711 people in Hawaii covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 82 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Hawaii received a premium tax credit that averaged $4,238 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 78. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 33,000 fewer people in Hawaii would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 4,000 more getting all needed care, 4,700 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 3,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 40 avoided deaths each year in Hawaii. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 79. Impact on Medicare: The 252,514 people with Medicare in Hawaii would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 22,212 people in Hawaii with $1,361 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It 00035 would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 158,239 people with Medicare in Hawaii used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Hawaii. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 315 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Hawaii in 2015. 80. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Hawaii would also be reduced under an injunction. Hawaii received $30,145,284 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $3,914,688 for immunizations and $227,370 for tobacco cessation efforts. 81. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Hawaii would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $500 million in federal Marketplace spending and $3.7 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $4.3 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Hawaii hospitals could lose $2.6 billion and physicians could lose $800 million. Uncompensated care costs in Hawaii would increase by $2.8 billion over this period. Illinois 82. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 850,000 people in Illinois gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Illinois Health Insurance Marketplace, an estimated 91,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 83. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 5,635,622 people in Illinois have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 00036 4,670,000 people in Illinois with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 5,883,105 people in Illinois, including 2,380,326 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 84. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 314,038 people in Illinois covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 81 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Illinois received a premium tax credit that averaged $4,372 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 85. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 340,000 fewer people in Illinois would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 39,000 more getting all needed care, 48,400 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 31,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 410 avoided deaths each year in Illinois. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 86. Impact on Medicare: The 2,118,300 people with Medicare in Illinois would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 187,357 people in Illinois with $1,133 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 1,546,769 people with Medicare in Illinois used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Illinois. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions 00037 for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 8,108 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Illinois in 2015. The 29 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Illinois that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 87. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Illinois would also be reduced under an injunction. Illinois received $115,192,088 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $28,383,246 for immunizations and $5,106,535 for tobacco cessation efforts. 88. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Illinois would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $12.5 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $37.4 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $49.9 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Illinois hospitals could lose $24.6 billion and physicians could lose $8.0 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Illinois would increase by $54.5 billion over this period. Kentucky 89. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 404,000 people in Kentucky gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Kentucky Health Insurance Marketplace, an estimated 31,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 90. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 1,894,874 people in Kentucky have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 1,414,000 people in Kentucky with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the 00038 ACA. An estimated 1,884,719 people in Kentucky, including 762,897 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 91. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 71,585 people in Kentucky covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 78 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Kentucky received a premium tax credit that averaged $3,519 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 92. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 151,000 fewer people in Kentucky would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 17,000 more getting all needed care, 21,500 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 14,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 180 avoided deaths each year in Kentucky. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 93. Impact on Medicare: The 881,938 people with Medicare in Kentucky would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 83,989 people in Kentucky with $1,194 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 634,656 people with Medicare in Kentucky used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Kentucky. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 2,384 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Kentucky in 2015. The 22 Accountable Care 00039 Organizations (ACOs) in Kentucky that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 94. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Kentucky would also be reduced under an injunction. Kentucky received $36,712,458 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $11,025,151 for immunizations and $2,112,229 for tobacco cessation efforts. 95. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Kentucky would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $2.9 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $46.8 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $49.7 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Kentucky hospitals could lose $23.1 billion and physicians could lose $6.9 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Kentucky would increase by $15.6 billion over this period. Massachusetts 96. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 107,000 people in Massachusetts gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Massachusetts Health Insurance Marketplace (called the Massachusetts Health Connector), an estimated 52,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 97. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 2,931,068 people in Massachusetts have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums without the ACA. Before the ACA, 2,520,000 people in Massachusetts with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 3,399,092 people in Massachusetts, including 1,412,394 women ages 15–64, would 00040 lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 98. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 242,221 people in Massachusetts covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 74 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Massachusetts received a premium tax credit that averaged $2,135 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 99. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 2,000 fewer people in Massachusetts would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 100. Impact on Medicare: The 1,252,277 people with Medicare in Massachusetts would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 90,664 people in Massachusetts with $1,194 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 938,405 people with Medicare in Massachusetts used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Massachusetts. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 2,213 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Massachusetts in 2015. The 14 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Massachusetts that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 00041 101. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Massachusetts would also be reduced under an injunction. Massachusetts received $108,021,166 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $12,404,884 for immunizations and $2,147,272 for tobacco cessation efforts. 102. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Massachusetts would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $5.4 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $17.2 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $22.5 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Massachusetts hospitals could lose $6.1 billion and physicians could lose $2.6 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Massachusetts would increase by $17.1 billion over this period. Minnesota 103. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 250,000 people in Minnesota gained coverage. This number includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Minnesota Health Insurance Marketplace (called MNsure), an estimated 38,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 104. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Without the ACA up to 2,318,738 people in Minnesota have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether. Before the ACA, 2,043,000 people in Minnesota with employer or individual market coverage had lifetime limits on their insurance policies: if the ACA were enjoined, annual and lifetime limits would surely return. An estimated 2,761,583 people in Minnesota, including 1,075,362 women ages 15–64, would lose the federal guarantee of preventive services — such as flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are 00042 just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 105. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families who have benefitted from these provisions would pay more out of pocket for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 90,146 people in Minnesota covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 70 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Minnesota received premium tax credits that averaged $5,220 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 106. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 36,000 fewer people in Minnesota would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 4,000 more getting all needed care, 5,100 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 3,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 40 avoided deaths each year in Minnesota. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 107. Impact on Medicare: The 944,222 people with Medicare in Minnesota would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction than they now do. Prescription drug discounts, that saved 66,930 Minnesotans an average of $1,077 per beneficiary in 2016 would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 604,022 people with Medicare in Minnesota used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies that have lowered premiums, cost sharing, and taxpayer costs in Minnesota. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 1,435 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Minnesota in 2015. The 8 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Minnesota that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 00043 108. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Minnesota would also be reduced under an injunction. Minnesota received $83,959,272 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This sum includes $18,224,535 for immunizations and $3,177,506 for tobacco cessation efforts. 109. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Minnesota would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, Minnesota would lose $1.9 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $14.6 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $16.4 billion. Such a reduction in spending would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Minnesota hospitals could lose $7.3 billion and physicians could lose $2.7 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Minnesota would increase by $24.5 billion over this period. New Jersey 110. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 398,000 people in New Jersey gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the New Jersey Health Insurance Marketplace, an estimated 59,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 111. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 3,847,727 people in New Jersey have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 3,274,000 people in New Jersey with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 4,210,183 people in New Jersey, including 1,701,115 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. 00044 These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 112. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 243,743 people in New Jersey covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 79 percent of Marketplace enrollees in New Jersey received a premium tax credit that averaged $4,205 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 113. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 194,000 fewer people in New Jersey would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 22,000 more getting all needed care, 27,600 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 18,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 230 avoided deaths each year in New Jersey. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 114. Impact on Medicare: The 1,528,961 people with Medicare in New Jersey would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 202,098 people in New Jersey with $1,344 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 1,131,754 people with Medicare in New Jersey used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in New Jersey. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 6,774 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in New Jersey in 2015. The 29 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in New Jersey that offer Medicare beneficiaries the 00045 opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 115. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in New Jersey would also be reduced under an injunction. New Jersey received $54,491,391 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $14,039,534 for immunizations and $2,578,857 for tobacco cessation efforts. 116. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on New Jersey would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $6.7 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $53 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $59.7 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, New Jersey hospitals could lose $30.2 billion and physicians could lose $10.4 billion. Uncompensated care costs in New Jersey would increase by $29.0 billion over this period. New York 117. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 939,000 people in New York gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the New York Health Insurance Marketplace (called New York State of Health), an estimated 147,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 118. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 8,616,234 people in New York have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 6,432,000 people in New York with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 8,619,856 people in New York, including 3,582,133 00046 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 119. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 207,083 people in New York covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 55 percent of Marketplace enrollees in New York received a premium tax credit that averaged $2,763 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 120. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 143,000 fewer people in New York would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 16,000 more getting all needed care, 20,300 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 13,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 170 avoided deaths each year in New York. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. This could, for example, mean that people with disabilities in New York’s Community First Choice program could lose access to services. 121. Impact on Medicare: The 3,424,666 people with Medicare in New York would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 348,566 people in New York with $1,320 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 2,440,280 people with Medicare in New York used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in New York. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital 00047 readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 8,407 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in New York in 2015. The 38 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in New York that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 122. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in New York would also be reduced under an injunction. New York received $211,920,470 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $49,114,866 for immunizations and $6,245,494 for tobacco cessation efforts. 123. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on New York would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $9.9 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $47.3 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $57.2 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, New York hospitals could lose $23.2 billion and physicians could lose $9.0 billion. Uncompensated care costs in New York would increase by $47.4 billion over this period. North Carolina 124. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 552,000 people in North Carolina gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the North Carolina Health Insurance Marketplace, an estimated 70,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 125. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 4,099,922 people in North Carolina have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 3,091,000 people in North Carolina with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an 00048 injunction to the ACA. An estimated 3,966,308 people in North Carolina, including 1,631,312 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 126. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 450,822 people in North Carolina covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 93 percent of Marketplace enrollees in North Carolina received a premium tax credit that averaged $7,100 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 127. Impact on Medicaid: If North Carolina expanded Medicaid under the ACA, an estimated 313,000 people would gain Medicaid coverage. This coverage would improve access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it would result in an estimated 36,000 more getting all needed care, 44,500 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 29,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 380 avoided deaths each year in North Carolina. Enjoining the law would put these potential benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 128. Impact on Medicare: The 1,823,454 people with Medicare in North Carolina would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 165,931 people in North Carolina with $1,117 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 1,377,219 people with Medicare in North Carolina used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in North Carolina. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and 00049 avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 2,472 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in North Carolina in 2015. The 20 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in North Carolina that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 129. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in North Carolina would also be reduced under an injunction. North Carolina received $109,531,769 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $12,919,323 for immunizations and $3,778,227 for tobacco cessation efforts. 130. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on North Carolina would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $38.2 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $20.7 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $59.0 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, North Carolina hospitals could lose $22.7 billion and physicians could lose $8.7 billion. Uncompensated care costs in North Carolina would increase by $35.0 billion over this period. Oregon 131. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 403,000 people in Oregon gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Oregon Health Insurance Marketplace called OregonHealthCare.gov, an estimated 28,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 132. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 1,692,205 people in Oregon have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 00050 1,356,000 people in Oregon with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 1,737,240 people in Oregon, including 721,318 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 133. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 137,305 people in Oregon covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 75 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Oregon received a premium tax credit that averaged $4,144 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 134. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 159,000 fewer people in Oregon would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 18,000 more getting all needed care, 22,600 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 15,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 190 avoided deaths each year in Oregon. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. This could, for example, mean that people with disabilities in Oregon’s Community First Choice program could lose access to services. 135. Impact on Medicare: The 784,032 people with Medicare in Oregon would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 50,777 people in Oregon with $1,035 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 496,232 people with Medicare in Oregon used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would 00051 increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Oregon. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 75 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Oregon in 2015. The 4 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Oregon that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 136. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Oregon would also be reduced under an injunction. Oregon received $52,128,626 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $15,494,592 for immunizations and $1,864,629 for tobacco cessation efforts. 137. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Oregon would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $3.3 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $35.1 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $38.4 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Oregon hospitals could lose $17.5 billion and physicians could lose $5.7 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Oregon would increase by $15.2 billion over this period. Rhode Island 138. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 68,000 people in Rhode Island gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Rhode Island Health Insurance Marketplace (called HealthSource RI), an estimated 8,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 139. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 462,538 people in Rhode Island have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being 00052 charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 374,000 people in Rhode Island with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 484,193 people in Rhode Island, including 201,595 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 140. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 29,065 people in Rhode Island covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 78 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Rhode Island received a premium tax credit that averaged $2,974 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 141. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 22,000 fewer people in Rhode Island would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 3,000 more getting all needed care, 3,200 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 2,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 30 avoided deaths each year in Rhode Island. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 142. Impact on Medicare: The 208,324 people with Medicare in Rhode Island would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 14,990 people in Rhode Island with $1,004 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 148,724 people with Medicare in Rhode Island used in 2016. It would suspend payment 00053 policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Rhode Island. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 487 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Rhode Island in 2015. The 5 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Rhode Island that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 143. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Rhode Island would also be reduced under an injunction. Rhode Island received $34,890,537 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $5,997,036 for immunizations and $326,347 for tobacco cessation efforts. 144. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Rhode Island would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $700 million in federal Marketplace spending and $6.7 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $7.4 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Rhode Island hospitals could lose $3.8 billion and physicians could lose $1.4 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Rhode Island would increase by $2.8 billion over this period. Vermont 145. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 26,000 people in Vermont gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Vermont Health Insurance Marketplace (called Vermont Health Connect), an estimated 5,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 146. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 00054 280,727 people in Vermont have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 215,000 people in Vermont with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 285,858 people in Vermont, including 122,892 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 147. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 29,088 people in Vermont covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 76 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Vermont received a premium tax credit that averaged $3,898 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 148. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 3,000 fewer people in Vermont would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 149. Impact on Medicare: The 136,021 people with Medicare in Vermont would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 10,466 people in Vermont with $1,206 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 94,170 people with Medicare in Vermont used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Vermont. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions 00055 for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015. The 3 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Vermont that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 150. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Vermont would also be reduced under an injunction. Vermont received $16,564,102 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $2,706,809 for immunizations and $299,828 for tobacco cessation efforts. 151. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Vermont would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $1.0 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $1.9 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $2.9 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Vermont hospitals could lose $500 million and physicians could lose $300 million. Uncompensated care costs in Vermont would increase by $2.4 billion over this period. Virginia 152. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 327,000 people in Virginia gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Virginia Health Insurance Marketplace, an estimated 59,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those who gained coverage due to the employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 153. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 3,491,076 people in Virginia have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 2,974,000 people in Virginia with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 3,902,716 people in Virginia, including 1,587,663 women ages 15–64, 00056 would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 154. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 364,614 people in Virginia covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 83 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Virginia received a premium tax credit that averaged $3,807 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 155. Impact on Medicaid: Virginia is debating expanding Medicaid under the ACA, which could lead to an estimated 179,000 people in Virginia gaining coverage. This would improve access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it could result in an estimated 20,000 more getting all needed care, 25,500 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 16,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 220 avoided deaths each year in Virginia. Enjoining the law would put these potential benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. 156. Impact on Medicare: The 1,392,261 people with Medicare in Virginia would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 109,517 people in Virginia with $1,104 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 1,026,111 people with Medicare in Virginia used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Virginia. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 2,302 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Virginia in 2015. The 25 Accountable Care Organizations 00057 (ACOs) in Virginia that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 157. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Virginia would also be reduced under an injunction. Virginia received $79,675,902 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $15,357,774 for immunizations and $3,545,823 for tobacco cessation efforts. 158. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Virginia would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $15.4 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $2.6 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $18.0 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Virginia hospitals could lose $7.8 billion and physicians could lose $3.7 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Virginia would increase by $28.7 billion over this period. Washington 159. Between 2010 and 2015, an estimated 537,000 people in Washington gained coverage. This includes a large fraction of the people covered in the Washington Health Insurance Marketplace (called Washington Healthplanfinder), an estimated 50,000 young adults who gained coverage by staying on their parents’ health insurance, and those gaining coverage from the law’s Medicaid expansion and employer shared responsibility policy. This coverage would be at risk if the ACA were enjoined. 160. Impact on Consumer Protections: Numerous consumer protections in private insurance would also be lost if the ACA were enjoined or if there were an injunction ending the law. Up to 2,969,739 people in Washington have a pre-existing condition and would be at risk for being charged unaffordable premiums or denied coverage altogether without the ACA. Before the ACA, 2,427,000 people in Washington with employer or individual market coverage had a lifetime limit on their insurance policy: annual and lifetime limits would return under an injunction to the ACA. An estimated 3,079,369 people in Washington, including 1,258,201 00058 women ages 15–64, would lose federally guaranteed of preventive services — like flu shots, cancer screenings, and contraception – which are now provided at no extra cost to consumers. These are just a few of the ACA’s consumer protections that could be lost if this court allows the ACA to be enjoined. 161. Impact on Marketplace Coverage: The ACA provides financial support for private coverage through premium tax credits and cost-sharing reductions. If the ACA were enjoined, individuals and families that have benefitted from these provisions would pay more for health coverage or go without it altogether. Many of the 184,070 people in Washington covered in the Health Insurance Marketplace would lose coverage without the ACA. In 2017, 63 percent of Marketplace enrollees in Washington received a premium tax credit that averaged $3,040 per person. That financial assistance would no longer be available under an injunction. 162. Impact on Medicaid: Without the ACA, an estimated 55,000 fewer people in Washington would have Medicaid coverage. The law’s Medicaid expansion improved access to care, financial security, and health. For example, it resulted in an estimated 6,000 more getting all needed care, 7,800 fewer struggling to pay medical bills, 5,000 fewer experiencing symptoms of depression, and 70 avoided deaths each year in Washington. Enjoining the law would put these benefits at risk, along with improvements to long-term services and supports, eligibility simplifications, and policies to lower drug costs and improve the quality of care in Medicaid. This could, for example, mean that people with disabilities in Washington’s Community First Choice program could lose access to services. 163. Impact on Medicare: The 1,238,649 people with Medicare in Washington would also lose benefits and pay more under an injunction. Prescription drug discounts, which provided 71,499 people in Washington with $1,065 in average annual savings per beneficiary in 2016, would end. It would roll back the coverage of proven preventive services with no cost sharing which 805,142 people with Medicare in Washington used in 2016. It would suspend payment policies which would increase premiums, cost sharing, and well as taxpayer costs in Washington. It would also disrupt programs to reduce preventable patient harms and avoidable readmissions. 00059 Hospital readmissions for Medicare beneficiaries dropped between 2010 and 2015, which translates into 1,388 fewer unnecessary returns to the hospital in Washington in 2015. The 6 Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Washington that offer Medicare beneficiaries the opportunity to receive higher quality, more coordinated care would no longer operate under an injunction. 164. Impact on Public Health: Support for public health in Washington would also be reduced under an injunction. Washington received $84,038,862 from the law’s Prevention and Public Health Fund between fiscal years 2012 and 2016. This includes $21,648,368 for immunizations and $4,207,707 for tobacco cessation efforts. 165. Impact on Finances: The financial impact on Washington would be significant. From 2019 to 2028, it would lose $4.7 billion in federal Marketplace spending and $38.1 billion in federal Medicaid spending. The combined loss of federal spending over this period would be $42.8 billion. This would have a major impact on health care providers. From 2019 to 2028, Washington hospitals could lose $23.3 billion and physicians could lose $7.7 billion. Uncompensated care costs in Washington would increase by $33.9 billion over this period. Conclusion 166. Based on my knowledge and experience, I believe that invalidating the Affordable Care Act would cause significant harm to the nation, across all States, to the economy and to the health insurance market. It would immediately end federal support for Medicaid coverage for nearly 12 million individuals in 32 states and the District of Columbia; it would deprive residents of the remaining states of the option to expand Medicaid coverage, an option that is under active debate in Virginia, Maine, and others, of broadening coverage in the future; it would reduce access to coverage for low and middle income Americans; it would increase drug costs. Further, the disruption caused by such an occurrence would cause immediate financial harm to medical providers and insurance companies, and significantly disrupt their ability to conduct business 00060 across all healthcare markets, including individual, Medicaid and Medicare, and small group markets. I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct and of my own personal knowledge. Executed on May 29, 2018, in Washington, D.C. Bruce and Virginia MacLaury Senior Fellow The Brookings Institution *The views expressed here are my own and do not necessarily represent those of the trustees, officers or other staff ofthe Brookings Institution. Affiliation listed for identification only. 00061 1 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION 2 3 8 TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LeP AGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, 9 Plaintiffs, 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 14 Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 V. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, 15 Defendants. 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 · 23 24 CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAIi, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF BENJAMIN BARNES IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION 25 26 27 28 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: l 8-cv-00167-0) 00062 1 I, Benjamin Barnes declare: 2 3 1. I am the Secretary of the Connecticut Office of Policy and Management. In that role, I 4 report directly to the Governor and oversee budget and policy development and implementation 5 for the State of Connecticut, including health policy issues. The facts stated herein are of my own 6 personal knowledge and knowledge I have gained from information provided by the Departments 7 of Public Health and Social Services, the Office of Health Strategy and Access Health CT. 8 2. The Connecticut Office of Policy and Management (OPM) functions as the Governor's 9 10 11 staff agency and plays a central role in state government, providing the information and analysis used to formulate public policy for the state and assisting state agencies and municipalities in implementing policy decisions on the Governor's behalf. OPM prepares the Governor's budget 12 proposal and implements and monitors the execution of the budget as adopted by the General 13 14 15 Assembly. Through intra-agency and inter-agency efforts, OPM strengthens and improves the delivery of services to the citizens of Connecticut, and increases the efficiency and effectiveness of state government through integrated processes and system improvements. 16 17 This declaration is submitted in support of the Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application 18 for Preliminary Injunction. Based on my knowledge and experience, dismantling the Affordable 19 Care Act would cause severe harm to the State of Connecticut, to its residents and to its economy. 20 In addition to loss of benefits and services and federal investments to support Connecticut's 21 healthcare system, dismantling or suspending implementation of the Affordable Care Act would 22 cause harm and increased costs from the dismantling of the state's administrative structure and 23 apparatus, created in compliance with, and to work in conjunction with, the Affordable Care Act " 24 Connecticut projects costs of at least $3.2 million to change eligibility and issue notices, 25 including the cost of system changes. While the cost of mailings to notify impacted individuals is 26 projected to cost approximately $600,000, the cost to design, develop and implement the 27 necessary system changes is projected to cost a minimum.of $2.6 million. These figures do not 28 2 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-00167-0) 00063 1 2 include state staff costs nor the potential cost of evaluating impacted individuals to determine eligibility for alternative coverage prior to termination. 3 4 5 3. The Affordable Care Act directs billions of dollars directly to Connecticut. • Connecticut sought and received extensive new federal resources under the 6 Affordable Care Act (ACA). Specifically, Connecticut has received $5.9 billion via 7 Medicaid expansion ($1.2 billion as an early adopter beginning April 2010 and $4. 7 8 billion from January 2014 through December 2017); $73.1 million through the 9 Community First Choice Option; $51.5 million in enhanced reimbursement related 10 to the Money Follows the Person Demonstration (from October 2011, when the 11 demonstration was extended ( and expanded) under the ACA, through December 12 2017); $29.0 million through the Prevention and Public Health Fund and $19.8 13 million through other public health grants-in-aid that were awarded to Connecticut 14 state agencies; $77 .5 million through the Balancing Incentive Program; $11.3 15 million in enhanced reimbursement related to the behavioral health, health homes; 16 and $21.8 million in enhanced reimbursement for the Children's Health Insurance 17 Program (CHIP). 18 • The ACA also enabled Connecticut's Medicaid agency, the Department of Social 19 Services, to partner with the state-based health insurance exchange, Access Health 20 CT, to launch a shared/ integrated eligibility system that encompasses HUSKY 21 Health (Medicaid / CHIP) and private qualified health plans offered through the 22 Exchange. This has created a common entry point for all individuals seeking health 23 insurance, has automated many aspects of eligibility verification and has improved 24 the integrity and timeliness of the eligibility process. Efficient and comprehensive 25 documentation of eligibility is an essential feature of ensuring appropriate access to 26 the range of available insurance coverage options. 27 28 • In addition to the $48.8 million provided through the Prevention and Public Health Fund (PPHF) and other public health grants-in-aid awarded to state agencies, other 3 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-OO 167-0) 00064 1 Connecticut organizations were direct beneficiaries of ACA-funded initiatives to 2 help address the health care needs of vulnerable populations, such as federally 3 qualified health centers, school based health centers, hospitals, and universities. 4 Furthermore, since 100% of funding for the Preventive Health and Health Services 5 Block Grant (PHHSBG) comes from the Prevention and Public Health Fund, if the 6 ACA is repealed and funding for the block grant is eliminated, the following 7 programs would be greatly impacted: asthma management education, cancer 8 prevention, cardiovascular disease prevention, childhood lead poisoning 9 surveillance, diabetes education and self-management classes, smoking cessation, 10 injury prevention, suicide prevention, and rape crisis programs. PHHSBG funds 11 also support the state's emergency medical services, public health surveillance and 12 evaluation efforts, and national and local public health accreditation initiatives. 13 Since 2014, Connecticut has received a total of $9.0 million in PHHSBG funding. 14 15 16 4. The Affordable Care Act increased access to affordable coverage. • Overall, the number of individuals with insurance has significantly increased. Based 17 on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the percentage of people in Connecticut 18 without health insurance decreased from 9.4% in 2013 to 4.9% in 2016. The 19 percentage of uninsured adults between 18 and 64 years of age decreased from 20 14.8% in 2011 to 8.2% in 2016. Connecticut has historically had a high percentage 21 of children with health coverage and saw similar improvements in the rate of insured 22 children, although exact numbers are not readily available. 23 • The ACA expanded coverage through two key mechanisms: Medicaid expansion 24 for those individuals with the lowest incomes, and federal health subsidies which 25 allowed individuals with moderate incomes to purchase coverage in new health 26 insurance exchanges. 27 28 • Medicaid is an important source of healthcare coverage and has resulted in significant coverage gains, as well as reductions in the uninsured rate, both among 4 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-00167-0) 00065 1 the low-income population and within other vulnerable populations. As a result of 2 Medicaid expansion, approximately 240,000 people have coverage which enabled 3 them to access a Medicaid benefit - HUSKY D, our Medicaid expansion group, 4 which increased from 44,753 in April 2010, when Connecticut became an early 5 adopter, to 99,103 in December 2013. With the increase in income eligibility to 6 138% of the federal poverty level, emollment has grown to approximately 240,000. 7 o Research shows that coverage: gives people more financial security from the 8 catastrophic costs of a serious health condition; tends to improve mental 9 health; and enables earlier diagnosis and more effective self-management of 10 conditions such as diabetes. 11 • Pursuant to the ACA, the Exchange serves the residents of the State of Connecticut 12 by offering emollees in qualified health plans financial assistance through advance 13 payments of the premium tax credit (APTCs) to help pay health insurance 14 premiums, and cost-sharing reductions (CSRs) that reduce the amount of out-of15 pocket costs that eligible consumers are required to pay for health care expenses 16 during the year. 17 e The Exchange is one of the important reforms created by the ACA, allowing 18 individuals and small employers to access health insurance plans in a setting where 19 they can compare various options, and also apply for and receive financial assistance 20 to help pay for their coverage. In Connecticut, an average of 85,000 individuals per 21 year receive federally subsidized coverage because of the ACA. 22 • The ACA created robust consumer protections to help ensure individuals can access 23 the healthcare system. Through Connecticut's Exchange, over 14,000 individuals 24 under age 26 receive health insurance coverage on their parent's plan- a benefit 25 offered under the ACA. Connecticut does not have statewide estimates for how 26 many individuals under age 26 receive coverage under parent-held policies, but 27 given the rate of coverage under parental plans for the 85,000 Access Health CT 28 5 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support of Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4:18-cv-00167-0) 00066 1 recipients (slightly over 16%), one could assume tens of thousands more each year 2 receive coverage under parent-held policies. 3 4 5 5. The ACA has had positive economic benefits on states. • budget savings, revenue gains, and overall economic growth. 6 7 Studies have shown that states expanding Medicaid under the ACA have realized • Based on an analysis prepared by the Milken Institute School of Public Health at the 8 George Washington University, repealing two key elements of the ACA (federal 9 premium tax credits and federal payments to states for expansion of Medicaid 10 eligibility for low-income adults) would result in the loss in 2019 of approximately 11 35,900 jobs across many industries in Connecticut and would result in the loss of the 12 following over a five-year period (from 2019 through 2023): 13 o $12.5 billion in federal funds; 14 o $3 9 .1 billion in business output; 15 o $23 .3 billion in gross state product; and 16 o $748 million in state and local taxes. 17 6. The ACA expanded programs in Medicaid to provide States with increased 18 opportunities to increase access to home and community-based services. 19 • The ACA authorized the extension of and additional federal funding for the highly 20 successful Money Follows the Person (MFP) demonstration grant; MFP has 21 supported nearly 5,000 individuals with disabilities and older adults in moving from 22 nursing facilities to their setting of choice, at lower cost and with greater opportunity 23 for community engagement; 24 • The ACA established the Community First Choice (CFC) State Plan Option, 25 encouraging states to provide home and community-based attendant services and 26 supports to individuals who would otherwise require institutional level of care under 27 the Medicaid State Plan, by providing a State Plan option that enabled states to 28 6 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-00167-0) 00067 1 provide payment for self-directed personal care attendants and other services without 2 needing to apply for a waiver and which provided additional programmatic 3 flexibility beyond that authorized under waivers; under the ACA, CFC also provides 4 a 6 percentage point increase in federal matching payments for these services; CFC 5 has enabled thousands of people at risk of nursing home placement to hire personal 6 7 care attendants, providing flexible, personalized in-home supports; • The ACA appropriated funding for the Balancing Incentive Program (BIP), which 8 provided an enhanced match rate of 2% for non-institutional long-term services and 9 supports to states that commit to increasing access to community-based long-term 10 services and supports; in total, Connecticut received over $77 million in BIP 11 funding, which was reinvested in home and community-based long-term services 12 and supports; and 13 • The ACA expanded the permissible eligibility limits and scope of services under the 14 section 1915(i) Home and Community-Based Services State Plan Option (which was 15 an optional State Plan service initially established by the Deficit Reduction Act of 16 2005). 17 These programs have all helped Connecticut in its efforts to continue to shift the balance 18 of long-term services and supports spending for Medicaid members from institutional settings to 19 home and community-based care. 20 21 22 23 7. The ACA has allowed States to test and implement reforms to healthcare delivery systems that support State policy priorities of increasing efficiency and quality of care. • Since 2013, Connecticut has received $2.8 million for a planning grant and a 24 commitment of $45 million through 2020 for the State Innovation Model (SIM) Test 25 grant from the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI) to develop 26 and implement a model for healthcare delivery supported by value-based payment 27 methodologies tied to the totality of care delivered to at least 80% of our population 28 within five years, supporting the triple aim of better health while eliminating health 7 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support ofintervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4:18-cv-00167-0) 00068 1 disparities, improving healthcare quality and experience, and reducing growth in 2 healthcare costs. This initiative has brought private and public payers, including 3 Medicaid, together to implement a value-based care delivery and payment approach 4 that has focused upon alignment with the Medicare Accountable Care Organization 5 (ACO) strategy, development of common quality measures, and use of shared 6 savings and other payment mechanisms. In addition, Connecticut Medicaid has 7 implemented a pay-for-performance primary care medical home initiative that serves 8 almost half of all members, and has built on this by layering on additional features of 9 care coordination and a shared savings feature. 10 o Implementing value-based care delivery reforms and payment strategies has 11 enabled new person-centered strategies that have better coordinated services 12 and supports for high need, high cost individuals and allowed Medicaid to 13 tie outcomes and care experience to payment. 14 Under Connecticut's Medicaid program, the ACA has: 15 • Permitted coverage of new services that are of great benefit to Medicaid 16 beneficiaries - just one example is coverage of tobacco cessation services 17 (counseling, treatment and medications) 18 o This is a well-targeted service because many sources estimate that far more 19 Medicaid beneficiaries smoke than is typical of the general population, and 20 smoking-related conditions are ubiquitous and expensive to manage 21 • Provided new family planning services for eligible individuals 22 o Family planning services support good reproductive health and help reduce 23 unintended pregnancies, which in tum promotes better long-term health, 24 completion of education and improved outcomes of subsequent pregnancies 25 • Enabled Connecticut to implement a behavioral health, health home effort under 26 section 1945 of the Social Security Act whereby providers integrate and coordinate 27 all primary, acute, behavioral health, and long-term services and supports to treat the 28 8 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-OO 167-0) 00069 1 whole person. In addition to the increased programmatic options provided to health 2 homes under the ACA, Connecticut also received federal reimbursement of 90% on 3 behavioral health, health home expenditures during the first eight calendar quarters 4 after the health home was established. 5 o 6 to integrate behavioral health, primary care and community-based supports 7 8 for people with Serious and Persistent Mental Illness (SPMI) • 9 Fully funded primary care provider rate increases in calendar years 2013 and 2014. These increases, though continued on a somewhat more limited basis in Connecticut, 10 have dramatically increased participation of primary care practitioners in Medicaid 11 from 1,622 in January 2012 to 3,598 in December 2017 12 o 13 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 Access to primary care is a key aspect of Medicaid reform and an essential means ofreducing use of the emergency department, as well as effective 14 15 Health homes are enabling local mental health authorities and their affiliates management of chronic conditions. • Broadened the scope of the preventive services benefit category in section 1905(a)(13)(C) of the Social Security Act to include services recommended by a physician or other licensed practitioner of the healing arts (previously, this benefit category was limited only to services actually provided by physicians and other licensed practitioners). The increased scope of this benefit category is crucial to enable appropriate coverage of services that are most effectively provided by a variety of practitioners and in a variety of settings (especially in home and community-based settings), particularly relevant for services that address behavioral health, substance use disorder, and/or developmental conditions. o This increased programmatic flexibility under this broadened Medicaid State Plan benefit category has enabled Connecticut to add coverage for Autism Spectrum Disorder services and is a key component of Connecticut's updated coverage of Early Intervention Services pursuant to Early and Periodic 28 9 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-00167-0) 00070 1 Screening, Diagnostic and Treatment (EPSDT) services. Both of these 2 services are primarily provided in the home and other community-based 3 settings and permit broader access to early intervention services which are 4 critical for school and social success and, to the degree feasible, ultimately 5 6 independent living and integration within the community as adults. • Established various optional State Plan services, demonstrations, and other 7 flexibility that Connecticut is reviewing for potential future adoption. For example, 8 Connecticut may elect to establish one or more additional health homes in the future 9 and/or may establish coverage for one or more additional types of services under the 10 11 12 ACA-broadened preventive services Medicaid State Plan benefit category. In addition, the ACA strengthened overall public health with many initiatives, including: • 13 direct patient access employees oflong-term care facilities - 42,658 background 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Establishing a nationwide program for national and state background checks on checks completed since October 1, 2015, helping to ensure a safe workforce. • Requiring nursing facilities to: (1) report information regarding members of the governing body of the facility, promoting transparency of governance to Connecticut's nursing facility residents, their families and/or other responsible parties; (2) implement and strictly enforce a compliance and ethics program, thereby fostering compliance with regulations and a culture of program integrity; (3) establish standards for Quality Assurance and Performance Improvement programs and codify best practices, improving quality of care and service delivery; (4) electronically submit staffing information to help ensure adequate staffing is in place 23 to deliver quality care and services; and (5) provide written notification at least 60 24 days in advance of a closure to allow residents adequate time to successfully relocate 25 26 27 to another facility or a home or community-based setting. • . Developing consumer-oriented websites, providing useful information to consumers when accessing care, posting deficiency statements, violation letters, and facility 28 10 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4:18-cv-00167-0) 00071 1 plans of corrections, and standardizing a complaint process for consumers to report 2 quality of care or other issues. 3 e 4 Requiring that nurse aide training programs include dementia management training and patient abuse prevention training, thus enhancing the skill set of the workforce. 5 6 7 8 8. The ACA resulted in better quality and more accessible, affordable healthcare for consumers. • The ACA not only improves access to healthcare for the uninsured, it ensures better healthcare coverage for immunizations for those with existing insurance coverage by 9 10 requiring that insurance plans cover all recommended vaccines outside of the 11 patient's insurance deductible. 12 • The ACA helped meet the increasing needs of Connecticut's most vulnerable 13 populations by increasing National Health Service Corps funding for scholarships 14 and loan repayment, more than doubling the primary, dental, and mental health 15 clinicians working in Connecticut's Health Professional Shortage Areas. 16 • The PPHF allowed 16 health systems, between 2014 and 2018, to improve their 17 capacity to identify patients with poorly controlled diabetes and hypertension, 18 resulting in improved care for up to 164,118 individuals in Connecticut (and also 19 improved their awareness of prediabetes, identifying 33, 081 patients with 20 prediabetes) 21 • ACA funding supported an expansion in the capacity of the CT Quitline. Between 22 July 1, 2013 and June 30, 2017, an additional 500 Quitline callers stopped their 23 tobacco use, resulting in an estimated $4 million in averted future medical and non- 24 medical costs related to tobacco use. 25 • Between 2011 and 2018, over 6,830 youth ages 13-19 have participated in the ACA- 26 funded Personal Responsibility Education Program (PREP) program, which 27 provides education on abstinence and contraception in order to prevent pregnancy 28 and sexually transmitted infections. The delivery of evidence-based, comprehensive 11 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support ofintervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction ( 4: 18-cv-OO 167-0) 00072 1 PREP prevention education to at-risk youth has contributed to a significant decline 2 in the birth rates for teens ages 15-19. The Connecticut teen birth rate dropped from 3 .18.8 per 1,000 births in 2012 to 14.9 per 1,000 births in 2014. 4 • ACA PHHSBG funding allowed community-based public health providers to 5 address existing service gaps in their communities. These providers reported 6 measurable improvements in health outcomes, access to services, and reductions in 7 health risk behaviors as a result of their programmatic interventions, such as: 8 o Reduction in children under 6 years of age with confirmed blood lead levels 9 at or above the CDC reference value of (5µg/dL) from 3.1 % in 2012 to 2.7% 10 in 2016 11 o 12 Reduction in the percent of youth (high school) who currently smoke cigarettes from 14% in 2011 to 5.6% in 2015 13 o Increases in estimated influenza vaccination coverage levels for adults (18- 14 64 years of age) from 34.4% in 2012 to 43.6% in 2016 15 o Increases in estimated HPV vaccination coverage for female adolescents 13- 16 17 years of age meeting the CDC guidelines from 43.6% in 2012 to 56.9% in 17 2016 18 o Increases in estimated HPV vaccination coverage for male adolescents 13-17 19 years of age meeting the CDC guidelines from 8.5% in 2012 to 41.5% in 20 2016 21 o 22 Reduction in number of newly diagnosed cases of HIV from 3 51 in 2011 to 269 in 2016 23 o Reduction in rate of chlamydia incidence among youth 15-19 years of age 24 from 1,973 per 100,000 in 2011 to 1,289 per 100,000 in 2016 25 o Increases in estimated vaccine coverage levels for Advisory Committee on 26 Immunization Practices recommended vaccines among children 19-35 27 months of age from 57.9% in 2010 to 75.7% in 2016. 28 12 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4·18-cv-00167-0) 00073 1 • 2 Prevention and Public Health Fund dollars have been utilized to maintain high childhood immunization coverage levels, track vaccination coverage and contain 3 disease outbreaks. If this funding were eliminated, it could adversely affect 4 Connecticut's vaccination rates, resulting in disease outbreaks of vaccine 5 preventable diseases. Of note, newborn babies would be at increased risk, 6 particularly from hepatitis B, influenza and pertussis. Additionally, the state would 7 experience a loss of funding for critical technology to sustain the state's 8 immunization information system. 9 • 10 In addition, ACA funding has strengthened the state's capacity to address infectious disease outbreaks through the use of molecular fingerprinting tools, resulting in 11 more timely identification and treatment of impacted individuals. These funds have 12 also supported the state's capacity to address hospital-acquired infections and drug-. 13 14 15 16 17 resistant infections. All of the foregoing benefits of the Affordable Care Act would be removed if the Plaintiffs' motion for preliminary injunction were granted. It would then be a policy decision for the next administration and/or legislature as to whether some of these programs are retained at state expense. 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 13 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4-J 8-cv-00167-0) 00074 1 I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct to the best of my 2 knowledge and belief. 3 Executed on June 5, 2018, in Hartford, Connecticut. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 ELEANOR M. MICHAEL NOTARY PUBLIC MY COMMISSION EXPIRES JUNE 30, 2018 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 14 Deel. of Benjamin Barnes in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4· 18-cv-00167-0) 00075 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-O v. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAII, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF PETER BERNS IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS’ OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION I, Peter Berns, declare: 1. Since July 2008, I have served as Chief Executive Officer of The Arc. Prior to taking on this position, I served as the Executive Director of the Maryland Association of Nonprofit 00076 Organizations for sixteen years as well as Deputy Chief of Consumer Protection in the Maryland Attorney General’s Office. In my current role, I oversee the wide variety of work performed by our national office staff-in conjunction with our nationwide chapter network—in support of the right of people with intellectual and developmental disabilities and their families to live, work, learn, and socialize in the community, free from discrimination. Preserving and protecting the Affordable Care Act has been and continues to be a top priority for The Arc. 2. The Arc is the largest national community-based organization advocating for and serving people with intellectual and developmental disabilities (I/DD) and their families, with more than 650 state and local chapters nationwide. The Arc promotes and protects the human rights of people with intellectual and developmental disabilities and actively supports their full inclusion and participation in the community throughout their lifetimes. 3. The Arc views the Affordable Care Act (ACA) as critical for people with I/DD and their families in providing benefits, supports, and civil rights protections that help make community living possible. Through its public policy and legal advocacy work, The Arc has and continues to work vigorously to ensure the ACA is protected and preserved. 4. The ACA increased access to affordable coverage for individuals with I/DD and their families. People, including those with I/DD, who have access to comprehensive and affordable health insurance are more likely to receive the prescription drugs, therapies, and medical treatment they need to be healthy and maintain the ability to function in the community. The ACA has helped this population gain insurance through a variety of mechanisms: • The ACA ended exclusions for pre-existing conditions, prohibiting medical underwriting, and ending retroactive denials of coverage. Children and adults can access health insurance now that was previously denied because of a pre-existing condition. A pre-existing condition is one that existed before health coverage began 00077 and can include conditions that many people with I/DD have including seizures, diabetes, asthma and other conditions. • The ACA allowed coverage of dependents through age 26. This benefits many people with I/DD, who may have a longer transition period from youth to employment-based health coverage. • The ACA gave states the opportunity to expand Medicaid eligibility to childless adults with incomes up to 133% of the federal poverty level. • The ACA created private insurance exchanges for individuals as well as subsidies to assist low-income individuals in purchasing coverage. 5. The ACA has also improved the quality of insurance and health care that people with I/DD receive. People with I/DD often have multiple health conditions and are at risk of developing secondary disabilities without quality health care. Studies have documented a higher prevalence of adverse conditions, inadequate attention to health care needs, inadequate focus on health promotion, and inadequate access to quality health care services. The ACA improved health care quality in many ways, including the following: • The ACA eliminated co-pays for critical prevention services • The ACA included mental health services, rehabilitative and habilitative services and devices, and other critical disability services in the health plans sold in the exchanges • The ACA included coverage of dental and vision care for children in health insurance plans sold on the exchanges • The ACA eliminated lifetime limits on health insurance coverage and phasing out annual limits. These benefits can be crucial to many families with a member with I/DD who experiences complex and lifelong medical needs such as compromised breathing or swallowing or difficulty walking. • The ACA allows a free annual Medicare well visit with assessments and an individualized prevention plan. 00078 • The ACA eliminated Medicare Part D (drug coverage) co-pays for persons who are dual-eligible for Medicaid and Medicare, and who are receiving Medicaid waiver services. • The ACA expanded Medicare Part D coverage of anti-seizure, anti-anxiety, and antispasm medications. 6. The ACA prioritized home care rather than institutionalization as a cost-effective and community-based method of care for people with I/DD. Expanding home- and communitybased long term services and supports will reduce the need for nursing home and other institutional settings. In the long run, these investments in health care and home- and community-based services will improve health and reduce dependence on costly institutions. • The ACA created an option to provide health homes for Medicaid enrollees with chronic conditions. Health homes are intended to be person-centered systems of care that integrate primary, acute, behavioral health, and long term services. • The ACA established the Community First Choice Option for states to cover comprehensive community attendant services under the state’s Medicaid optional service plan and avoid costlier nursing home and other institutional care. • The ACA improved the existing Medicaid Section 1915(i) option for home and community based services by making it easier for individuals to qualify for services, allow states to target specific populations, and avoid costlier nursing home and other institutional care. • The ACA reduced Medicaid’s institutional bias by creating new financial incentives for states to rebalance their services from costlier institutional settings toward home and community based services. • The ACA extended the Money Follows the Person Demonstration program that provides additional federal payments to help people transition from costlier institutions to home- and community-based services. 00079 7. The ACA expands the information that researchers, policy makers and advocates have about the health care status of people with disabilities and supports future developments in health care for people with I/DD through a variety of programs that nurture innovation and improvement: • The ACA allows states in partnership with the federal government to try new models of care to provide better health care at lower costs to people with complex health care needs who are eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid. • The ACA created the Prevention and Public Health Fund to greatly expand wellness, disease prevention, and other public health priorities. • The ACA has improved data collection on health care access for people with disabilities. I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct and of my own personal knowledge. Executed on May 29, 2018, in Washington, DC. ~~ Chief Executive Officer The Arc SA2018100536 00080 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LeP AGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 v. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HA WAIi, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF SHARON C. BOYLE IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION 00081 I, Sharon C. Boyle, do hereby depose and state the following: 1. I am the General Counsel for the Massachusetts Executive Office of Health and Human Services (EOHHS). Prior to April 15, 20 18, I was the First Deputy General Counsel at the EOHHS and Chief MassHealth Counsel. MassHealth is the Medicaid and Children's Health Insurance Program for the Commonwealth of Massachusetts .. 2. I began working as an Assistant General Counsel at the Division of Medical Assistance, the agency then responsible for administration of the MassHealth program in or about 1995. The Executive Office of Health and Human Services has administered the MassHealth program since in or around 2003. I moved into my role as Chief MassHealth Counse l in or about 2011 . As General Counsel, I remain responsible to provide legal counsel to the MassHealth program. I have personal knowledge of the rules, regulations, and processes governing MassHealth, including those related to the Affordable Care Act (ACA). 3. I have either personal knowledge of the matters set forth below or, with respect to those matters for which I do not have personal knowledge; I have reviewed information gathered for me in my capacity as Chief MassHealth Counsel or General Counsel. 4. The ACA established a new Medicaid eligibility group for childless adults below 133% of the federal poverty limit (as determined using a Medicaid formula known as Medicaid Adjusted Gross Income or MAGI). This eligibility group is commonly referred to as the "Medicaid Expansion Population" or the "New Adult Group." 5. Under the ACA, states that opt to provide Medicaid coverage to the Medicaid Expansion population receive federal matching funds on their medical assistance expenditures at the rate of 89.6% in calendar year2018 . 2 00082 6. Currently, the Commonwealth's Medicaid program includes approximately 350,000 Massachusetts residents who are enrolled Members under the Medicaid Expansion. In the most recently completed state fiscal year 2017, MassHealth claimed $1.775 billion in federal financial participation for these members. 7. If the Plaintiffs' motion for preliminary injunction is granted, the foregoing benefits of the ACA would be lost. PURSUANT T028 U.S.C. § 1746, I DECLARE UNDER PENALTY OF PERJURY THAT THE FOREGOING IS TRUE AND CORRECT. / EXECUTED ON June~' 2018. General Counsel Executive Office of Health and Human Services Commonwealth ofMassachusetts 3 00083 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-O v. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAII, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF SABRINA CORLETTE IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS’ OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION I, Sabrina Corlette, declare: 1. I am a Research Professor at the Center on Health Insurance Reforms (CHIR) at Georgetown University’s Health Policy Institute. At CHIR, I direct research on health insurance 00084 reform issues. My areas of focus include state and federal regulation of private health insurance plans and markets and evolving insurance market rules. I have published numerous papers relating to the regulation of private health insurance and health insurance marketplaces. I also serve on the Standards Committee for the National Committee for Quality Assurance. Prior to joining the Georgetown faculty, I was Director of Health Policy Programs at the National Partnership for Women & Families, where I provided policy expertise and strategic direction for the organization’s advocacy on health care reform, with a particular focus on insurance market reform, benefit design, and the quality and affordability of health care. I also served as an attorney at Hogan Lovells, during which time I advised clients on health insurance, health finance, and food and drug regulatory matters. 2. Since 2010, I have authored over 25 research papers about the Affordable Care Act and its implementation. I have been invited to testify as an Affordable Care Act expert before seven congressional committees (U.S. House of Representatives and U.S. Senate) in the last five years. The California General Assembly invited me in January 2018 to testify about the status of the individual health insurance market. I regularly provide technical assistance to state departments of insurance, state policymakers, and other health care organizations regarding Affordable Care Act regulations and guidance and their impact on consumers and other health care stakeholders. I am frequently consulted by journalists seeking Affordable Care Act expertise, and have been quoted numerous times on health insurance and Affordable Care Act issues in national and local print, radio, web-based, and television media. A full list of my publications and media is available on our website at https://chir.georgetown.edu. 3. I understand that this lawsuit involves a challenge to the Affordable Care Act and seeks to enjoin it. In my expert opinion, enjoining the Affordable Care Act would cause significant disruption to the U.S. health care market, resulting in harm to patients, providers, insurance carriers, and federal and state governments. 4. The Affordable Care Act was enacted in part to correct serious deficiencies in the individual health insurance market that left millions uninsured and millions more with 00085 inadequate coverage that failed to protect them from serious financial harm if and when they got sick. In order to assess the effect the Affordable Care Act has had on the individual insurance market today, it is important to understand the market that Congress was seeking to change when it enacted the Affordable Care Act in 2010. 5. Prior to implementation of the Affordable Care Act’s market reforms, approximately 48 million Americans lacked health insurance.1 Those without health insurance have a lower life expectancy than those with coverage. Before the Affordable Care Act was enacted, an estimated 22,000 people per year died prematurely because they lacked insurance.2 This is likely because the uninsured are more than six times as likely as the privately insured to delay or forego needed care due to costs. For example, uninsured cancer patients are more than five times more likely than their insured counterparts to forego cancer treatment due to cost.3 6. Being uninsured also results in financial insecurity. In 2010, when the Affordable Care Act was enacted, sixty percent of the uninsured reported having problems with medical bills or medical debt.4 7. Additionally, prior to the Affordable Care Act, the high and rising uninsured rate led to high and rising uncompensated care costs for providers, in 2009 estimated at $1000 worth of DeNavas-Walt C, Proctor BD, Smith J. Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2012, U.S. Census Bureau, Sept. 2013. Available at https://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/p60-245.pdf. 2 Dorn S. Uninsured and Dying Because of It, The Urban Institute, Jan. 2008. Available at https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/31386/411588Uninsured-and-Dying-Because-of-It.PDF. 3 Lives on the Line: The Deadly Consequences of Delaying Health Reform, Families USA, Feb. 2010. Available at http://familiesusa.org/sites/default/files/product_documents/delaying-reform.pdf. 4 Cunningham, P. and Sommers, A. Medical Bill Problems Steady for U.S. Families 2007-2010, Center for Studying Health System Change, Dec. 2011. Available at http://www.hschange.org/CONTENT/1268/?words=tracking%20report%2028. 1 00086 services per uninsured person.5 Providers ultimately passed those costs onto insured consumers and taxpayers. 8. Before the Affordable Care Act, approximately 19 million Americans purchased coverage in the individual insurance market because they lacked access to employer-based insurance or were not eligible for public programs such as Medicare or Medicaid.6 The individual insurance market was an inhospitable place, particularly for anyone in less than perfect health. An estimated 133 million Americans have at least one pre-existing condition that could threaten their access to health care and health insurance.7 9. Prior to the Affordable Care Act, in most states, applicants for health insurance could be denied a policy because of their health status, or charged more in premiums based on their health and gender, along with a number of other factors. Insurers could also issue policies that didn’t cover critical medical services like pharmacy benefits, mental health or substance use treatment, maternity, or any of the care required to treat a person’s pre-existing condition. In addition, insurers often rescinded an individual’s coverage if they got sick after enrolling in the plan, and many plans imposed annual or lifetime dollar limits on covered benefits.8 10. Prior to the Affordable Care Act, coverage was often simply not available to many individuals applying for coverage. One of the many ways insurers maximized revenue was through aggressive underwriting practices resulting in a denial of coverage to individuals posing Hu, L. et al. The Effect of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Financial Wellbeing, National Bureau of Economic Research, Feb. 2018. Available at http://www.nber.org/papers/w22170. 6 DeNavas-Walt C, et al. Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2012. 7 Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Health Insurance Coverage for Americans with Pre-Existing Conditions: The Impact of the Affordable Care Act, Issue Brief, Jan. 2017. Available at https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/255396/Pre-ExistingConditions.pdf. 8 Corlette S, Volk J, Lucia K. Real Stories, Real Reforms. Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Sept. 2013. Available at https://georgetown.app.box.com/file/124506387872. 5 00087 a potential health risk.9 In most states, when an individual wanted to buy health insurance, they had to fill out and submit a voluminous application that included detailed information about their health history and status. Insurers would then review the individual’s application and assess the likelihood he or she would incur future health costs. A Georgetown University study found that even people with minor health care conditions, such as hay fever, could be turned down for coverage.10 Health insurers maintained underwriting guidelines that listed as many as 400 separate medical conditions that could trigger a denial of coverage.11 11. A U.S. Government Accountability (GAO) study in 2011 found that average insurer denial rates were 19 percent, but they varied dramatically market-to-market and insurer-toinsurer. For example, across six insurers in one state, denial rates ranged from 6 percent to 40 percent.12 In practice, access to coverage for people with pre-existing conditions was probably less available than this study suggests, because of a common industry practice known as “street underwriting,” in which an insurance agent or broker would ask a potential applicant questions about their health status, and discourage them from applying if they posed a health risk. These underwriting practices were banned by the Affordable Care Act in 2014. 12. Prior to the Affordable Care Act, it was not uncommon for insurers to rescind coverage after they had accepted an applicant. If an enrollee had any health care claims within their first U.S. Government Printing Office, Senate Hearing 113-663. A New, Open Marketplace: The Effect of Guaranteed Issue and New Rating Rules, U.S. Senate Health, Education, Labor & Pension Committee, Apr. 11, 2013. Available at https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CHRG-113shrg95186/html/CHRG-113shrg95186.htm. 10 Pollitz K, Sorian R. How Accessible is Individual Health Insurance for Consumers in Less-than-perfect Health? Georgetown University and Kaiser Family Foundation, Jun. 2001. Available at https://kaiserfamilyfoundation.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/how-accessible-isindividual-health-insurance-for-consumers-in-less-than-perfect-health-executivesummary-june-2001.pdf. 11 U.S. Government Printing Office, Senate Hearing 113-663. 12 U.S. Government Accountability Office. Private Health Insurance: Data on Application and Coverage Denials, Mar. 2011. Available at https://www.gao.gov/assets/320/316699.pdf. 9 00088 year of coverage, the insurer would investigate that person’s health history. If they found evidence that their condition was a pre-existing one and not fully disclosed during the initial underwriting process, the company would deny the relevant claims and rescind or cancel the coverage.13 The Affordable Care Act prohibited this practice except in clear cases of fraud by the policyholder. 13. Prior to the Affordable Care Act, individual insurance was often unaffordable. Unlike those with employer sponsored coverage or in public programs like Medicare or Medicaid, people with individual insurance must pay the full cost of their premium. According to one national survey prior to the Affordable Care Act, 31 percent of individual market respondents spent 10 percent or more of their income on premium costs.14 14. Prior to the Affordable Care Act the cost of premiums caused many individuals to forego coverage completely. A national survey found that nearly three-quarters (73 percent) of people seeking coverage in the individual market did not end up buying a plan, most often because the premium was too high. The coverage was least affordable for those individuals who needed it the most – people with pre-existing conditions. The same national survey found that 70 percent of people with health problems reported it “very difficult” or “impossible” to find an affordable plan, compared to 45 percent of people in better health.15 Girion L. Health Insurer Tied Bonuses to Dropping Sick Policyholders, Los Angeles Times, Nov. 9, 2007. Available at http://articles.latimes.com/2007/nov/09/business/fi-insure9. 14 Collins SR, Robertson R, Garber T, Doty MM. Insuring the Future: Current Trends in Health Coverage and the Effects of Implementing the Affordable Care Act, The Commonwealth Fund, Apr. 2013. Available at http://www.commonwealthfund.org/~/media/Files/Publications/Fund%20Report/2013/A pr/1681_Collins_insuring_future_biennial_survey_2012_FINAL.pdf. 15 Doty MM, Collins SR, Nicholson JL, Rustgi SG. Failure to Protect: Why the Individual Insurance Market Is Not a Viable Option for Most U.S. Families, The Commonwealth Fund, Jul. 2009. Available at http://www.commonwealthfund.org/~/media/Files/Publications/Issue%20Brief/2009/Jul/ Failure%20to%20Protect/1300_Doty_failure_to_protect_individual_ins_market_ib_v2.p df. 13 00089 15. Prior to the Affordable Care Act, older and less healthy individuals had to pay more for coverage because health insurers would segment their enrollees into different groups and charge them different prices based on their health or other risk factors. In practice, this meant that people would be charged more because of a pre-existing condition (even if they had been symptom-free for years), because of their age, gender (insurers assume women use more health care services than men), family size, geographic location, the work they do, and even their lifestyle.16 A Georgetown University study of insurers’ rating practices before the Affordable Care Act found rate variation of more than nine-fold for the same policy based on age and health status. In many states, people in their early sixties would be charged as much as six times the premium of someone in their early twenties, based on age alone. Even young people, when rated based on health status, could be subjected to significant premium costs.17 16. Under the Affordable Care Act, using health status and gender to set premium rates is prohibited. In addition, the Affordable Care Act provides low- and moderate-income people between 100 and 400 percent of the federal poverty line with subsidies to help defray their premium costs. In 2018, the average monthly premium tax credit is $550, resulting in an average monthly premium for consumers receiving a premium tax credit of $89.18 17. Prior to the Affordable Care Act, coverage in the individual market was often inadequate to meet people’s health care needs. In addition to paying more in premiums, people in the Buntin MB, Marquis MS, Yegian JM. The Role Of The Individual Health Insurance Market And Prospects For Change, Health Affairs, Nov./Dec. 2004. Available at https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/pdf/10.1377/hlthaff.23.6.79. 17 Pollitz K, Sorian R. How Accessible is Individual Health Insurance for Consumers in Less-than-perfect Health? 18 Kaiser Family Foundation. Marketplace Average Premiums and Average Advanced Premium Tax Credit (APTC), Open Enrollment 2018. Available at https://www.kff.org/health-reform/state-indicator/marketplace-average-premiums-andaverage-advanced-premium-tax-creditaptc/?currentTimeframe=0&sortModel=%7B%22colId%22:%22Location%22,%22sort% 22:%22asc%22%7D. 16 00090 individual market also spent a larger share of their income on cost-sharing than those with employer-sponsored coverage. Prior to the Affordable Care Act, people in the individual market were more than twice as likely to be considered “underinsured” than those in an employer plan.19 Someone is considered “underinsured” when they have insurance but because of high deductibles, high cost-sharing, or non-covered benefits, the insurance offers inadequate financial protection for the health care services people need. 18. Prior to the Affordable Care Act, a primary reason people buying individual insurance coverage had high out-of-pocket costs was that many individual plans – over half according to one study – did not meet minimum standards for coverage.20 Coverage in the individual market was inadequate for a number of reasons, including: 19. Pre-existing condition exclusions: in many states, insurers were permitted to permanently or for a period of time exclude from covered benefits treatments for any health problem that a consumer disclosed on their application. This practice was banned under the Affordable Care Act. 20. Benefit exclusions: Insurers in the individual market often sold policies that did not cover basic benefits such as maternity care, prescription drugs, mental health, and substance use treatment services. For example, 20 percent of adults with individual insurance lacked coverage for prescription medicines before the Affordable Care Act.21 The Affordable Care Act requires individual market insurers to cover a minimum set of essential health benefits that includes maternity services, prescription drugs, and mental health and substance use treatment. Collins SR, Robertson R, Garber T, Doty MM. Insuring the Future: Current Trends in Health Coverage and the Effects of Implementing the Affordable Care Act. 20 Gabel JR et al. More Than Half Of Individual Health Plans Offer Coverage That Falls Short Of What Can Be Sold Through Exchanges As Of 2014, Health Affairs, Jun. 2012. Available at https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/abs/10.1377/hlthaff.2011.1082. 21 Doty MM, Collins SR, Nicholson JL, Rustgi SG. Failure to Protect: Why the Individual Insurance Market Is Not a Viable Option for Most U.S. Families 19 00091 21. High out-of-pocket costs: Prior to the Affordable Care Act, individual insurance policies often came with high deductibles – $10,000 or more was not uncommon – and high cost-sharing. In fact, deductibles were often three times what they were in employer-sponsored plans.22 As a result, many individual insurance plans were extremely low-value. One study found that individual policies paid for just 55 percent of the expenses for covered services, compared to 83 percent for small employer group plans.23 The Affordable Care Act requires insurers to meet a minimum adequacy of coverage standard of 60 percent (meaning that on average, the plan must cover 60 percent of an average enrollee’s covered health care costs). The law also helps protect consumers from catastrophic medical costs by capping their annual out-of-pocket spending (for 2018, the annual cap is $7350 per individual). 22. Lifetime or annual dollar limits on coverage: Prior to enactment of the Affordable Care Act, an estimated 102 million people were in plans with a lifetime limit on benefits and about 20,000 people hit those limits every year. An estimated 18 million people were in plans with annual dollar limits on their benefits. For people with serious high cost medical conditions, such as hemophilia, serious cancers, or end-stage renal disease, this can literally be a life or death issue. The Affordable Care Act ushered in bans on lifetime and annual dollar limits. 23. Among Congress’ goals for the Affordable Care Act were to extend affordable, adequate health insurance coverage to more people and to correct many of the dysfunctions of the individual market, described above. Congress tried to achieve these goals through a threepronged strategy: 24. (1) Insurance reforms to help people locked out of the system due to pre-existing conditions; McDevitt R et al. Group Insurance: A Better Deal For Most People Than Individual Plans, Health Affairs, Jan. 2010. Available at https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/full/10.1377/hlthaff.2009.0060. 23 Gabel J et al. Trends In The Golden State: Small-Group Premiums Rise Sharply While Actuarial Values For Individual Coverage Plummet, Health Affairs, Jul./Aug. 2007. Available at https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/abs/10.1377/hlthaff.26.4.w488. 22 00092 25. (2) An individual mandate to encourage healthy people to enroll in the insurance pool and keep premiums stable; and 26. (3) Subsidies to help people afford the insurance coverage (with Medicaid expansion available for people under 138 percent of the federal poverty line). The Affordable Care Act also created state-based insurance marketplaces where people can apply for the subsidies and shop for plans. 27. To a significant degree, the Affordable Care Act has achieved its goals. It has expanded access to insurance coverage, improved health outcomes, and improved families’ financial security. 28. Under the Affordable Care Act, the percentage of people uninsured declined from 14.5 percent in 2013 to 9.1 percent in 2017. An estimated 20 million people gained insurance coverage because of the Affordable Care Act.24 29. The goal of expanding coverage is ultimately to improve people’s health outcomes and their financial security in the event of an unexpected illness or injury. The Affordable Care Act’s reforms were fully implemented in 2014, so it is still relatively early to try to assess the law’s impact on access to care, health outcomes, and financial security. However, data are emerging to suggest the law is having a significant positive impact. 30. Since enactment of the Affordable Care Act, the percentage of Americans reporting that they didn’t see a doctor or fill a prescription because they couldn’t afford it has declined by more Cohen RA, Zammitti EP, Martinez ME. Health Insurance Coverage: Early Release of Estimates From the National Health Interview Survey, 2017, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics, May 2018. Available at https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhis/earlyrelease/insur201805.pdf. 24 00093 than one-third.25 Further, more people are reporting that they have a primary care doctor or have had a check-up in the last 12 months.26 31. Research to date also strongly suggests that expanding access to coverage leads to better health outcomes. For example, studies of the health reforms in Massachusetts, upon which the Affordable Care Act was modeled, have found that coverage expansion in that state led to reported improvements in physical and mental health, as well as reductions in mortality.27 A Harvard study found that expanded coverage under the Affordable Care Act was linked to major improvements in the diagnosis and treatment of chronic diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, and high cholesterol.28 32. In addition to improving access to care, health insurance also provides financial security, particularly in the event of a large, unanticipated medical expense. Unfortunately, in this country, health care is extremely expensive. For example, the average cost of a single MRI is $1,119. An uncomplicated hospital labor and delivery costs an average of $10,808, while a C-section will average over $16,000. One course of treatment for colon cancer will cost between $21,000 and McCarthy, J. U.S. Women More Likely Than Men to Put Off Medical Treatment, Gallup, Dec. 2017. Available at http://news.gallup.com/poll/223277/women-likely-menput-off-medical-treatment.aspx. 26 Karpman, M. et al. Time for a Checkup: Changes in Health Insurance Coverage, Health Care Access and Affordability, and Plan Satisfaction among Parents and Children between 2013 and 2015, Urban Institute, Jan. 2016. Available at http://hrms.urban.org/briefs/changes_coverage_access_affordability_parents_children.pdf . 27 Van Der Wees, PJ, et al. Improvements In Health Status After Massachusetts Health Care Reform, National Center for Biotechnology Information, Dec. 2013. Available at https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24320165. 28 Hogan DR et al. Estimating The Potential Impact Of Insurance Expansion On Undiagnosed And Uncontrolled Chronic Conditions, Health Affairs, Sept. 2015. Available at https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/abs/10.1377/hlthaff.2014.1435. 25 00094 $52,000. Yet over half of American families report that they would not be able to afford to pay just $500 in cash for an unexpected expense.29 33. Research suggests that the Affordable Care Act is helping to improve the financial security of the newly insured. Survey data show that the number of families who say they are having problems paying medical bills has fallen dramatically since 2013, particularly among low- and moderate-income families.30 Other studies have shown that the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion has led to reductions in the amount of debt sent to collection agencies and improvements in families’ credit scores.31 34. The Affordable Care Act has also helped reduce uncompensated care costs borne by providers. For example, hospital-based uncompensated care fell by over 25 percent between 2013 and 2015, and in Medicaid expansion states it has fallen by closer to 50 percent.32 35. Unfortunately, much of the progress under the Affordable Care Act is at risk due to recent federal policy decisions designed to roll back key provisions of the law and bypass consumer protections. Ultimately, some of these decisions are likely to result in many consumers facing higher premiums and fewer plan choices in the individual insurance market. 36. A stable health insurance market depends on a large risk pool that is reasonably balanced between healthy individuals and sicker ones. The Affordable Care Act had a “three-prong” 29 Picchi A, A $500 Surprise Expense Would Put Most Americans into Debt, CBS MoneyWatch, Jan. 2017. Available at https://www.cbsnews.com/news/most-americanscant-afford-a-500-emergency-expense/. 30 Karpman, M and Long, S. 9.4 Million Fewer Families Are Having Problems Paying Medical Bills, Urban Institute, May 2015. Available at http://hrms.urban.org/briefs/9-4-Million-Fewer-Families-Are-Having-Problems-PayingMedical-Bills.pdf. 31 Hu, L. et al. The Effect of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Financial Wellbeing, National Bureau of Economic Research, Feb. 2018. Available at http://www.nber.org/papers/w22170. 32 Schubel, J and Broaddus, M. Medicaid Waivers That Create Barriers to Coverage Jeopardize Gains, May 2018. Available at https://www.cbpp.org/research/health/uncompensated-care-costs-fell-in-nearly-everystate-as-acas-major-coverage. 00095 strategy designed to facilitate such a stable insurance market by requiring all participating insurers to play by the same rules and, through subsidies and the individual mandate, encourage healthy people to become insured before they get sick. 37. The Affordable Care Act marketplaces had a rocky early start, but that was not unexpected given that insurers had little knowledge of the new population of people they were covering, leading many to make significant adjustments to their business strategy as they gained more experience and data about their enrollees. In addition, unanticipated Congressional actions, such as the dramatic reduction in funding for a key premium stabilization program (the “risk corridor” program) resulted in significant financial losses for many insurers. 38. Specifically, the Affordable Care Act included three programs intended to ensure that premiums remain stable, both during the initial years of the law’s implementation and over the long term. These are the risk corridors, reinsurance, and risk adjustment programs – often called the “3Rs.” The risk corridor program in particular was a temporary program designed to provide a buffer for insurers that did not adequately price their plans due to a lack of data about the health risk of the newly insured population in the Affordable Care Act marketplaces. 39. The risk corridor program works by requiring the federal government (through the U.S. Department of Health & Human Services or HHS) to partially reimburse insurers whose premium revenue was insufficient to pay claims. Insurers whose premium revenue exceeded their claims were required to pay HHS a fraction of the excess premium.33 40. In the first two years of the Affordable Care Act marketplaces, many insurers set relatively low premiums in order to capture more market share. In late 2014, long after insurers’ pricing decisions were made, a Congressional appropriations bill dramatically limited the funds available to HHS to compensate insurers for significant losses.34 33 34 42 U.S.C. §18062. Pub. L. No. 113-235. 00096 41. Because more insurers experienced losses than gains in the first two years of the marketplaces, HHS was able to pay insurers only 12.6 percent of the risk corridor payments they were owed.35 This decision had a serious financial impact on insurers, resulting in an estimated $12.3 billion in losses,36 and likely accelerated the demise of several small, non-profit CO-OP health plans.37 42. The loss of risk corridor funds contributed to the significant premium increases many insurers implemented for plan year 2016. However, it is noteworthy that premiums in the individual market were still often below or close to those in the employer-sponsored insurance market in 2016.38 Given that Affordable Care Act individual market benefit plans are designed to be similar to a typical employer plan, this suggests that during the first two years of the Affordable Care Act marketplaces (2014 and 2015), many insurers had underpriced their products in an effort to gain market share. Many of these same insurers subsequently left the 35 Department of Health and Human Services, Risk Corridors Payment Proration Rate for 2014, Oct. 1, 2015, https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Programs-and-Initiatives/PremiumStabilization-Programs/Downloads/RiskCorridorsPaymentProrationRatefor2014.pdf. 36 Small L. Government's unpaid risk corridor tab swells to $12.3B, FierceHealthcare, Nov. 2017. Available at https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/aca/government-s-unpaid-risk-corridor-tab-swells-to12-3b. 37 Corlette S, Miskell S, Lerche J, Lucia K. Why are Many CO-OPs Failing? How New Non-profit Health Plans Have Responded to Market Competition, The Commonwealth Fund, Dec. 2015. Available at http://www.commonwealthfund.org/~/media/files/publications/fundreport/2015/dec/1847_corlette_why_are_many_coops_failing.pdf. 38 Holahan J, Blumberg LJ, Clemans-Cope L, McMorrow S, and Wengle E. The Evidence on Recent Health Care Spending Growth and the Impact of the Affordable Care Act, The Urban Institute and Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, May 2017. Available at https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/90471/2001288the_evidence_on_recent_health_care_spending_growth_and_the_impact_of_the_afforda ble_care_act.pdf. 00097 Affordable Care Act market because they were unable to compete with insurers that had been more successful in projecting a premium rate that would allow them to cover their costs.39 43. Going into plan year 2017, financial data from insurers demonstrate that the markets were beginning to stabilize and insurers were gaining their footing.40 Indeed, in 2017 the Congressional Budget Office concluded that the Affordable Care Act’s insurance markets would likely be stable in most places if left unchanged.41 Consistent with this projection, 2017 appears to have been a profitable year for most individual market insurers.42 44. Unfortunately, my own review of insurers premium rate justifications (referred to as actuarial memoranda) for plan years 2018 and 2019 found that recent policy changes are putting the stability of the individual market at risk.43 Specifically: See e.g., Sprung A, Why Insurers Thrive (Or Dive) in ACA Marketplaces, healthinsurance.org, Apr. 2016. Available at https://www.healthinsurance.org/blog/2016/04/28/why-insurers-thrive-or-dive-in-acamarketplaces/. 40 Banerjee D. The ACA Individual Market: 2016 Will Be Better Than 2015, But Achieving Target Profitability Will Take Longer, S&P Global Ratings, Dec. 2016. See also Herman B. How some Blues made the ACA work while others failed. Modern Healthcare. October 15, 2016. Available at www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20161015/MAGAZINE/310159989. 41 H.R. 1628 American Health Care Act of 2017, Congressional Budget Office, May 2017. Available at https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/115th-congress-20172018/costestimate/hr1628aspassed.pdf. 42 Cox C, Semanskee A, Levitt L. Individual Insurance Market Performance in 2017, Kaiser Family Foundation, May 2018. Available at http://files.kff.org/attachment/Issue-Brief-Individual-Insurance-Market-Performance-in2017. 43 See Corlette S. The Effects of Federal Policy: What Early Premium Rate Filings Can Tell Us About the Future of the Affordable Care Act, CHIRblog, May 2018. Available at http://chirblog.org/what-early-rate-filings-tell-us-about-future-of-aca/; Corlette S. We Read Actuarial Memoranda so You Don’t Have to: Trends from Early Health Plan Rate Filings, CHIRblog, Jun. 2017. Available at http://chirblog.org/we-readactuarial-memoranda-so-you-dont-have-to/; Corlette S. Proposed Premium Rates for 2018: What do Early Insurance Company Filings Tell Us? CHIRblog, May 2017. Available at http://chirblog.org/proposed-premium-rates-for-2018-what-do-early-filingstell-us/. 39 00098 45. The Trump administration’s decision in October of 2017 to cut off reimbursement to insurers for low cost-sharing plans (called cost-sharing reduction or CSR plans) resulted in significant premium increases in 2018. Additionally, the uncertainty about that decision, which the President had been threatening for months, was a contributing factor for some insurers to either exit the marketplaces or reduce their service areas. 46. For example, in its 2018 rate filing in Virginia, Anthem informed the state: “A lack of CSR funding introduces a level of volatility which compromises the ability to set rates responsibly. It has been estimated that lack of CSR funding could increase premium rates for Silver plans an additional 20 percent…” Anthem went on to say that if CSR reimbursements were not guaranteed for 2018, it would consider exiting the marketplaces, reducing service areas, or requesting additional rate increases. 47. Additionally, although Congress did not zero out the individual mandate penalty until 2019, many insurers increased premiums for 2018 coverage on the expectation that the Trump administration would not enforce the individual mandate. For example, in its Maryland filing for 2018, CareFirst Blue Cross BlueShield stated: “we have assumed that the coverage mandate introduced by the ACA will not be enforced in 2018 and that this will have the same impact as repeal. Based on industry and government estimates as well as actuarial judgment, we have projected that this will cause morbidity to increase by an additional 20%.” 48. Other insurers are projecting the effect of the individual mandate repeal to be felt in 2019. For example, Kaiser Foundation Health Plan projects that premiums will need to increase 32.1 percent in Virginia. “The primary cause,” the company reports, is “related to nonenforcement of the Individual Mandate.” 49. Similarly, insurers increased premiums due to the Trump administration’s decision to decrease spending on marketplace advertising and consumer assistance, which are critical for educating and enrolling the healthy uninsured. For example, a Cigna filing for 2018 noted that they expected a smaller and sicker population in their risk pool due to the lower “overall awareness of individual health insurance products.” 00099 50. Going into 2019, insurers are also predicting that their risk pools will be smaller and sicker due to “potential movement into other markets.” These markets include association health plans and short-term, limited duration insurance, both of which are exempt from many of the Affordable Care Act’s consumer protections and are being promoted by the Trump administration as cheaper alternative coverage. For example, insurers such as Optima and CareFirst in Virginia note that the “availability of association health plans and expanded availability of short-term medical plans” was affecting their rate projections, with CareFirst adding 10 percent to its premium increase as a result. 51. Individuals who are eligible for the Affordable Care Act’s premium tax credits are largely insulated from these premium increases because the tax credit rises, dollar for dollar, with the increase in premium for silver level health plans. The people who suffer the most from these premium increases are the working middle class: entrepreneurs who run their own businesses, freelancers and consultants, independent contractors, farmers and ranchers, and early retirees who earn too much to qualify for the Affordable Care Act’s premium subsidies. 52. Granting the plaintiffs’ request to enjoin the Affordable Care Act amounts to an effort to repeal the law without any clear public policy to replace it. Congress explicitly rejected repealing the Affordable Care Act without a replacement last year. This is because uprooting a complex law that has been in place for over eight years, touches almost every facet of our health care system, and includes many provisions with widespread bipartisan support (such as allowing young adults to stay on their parents’ plans until age 26, closing the Medicare drug benefit “donut hole,” and expanding Medicaid) will inevitably result in dramatic negative consequences, some of which are predictable, and outlined below. 53. First, millions of individuals will lose their insurance coverage. In 2017, the Congressional Budget Office and Joint Committee on Taxation estimated that repealing the 00100 Affordable Care Act without implementing a replacement would result in 32 million people losing coverage by 2026, with 17 million people losing coverage in the first year after repeal.44 54. Second, those remaining in the individual market would see their premiums roughly double. The Congressional Budget Office estimated that individual market premiums would increase by 25 percent in the first year after repeal, by 50 percent by 2020, and almost double by 2026.45 These premium increases are largely the result in the elimination of the individual mandate and the Affordable Care Act premium subsidies, resulting in fewer healthy individuals enrolling in individual market coverage and a costlier risk pool for insurers. 55. Third, even a partial repeal of the provisions of the Affordable Care Act would primarily harm working middle class Americans. The majority of people losing coverage – as many as 82 percent – would be in working families. Over half would be non-Hispanic whites, and up to 80 percent would not have college degrees. Thirty-eight percent would be young adults between ages 18 and 34.46 56. Fourth, repealing the Affordable Care Act will have significant negative consequences for public health and safety. For example, the Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center found that repealing the Medicaid expansion and Affordable Care Act tax credit subsidies would result in 3,425 premature deaths each year in that state alone.47 Researchers from Harvard and New York University found that repealing the Affordable Care Act would result in 1.25 million Americans Congressional Budget Office. Cost Estimate: H.R. 1628, Obamacare Repeal Reconciliation Act of 2017, Jul. 2017. Available at https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/115th-congress-2017-2018/costestimate/52939hr1628amendment.pdf. 45 Id. 46 Blumberg L, Buettgens M, Holahan J. Implications of Partial Repeal of the ACA Through Reconciliation, Urban Institute, Dec. 2016. Available at https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/86236/2001013-the-implications-ofpartial-repeal-of-the-aca-through-reconciliation_1.pdf. 47 Stier M. Devastation, Death, and Deficits: The Impact of ACA Repeal on Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center, Jan. 2017. Available at https://pennbpc.org/sites/pennbpc.org/files/Impact_of_ACA_Repeal_Final.pdf. 44 00101 with serious mental conditions losing coverage. They further estimate that 2.8 million Americans with a substance use disorder, including roughly 222,000 with an opioid-related disorder, would lose coverage.48 57. Fifth, repealing the Affordable Care Act will drive insurance companies out of the individual market. The Congressional Budget Office estimated that legislation repealing the Affordable Care Act would leave an estimated three-fourths the nation’s population in areas where no insurers are willing to offer nongroup coverage by 2026.49 These estimates align with my own research at Georgetown, in which colleagues and I conducted interviews with 13 health insurance company executives participating in the individual markets in 28 states. In those interviews, executives told us they would “seriously consider” a market withdrawal; they further told us that a bill repealing the Affordable Care Act without an immediate replacement would destabilize the market and create “significant” downside financial risk for those companies remaining.50 58. Sixth, an increase in the uninsured will impose significant financial harm on hospitals and other health care providers. For example, repealing the Affordable Care Act without a replacement was estimated to cost the nation’s public hospitals $54.2 billion in uncompensated care charges between 2018 and 2026.51 The Iowa Fiscal Partnership estimated that Affordable Frank RG, Glied SA. Keep Obamacare to Keep Progress on Treating Opioid Disorders and Mental Illnesses, The Hill, Jan. 2017. Available at http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/healthcare/313672-keep-obamacare-to-keepprogress-on-treating-opioid-disorders. 49 Congressional Budget Office. Cost Estimate: H.R. 1628, Obamacare Repeal Reconciliation Act of 2017, Jul. 2017. 50 Corlette S, Lucia K, Giovannelli J, Palanker D. Uncertain Future for Affordable Care Act Leads Insurers to Rethink Participation, Prices, Georgetown University and Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Jan. 2017. Available at https://georgetown.app.box.com/file/127781433019. 51 America’s Essential Hospitals. ACA Replacement Must Protect Vulnerable People, Communities, Feb. 2017. Available at https://essentialhospitals.org/wpcontent/uploads/2017/02/UCC-policy-brief-February-2017-FINAL.pdf. 48 00102 Care Act repeal would result in a $10 billion increase in the cost of uncompensated care in that state alone, with most of the burden borne by rural hospitals.52 59. Seventh, repeal of the Affordable Care Act would lead to significant negative economic consequences. For example, repealing just the Medicaid expansion and Affordable Care Act tax credits would result in an estimated loss of 2.6 million jobs across the country.53 State-specific analyses align with these findings. For example, the University of California at Berkley’s Center for Labor Research and Education found that just a partial repeal of the Affordable Care Act would cause California to suffer 209,000 lost jobs, $20.3 billion in lost gross domestic product, and $1.5 billion lost in state and local tax revenue.54 Arizona State University’s Seidman Research Institute similarly found that if Arizona lost federal Affordable Care Act funding, it would leave a $5 billion dent in the state’s economy, cost over 62,000 jobs state wide, and lower personal income by almost $3.5 billion.55 60. Eighth, and finally, a full repeal of the Affordable Care Act would not only harm the individual insurance market. Other programs would be harmed as well. For example, repealing Fisher P. Repealing ACA: Pushing thousands of Iowans to the brink, Iowa Fiscal Partnership, Jan. 2017. Available at http://www.iowafiscal.org/wp/wpcontent/uploads/2017/01/170119-IFP-ACA.pdf. 53 Ku L, Steinmetz E, Brantley E, Bruen B. Repealing Federal Health Reform: Economic and Employment Consequences for States, The Commonwealth Fund, Jan. 2017. Available at http://www.commonwealthfund.org/~/media/files/publications/issuebrief/2017/jan/ku-aca-repeal-job-loss/1924_ku_repealing_federal_hlt_reform_ib.pdf. 54 Lucia L and Jacobs K. California’s Projected Economic Losses under ACA Repeal, UC Berkeley Center for Labor Research and Education, Dec. 2016. 55 Seidman Research Institute, W.P. Carey School of Business. Economic Impact on Arizona Of Repeal of Funding Provisions Of the Affordable Care Act, Arizona State University, Jan. 2017. Available at http://azchildren.org/wpcontent/uploads/2017/05/ACA-Impact-Feb-6-.pdf. 52 00103 i the law is estimated to accelerate the insolvency of the Medic* Hospital Insurance Trust Fund (Part A) by five years, from 2026 to 2021. 56 61. The plaintiff's suggestion that the Affordable Care Actibe enjoined ignores the serious negative consequences of an action that would be tantamount~ repealing the law without any clear federal . policy to i replace . it. When such a strategy was pr'W<>sed last year to Congress, it was rejected because of the serious economic and public health barbs that would result, including: millions of Americans losing coverage, premiums doubling, insurers exiting the marke~ and the costs of uncompensated care putting providers at serious finaJiat risk. Repeal-without-replace ! would also result in heavy job and productivity losses. These Je serious adverse repercussions that should not be taken lightly. I I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct and of my own personal knowledge. Executed on June 5, 2018 in Washington, D.C. Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Pull Repeal ofObamacare Would Hasten Medicare's Insolvency, Apr. 2017. Available at http://www.crfb.org/blogs/fullrepeal-obamacare-would-hasten-medicares-insolvency. ' 56 1 00104 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS , LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 V. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEAL TH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAYID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAW AIi, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF JAMES DEBENEDETTI IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION I, James DeBenedetti declare: 1. I am the Director of the Plan Management Division for Covered California. I have worked for Covered California for three years. The fact stated herein are of my own personal knowledge, and I could and would competently testify to them. 00105 2. Covered California is the state agency created to implement the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA)and establish a Health Benefit Exchange in California. 3. The ACA increased access to affordable coverage in the State of California. • The ACA expanded coverage through federal health subsidies to purchase coverage in new health insurance Exchanges for those individuals with low to moderate incomes. California built its own state-based Exchange, Covered California, for the individual and small group markets with federal grants in the amount of 1,065,213,056. • Since its creation, 3,570,000 individuals have gained access to coverage using Covered California. • The Exchanges are an important reform made by the ACA. As of March 2018, 1,417,248 individuals were enrolled through Covered California. 1,231 ,166 of those individuals received federal subsidies, worth an estimated $6.5 billion dollars for the 2018 plan year alone, to make that coverage more affordable. This equates to approximately 87% of enrollees receiving a federal subsidy through Covered California. • Covered California receives funding from a percent of premium assessment on health plans participating in Covered California. In 2018, for the individual market, that fee was 4% percent of premium. In 2019, that fee will be 3.75% percent of the monthly premium. This assessment helps pay for Covered California' s operations, including marketing and outreach to consumers. This assessment also funds the Navigator program to assist individuals with enrolling in coverage through Covered California. 4. The loss of federal subsidies available through the ACA would cause consumers to lose access to affordable health coverage through Covered California. • Enjoining the ACA would harm Covered California and the consumers that have gained access to coverage as a result of the ACA. Based on my knowledge and experience, dismantling the Affordable Care Act (ACA) would cause a loss of benefits, services and initial grant funds invested to support Covered California, and would cause severe harm to the State of California, to its residents and to its economy. Without federal subsidies to lower the cost of health care coverage, the 00106 00107 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, 9 V. 10 11 12 13 14 Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 UNITED STAJ'ES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, 15 Defendants. 16 17 18 19 20 CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAll, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, 21 Intervenors-Defendants. 22 23 24 DECLARATION OF ALFRED J. GOBEILLE IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION 25 I, Alfred J. Gobeille, declare: 26 1. 27 I am the Secretary of the Vermont Agency of Human Services (AHS). I have served in this position since January 2017. I have either personal knowledge of the matters set forth 28 Deel. of Alfred J. Gobeille in Support of Intervenor States' Opp. to Mot. for Prelim. Injunction (4: l 8-cv-00167-0) 00108 1 below or, with respect to those matters for which I do not have personal knowledge, I have 2 reviewed information gathered from AHS records and other publicly available information. This 3 declaration is submitted in support of the Intervenor-States' Opposition to the Motion for 4 Preliminary Injunction. Based on my knowledge and experience, dismantling the Affordable 5 Care Act (ACA) would cause severe harm to the State of Vermont, to its residents, and to its 6 economy. In addition to loss of benefits and services and federal investments to support 7 Vermont's healthcare system, dismantling or suspending implementation of the ACA would 8 cause Vermont to experience harm and increased costs from the dismantling of the State's own 9 administrative structure and apparatus, created in compliance with, and to work in conjunction 10 11 with, the Affordable Care Act. 2. AHS was created by the Vermont Legislature in 1969 to serve as the umbrella 12 organization for all human service activities within state government. AHS is led by the 13 Secretary, who is appointed by the Governor. The Secretary's Office is responsible for leading 14 the agency and its departments: the Department for Children and Families; the Department of 15 Corrections, the Department of Disabilities, Aging and Independent Living; the Department of 16 Mental Health; and the Department of Vermont Health Access (DVHA). DVHA is the state office 17 responsible for the management of Medicaid, the State Children's Health Insurance Program, and 18 other publicly funded ~ealth insurance programs in Vermont. As such, it is the largest insurer in 19 Vermont in terms of dollars spent and the second largest insurer in terms of covered lives. DVHA 20 is responsible for administering Vermont Health Connect, which is the State's health insurance 21 marketplace. 22 3. 23 to Vermont. The Affordable Care (ACA) Act directs hundreds of millions of dollars directly 24 • Specifically; Vermont has received $772 million via Medicaid expansion; $8 million 25 through the Prevention and Public Health Fund; and more than $85 million for 26 federal premium subsidies. 27 4. The ACA increased access to affordable coverage. 28 2 Deel. of Alfred J. Gobeille in Support oflntervenor States' Opp. to Mot. for Prelim. Injunction (4: l 8-cv-00167-0) 00109 1 • Overall the number of individuals with insurance has increased. In Vermont, the 2 number of covered individuals increased from 583 ,674 in 2012 to 603,400 in 2014, 3 according to the Vermont Household Health Insurance Survey (VHHIS). Over the 4 same period, the number of uninsured Vermonters was nearly cut in half, dropping 5 from 42,760 in 2012 to 23,231 in 2014. This correlates to an uninsured rate of 6.8% 6 in 2012 and 3.7% in 2014. While the next VHHIS won't be completed until the 7 second half of 2018, the U.S. Census has estimated that the number of uninsured 8 Vermonters remained down in the 23,000 range in 2015 and 2016. 9 • The ACA expanded coverage through two key mechanism: Medicaid expansion for 10 those individuals with the lowest incomes, and federal health subsidies to purchase 11 coverage in new health insurance Exchanges, like Vermont Health Connect, for 12 those individuals with moderate incomes. 13 • Medicaid is an important source of healthcare insurance coverage and has resulted in 14 significant coverage gains and reduction in the uninsured rate, both among the low- 15 income population and within other vulnerable populations. Vermont can be 16 described as a "pre-expansion" state in the sense that it offered state health 17 programs- the Vermont Health Access Plan and Catamount Health-to Vermonters 18 with incomes up to 300% FPL years before Medicaid expansion. The change in 19 Medicaid eligibility under the ACA from considering assets to only focusing on 20 income also benefitted farmers and other land rich, cash poor Vermonters who 21 previously could not afford health insurance and did not qualify for benefits but now 22 qualify either for Medicaid or for health insurance subsidies. The uninsured rate for 23 Vermonters with income up to 138% FPL (the expanded Medicaid threshold) 24 dropped from 9.6% in 2012 to 5.0% in 2014, and the state's overall uninsured rate 25 dropped from 6.8% in 2012 and 3.7% in 2014. 26 • Creation of health insurance exchanges is an important reform made by the ACA. In 27 Vermont, 23,554 people have received federally subsidized coverage in 2018 as a 28 result of the ACA. 3 Deel. of Alfred J. Gobeille in Support oflntervenor States ' Opp. to Mot. for Prelim. Injunction (4:18-cv-00167-0) 00110 1 2 3 5. The ACA has positive economic benefits on states. • Studies have shown that states expanding Medicaid under the ACA have realized budget savings, revenue gains, and overall economic growth. 4 • In Vermont, $260 million has been saved as a result of Medicaid expansion. 5 6. The ACA expanded programs in Medicaid to provide States with increased 6 opportunities to increase access to home and community-based services. 7 • In 2011, Vermont was awarded a five-year $17.9 million Money Follows the Person 8 (MFP) grant from CMS to help people living in nursing facilities overcome the 9 barriers that have prevented them from moving to their preferred community-based 10 setting. The grant works within the Choices for Care program and provides 11 participants the assistance of a Transition Coordinator and up to $2,500 to address 12 barriers to transition. 13 • 14 services through September 30, 2019. 15 16 Effective April 1, 2016, Vermont received a continued $8 million award for 7. The ACA has allowed States to test and implement reforms to healthcare delivery system.s that support State policy priorities of increasing efficiency and quality of care. 17 • The Vermont All-payer Accountable Care Organization (ACO) Model 18 Agreement with CMS is a new test of an alternative payment model in which the 19 most significant payers through Vermont-Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial 20 healthcare payers-incentivize healthcare value and quality, with a focus on health 21 outcomes, under the same payment structure for the majority of providers 22 throughout the state's care delivery system. The model began on January 1, 2017 23 and will span six performance years, concluding on December 31, 2022. The 24 Vermont Medicaid Shared Savings Program (VMSSP) was a three-year program 25 (2014-2016) to test if the ACO models in Vermont could improve health quality 26 while also reducing costs. Upon conclusion of the VMS SP, the Vermont Medicaid 27 Next Generation ACO program began (January 1, 2017). On October 24, 2016, 28 CMS approved a five-year extension of Vermont's Global Commitment to Health 4 Deel. of Alfred J. Gobeille in Support oflntervenor States' Opp. to Mot. for Prelim. Injunction (4: l 8-cv-00167-0) 00111 1 1115 waiver (January 1, 2017-December31, 2021), which specifically allows 2 Vermont Medicaid to enter into ACO arrangements that align in design with that of 3 other healthcare payers in support of the Vermont All-payer ACO Model. The pilot 4 now includes over 5,000 providers. 5 6 7 8 8. The ACA resulted in better quality and more accessible, affordable healthcare for consumers. • The ACA created robust consumer protections to help ensure individuals can access the healthcare system. 9 • Largely due to the ACA's provision that adult children can be 10 covered by their parents' health plan until age 26, the number of 11 uninsured young adults in Vermont between the ages of 18 and 24 12 was slashed from 10,839 in 2009 to 2,920 in 2014; • 13 More than 79,000 Vermonters enrolled in qualified health plans as of 14 February 2018 are benefitting from the ACA's mandated preventive 15 services including access to birth control, cancer screenings, and 16 immunizations for children; • 17 More than 79,000 Vermonters enrolled in qualified health plans as of 18 February 2018 are benefitting from access to essential health benefits 19 such as substance use disorder treatment and cancer screenings. 20 • The ACA has led to improved access to care (39% drop in the number of individuals 21 who needed medical care from a doctor but did not receive it because they could not 22 afford it, 45% drop - n individuals who skipped medications because they could not i 23 afford it). 24 • The ACA has led to improved financial security for Vermont families. The number of 25 Vermonters who had trouble paying medical bills fell more than 30,000 from 2009 26 to 2014, a 20% drop. In addition, the number of Vermonters who were contacted by 27 a collection agency about owing money for unpaid medical bills fell by 16% over 28 the same period. 5 Deel. of Alfred J. Gobeille in Support oflntervenor States' Opp. to Mot. for Prelim. Injunction (4:18-cv-00167-0) 00112 1 2 • In addition, the ACA created additional consumer protections and rights such as: • Under the ACA, no individual can be rejected by an insurance plan 3 or denied coverage of essential health benefits for any health 4 condition present prior to the start of coverage. Once enrolled, plans 5 cannot deny coverage or raise rates based only on the enrollee's 6 health. 7 8 9. The foregoing benefits of the ACA could be removed if Plaintiffs' motion for a preliminary injunction were granted. 9 10 I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct. 11 12 Executed on June_.k}_, 2018, in Waterbury, Vermont. 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 6 Deel. of Alfred J. Gobeille in Support oflntervenor States' Opp. to Mot. for Prelim. Injunction (4:18-cv-00167-0) 00113 00114 00115 00116 00117 1 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS · WICHITA FALLS DIVISION 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, 10 Plaintiffs, 11 Civ. Action No. 18-cv-00167-0 v. 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HA WAIi, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. 26 27 DECLARATION OF JENNIFER KENT IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION 28 Deel. of Jennifer Kent in Support of Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction · (4:18-cv-00167-0) 00118 1 I, Jennifer Kent, declare; 2 1. 3 I am the Director the California Department of Health Care Services (DHCS), which operates California's version of the federal-state Medicaid program under title XIX of the federal 4 · Social Security Act, known as Medi-Cal. In this capacity, I am responsible for overseeing the 5 administration ofthe Medi-Cal program and the delivery and financing ofcare for over 13.5 6 million beneficiaries. This declaration is in support of the Interveno_r-States' Opposition to the 7 Motion to Intervene. The facts stated herein are of my own personal knowledge, and I could and 8 would competently testify to them. 9 10 2. Based on my knowledge and experience, dismantling the Affordable Care Act · (ACA) would cause a loss of benefits, services and federal investments to support Medi-Cal, and 11 would cause severe harm to the State of California, to its residents and to its economy. California 12 would experience harm and increased costs from the dismantling of the state's administrative 13 structure and apparatus, created in compliance with, and to work in conjunction with, the ACA. 14 For example, there would be significant harm and administrative burden associated with: the cost 15 of terminating coverage for millions of Californians and providing alternative options for 16 individuals losing Medicaid coverage; eliminating subsidies and other ACA-authorized services; 17 the cost of delivering health care through more traditional and expensive safety-net health 18 systems; providing appropriate notice and instructions to individuals losing such support; 19 regulatory costs; and the cost of reconstructing the state health exchange in the absence of the 20 ACA. 21 22 3. The ACA increased access to affordable coverage. ~ The ACA expanded coverage through two key mechanisms: Medicaid expansion for 23 those individuals with the lowest incomes, and federal health subsidies to purchase 24 coverage in new health insurance exchanges for those individuals with moderate 25 incomes. 26 • Due to implementation of the ACA in California, the State has experienced a 27 considerable decrease in the number of tminsured residents. This is predominantly 28 attributable to the expansion of eligibility in the Medi-Cal program, and the 2 Deel. of Jennifer Kent in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: l 8-cv-00167-0) 00119 1 newfound availability of health coverage through the State's exchange marketplace 2 known as Covered California. 3 ·• California's implementation of the Medicaid expansion has enabled more than 3.7 4 million Californians to obtain coverage, and we dramatically reduced the uninsured 5 rate in the State from 17 percent in 2013 to 6.8 percent in 2017. 6 • ·Asa result, the State collectively, including its political subdivisions, its safety net 7 health care providers, and its residents, has begun to realize significant gains from 8 both a public health, and an economic and fiscal standpoint. One of the principal 9 financial benefits has been a meaningful reduction in the level. of uncompensated care 10 costs borne within the State's various health care systems and programs. For 11 example, according to data collected and published by the Office of Statewide Health 12 Planning and Development (OHSPD), California hospitals incurred uncompensated 13 care costs totaling approximately $5.2 billion dollars in 20·13, before full 14 implementation of the ACA. In 2015, after implementation of the ACA, OSHPD 15 data reflects that California hospitals experienced approximately $1. 9 billion dollars 16 in uncompensated care costs, which amounts to nearly a 64 p~rcent decrease in 17 hospital uncompensated care costs over this short period of time. 18 19 4. The invalidation of the ACA would cost C_alifornia billions annually. • 20 21 All of the foregoing benefits of the ACA would be removed if the Plaintiffs' motion forpreliminary injunction were granted. • DHCS projects that the elimination of the Medicaid expansion in California would 22 result in an annual loss of $22.2 billion starting in fiscal year 2020, and increasing to 23 a loss of $32.6 billion in 2027. In addition, the elimination of the Community First 24 Choice Option is projected to increase State costs by approximately $400 million in 25 2020, growing annually. 26 • In addition, if the number of uninsured in California were to increase, the State would 27 incur a significant negative economic impact due to the accompanying increase in 28 U11compensated care costs that would follow. Without any other options for care, .3 Deel. of Jennifer Kent in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction · (4:18-cv-00167-0) 00120 those residents finding themselves without coverage would turn to traditional and 2 more costly safety-net sources of care, such as use of hospital emergency rooms, or 3 forego care entirely. This would reintroduce the same type of financial strain on 4 State, local and private health SY.Stems and programs that the ACA was intended to . 5 relieve. 6 7 8 . , I declare under penalty of pe1jury that the foregoing is true and correct and of my own personal knowledge. Executed on June 6, 2018, in Sacramento, California. 9 iL__t_ 10 11 Jennifi r ent Direct r Department of Health Care Servcies 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 4 Deel. of Jennifer Kent in Support of lntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Application for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-OO167-0) 00121 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 V. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, .and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HA WAIi, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF MILA KOFMAN IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION I, Mila Kofinan~declare: 1. This declaration is submitted in support of the Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to the Motion to for Preliminary Injunction. This is based on my knowledge and experience on Deel. of Mila Kofman in Support oflntervenors-Defendants• Opposition to Motion for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-00167-0) 00122 private health insurance and federal and state reforms as Executive Director of the DC Health Benefit Exchange Authority, former Superintendent oflnsurance (Maine), and former research faculty member at Georgetown University. Dismantling the Affordable Care Act would cause severe harm to the District of Columbia, to its small businesses, to its residents and to its economy. In addition to federal investments to support the District of Columbia's individual and small group marketplaces (exchange), dismantling or suspending implementation of the Affordable Care Act would cause severe harm to the District of Columbia. District of Columbia residents received approximately $2.57 million in advanced premium tax credits (APTC) in 2017. The loss of those dollars will likely cause those people to drop coverage as they will not have the affordability assistance provided under the ACA. That loss of coverage will harm the risk pool, causing the experience to degrade and premiums to increase for those who remain. The loss of ACA consumer protections will harm people who need comprehensive and secure health insurance. Also without Medicaid expansion, the private risk pool would be more expensive because "Expansion population" (childless adults) are sicker with numerous co-morbidity factors. The damage to District residents and small businesses would be irreparable, as the lack of coverage would lead to a lack of care, with fatal or irreversible permanent health conditions that currently are being prevented and treated because people have health insurance. 2. I am the Executive Director of the District of Columbia Health Benefit Exchange Authority. Prior to my appointment, I was on the faculty at Georgetown University Health Policy Institute as a Research Professor and Project Director. Before that I served as Superintendent of Insurance in Maine for over three years, and as a federal regulator at the Department of Labor. 3. The DC Health Benefit Exchange Authority (HBX) was established as a requirement of Section 3 of the Health Benefit Exchange Authority Establishment Act of 201 1, effective March 3, 2012 (D.C. Law 19-0094). The mission of the DC Health Benefit Exchange Authority 2 Deel. of Mila Kofman in Support of Intervenors-Defe ndants ' Opposition to Motion for Preliminary Inj unction (4: 18-cv-OO 167-0) 00123 is to implement an online health insurance marketplace in the District of Columbia in accordance with the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA), thereby ensuring access to quality and affordable health care to all DC residents. 4. The Affordable Care Act (ACA) increased access to affordable coverage in the District of Columbia. • Overall the number of individuals with insurance has increased. The ACA has enabled the District to expand health coverage so that more than 96% of our residents are now covered (less than 4% uninsured in 2016 compared to 7.2% in 2009). We have the lowest uninsured rate we've ever had and rank between first and third (depending on the study) among all states in the nation for having the lowest uninsured rate. As of March 12, 2018, there are 17,808 District residents enrolled in individual health insurance and more than 76,000 people enrolled in small group coverage through our marketplace, DC Health Link. A 2016 survey of our enrolled customers revealed that more than 25,500 people, who were not previously covered in 2015, gained access to health coverage in 2016 through the marketplace. 25% of the people who enrolled in individual private health insurance coverage were previously uninsured. 53% of the people who were determined eligible for Medicaid were uninsured before applying. 40% of the small businesses enrolled in DC Health Link did not offer health insurance to their employees prior to enrollment through DC Health Link. • The Marketplace is an important reform made by the ACA, for a number of reasons. The on-line health insurance marketplace has provided access to quality affordable health insurance, and has created transparency, encouraged market competition, simplified the purchase of insurance. Many residents have benefitted from reduced premiums for health insurance. There are approximately 4,187 District residents who have received APTC; this does not include residents who received premium tax credits when they filed their taxes. Tens of thousands of residents have 3 Deel. of Mila Kofman in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Motion for Preliminary Injunction (4: I 8-cv-00167-0) 00124 benefited from having access to comprehensive health insurance that includes prescription drug coverage, hospitalization, specialists, and mental health coverage. Because of the requirements for essential health benefits, prohibitions on benefit limits, medical underwriting, and gender and health. based discrimination, thousands of District residents and small businesses have benefitted. Furthermore, easy apples-to-apples comparison of plans have enabled thousands of residents to make more informed decision about which health plan is best for them. Robust online consumer decision support tools have made the purchase of health insurance easier for thousands of residents. Small businesses have the type of market power only large employers had in the past and are able to offer their employees not just one insurance plan but plans from all carriers. Residents and small businesses - and their employees - can see in one place all of the different products, compare benefit packages side-by-side, and compare prices for all products. With the purchasing power of thousands, DC's small businesses now have insurers competing for their business. HBX advocates for the lowest possible rates. HBX hires independent actuaries to review proposed rates and challenge the assumptions made by carriers. HBX provides actuarial analysis to insurance regulators advocating for lower rates. DC Health Link also has on-line portals for brokers and General Agencies/TPAs. There are more than 800 brokers supporting more than 65,000 people covered through small businesses through DCHealthLink.com. 5. The ACA has positive economic benefits on the District of Columbia. • the ACA have had a significant positive effect on states. Slates realized budget savings, revenue gains, and overal] economic growth. A Commonwealth study modeled the effects of ACA repeal, and shows the deleterious economic impact such an action would have. See The Commonwealth Fund, Repealing Federal Health Reform: Economic and Employment Consequences/or States, (Jan. 20 17), 4 Deel. of Mila Kofman in Support oflntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Motion for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-00167-0) 00125 http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/issue-briefs/201 7/jan/repealingfederal-health-refonn. • Further, the decline in uncompensated care in hospitals by 60% from 2010 to 2015 has led to decreased spending as a. result of the ACA. See https://hbx.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/hbx/event_content/attachments/Uncom pensated_ care_ updated_ IO_ l l _ 15.pdf. 6. The ACA resulted in better quality and more accessible, affordable healthcare for consumers. • The ACA created robust consumer protections to help ensure individuals can access the healthcare system by pennitting covered dependents to access coverage on their parents' plans until age 26, mandating preventive services including access to birth control, cancer screenings, and immunizations for children, and providing essential health benefits, such as substance use disorder treatment and cancer screenings. The ACA's consumer protections prohibiting medical underwriting, preexisting conditions exclusions, rating based on gender, health factors, industry and employer size have helped District residents and small businesses have private health insurance that was not available before. Also, ACA restrictions on ahnual and lifetime limits and required essential health benefits have resulted in many District residents and small businesses having financial security and access to medical care that was not available before the ACA. • The District has built on the consumer protections under the ACA. The District prohibits premiums based on tobacco use. The District also prohibits benefit substitutions in the essential health benefits categories, protecting residents' access to all essential health benefits. HBX requires carrier to offer standard benefit plans, in addition to carrier designed plans. The standard plan designs have the same benefits and out-of-pocket features, e.g., co-pays, deductibles, co-insurance, within a metal level. Networks, premiums, and quality are the major differences. This 5 Deel. of Mila Kofman in Support oflntervenors~Defendants' Opposition to Motion for Preliminary Injunction (4: 18-cv-00167-0) 00126 makes shopping even easier. Importantly, enrollees can receive many medical services such as specialist visits, urgent care visits, primary care visits, mental health services, and prescription medication before meeting deductibles, even with bronze plan coverage. In addition, HBX has invested in strong consumer shopping tools so that people can make informed choices. The DC Health Link Plan Match tool enables customers to compare plans based on expected annual out-of-pocket costs; search a doctor directory which enables consumers to see which plans their doctors participate in; and a prescription drug formulary tool that enables customers to compare their medication costs across plans. • In addition, the District requires all small group and individual health insurance to be sold only through the DC Health Link. This has created significant competition among health insurers. For example, in 2013, one carrier refiled their proposed rates twice, lowering the proposed rates to be more competitive. Another carrier refiled their rates proposing lower premiums and filed additional products for sale. Another carrier refiled their rates proposing lower premiums. This product and price competition continues, and each year carriers offer new products and offer products with reduced premiums or no or almost no increase in premiums compared to the prior year. Small businesses in the District have 151 different health plans offered by 3 United Health Care companies, 2 Aetna companies, Kai~er Permanente, and Care First Blue Cross Blue Shield. 7. All of the foregoing benefits of the Affordable Care Act would be removed if the Plaintiffs' preliminary injunction were granted. 6 Deel. of Mila Kofman m Support of lntervenors-Defendants' 5)pposilion to Motion for Preliminary Injunction (4: J8-cv-00167-0) 00127 I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct and of my own personal knowledge. Executed on June 6, 2018 in Washington, Dist · t 1 a Kofman Executive Director District of Columbia Health Benefit Exchange Authority 7 Deel. of Mila Kofman in Support of lntervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Motion for Preliminary Injunction (4: l 8-cv-00167-0) 00128 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LeP AGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 v. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAII, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF DR. JENNIFER LEE IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION 00129 I, Dr. Jennifer Lee, declare: 1. I am the Director of the Department of Medical Assistance Services (DMAS), which is the agency responsible for administering Medicaid and the State Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) in Virginia. Before becoming the Director of DMAS, I served as Deputy Secretary of Health and Human resources for Governor Terence McAuliffe from 2014 until 2016. I have also previously served on the Virginia Board of Medicine from 2008 until 2011, and I served as the Deputy Under Secretary for Health for Policy and Services, and Senior Advisor to the Secretary at the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. I have a bachelor's degree in biophysics and biochemistry from Yale University, a medical degree from Washington University School of Medicine, and completed my residency at Johns Hopkins. I am a boardcertified, practicing emergency physician and a fellow of the American College of Emergency Physicians. 2. This declaration is submitted in support of the Intervenor-States' Opposition to the Motion for a Preliminary Injunction. Based on my knowledge and experience, dismantling or suspending the Affordable Care Act (ACA) would cause severe harm to the Commonwealth of Virginia, to its residents, and to its economy. Virginia would experience harm and increased costs from the dismantling of the state's administrative structure and apparatus, created in compliance with, and to work in conjunction with, the ACA. In particular, the Commonwealth would experience significant costs associated with unwinding changes that were made to Medicaid eligibility determination by the ACA. 3. With a budget of $10 billion, DMAS's mission is to provide a system of high quality and cost effective health care services to qualifying Virginians and their families. Today, DMAS 00130 provides health care coverage to more than 1 million Virginians through the Medicaid program and CHIP. 4. Virginians receive billions of dollars directly as a result of the ACA. For example, in 2017, Virginians received an estimated $1,148,490,000 in total annual premium tax credits. Moreover, Virginia has received more than $25,320,000 through the Public Health and Prevention Fund. The Public Health and Prevention Fund has funded grants for programs that include, in part, "Making a Healthier Virginia the Priority" (more than $2,600,000), "Affordable Care Act - Maternal, Infant and Early Childhood Home Visiting Program - Expansion" (more than $7,600,000) "Preventive Health Services" (more than $3,170,000), "Immunization and Vaccines for Children" (more than $2,130,000), and "Immunization PPHF Supplemental" (more than $4,900,000). 5. In addition to direct funds, the ACA has increased Virginians access to affordable health care coverage. Since the ACA was enacted, the overall number of individuals with insurance in Virginia has increased. In 2009, prior to the implementation of the ACA, Virginia's uninsured rate for non-elderly adults (ages 19-64) was 16.4%, representing 779,000 non-elderly adults in Virginia who lacked health insurance. By 2016., after the ACA was in effect, Virginia's uninsured rate for non-elderly adults dropped to 12.4%, representing 621,000 non-elderly adults in Virginia who lacked health insurance. Moreover, the ACA expanded coverage in Virginia through the federal health subsidies that enabled individuals with moderate incomes to purchase health insurance in the Exchanges. In 2017, 410,726 Virginians purchased health insurance on the Federally Facilitated Marketplace (FFM). Of those individuals purchasing coverage on the FFM in 2017, 334,942 individuals received a federal premium subsidy. Finally, Medicaid is an important source of healthcare insurance coverage. 00131 Although Virginia has not yet expanded Medicaid coverage under the ACA, the Virginia General Assembly adopted a budget on May 30, 2018 that expands Medicaid in the new state fiscal year that begins July 1, 2018. Many Virginians see this as a strategic opportunity to expand access to care, improve Virginians overall health, and bolster the economy. DMAS is currently in the planning and implementation phase of expanding the Virginia Medicaid program, and expects that expanded coverage will be available in early 2019. Eliminating the ACA would result in the elimination of the opportunity to provide health care coverage to up to 400,000 Virginians beginning in 2019. In addition to the harm caused to individuals losing the promise of health care coverage, the Commonwealth estimates that it would lose $458 million in federal funds in FY 2019 and $1.9 billion in federal funds in FY 2020. 6. The ACA also expanded various Medicaid programs to provide States with increased opportunities to increase access to home and community based services. For example, in 2008, Virginia launched its Money Follows the Person (MFP) program. MFP provides extra support and services to Virginians choosing to transition from long-term care institutions to the community. MFP has helped Virginia move closer to a rebalanced long-term support system that promotes choice, quality, and flexibility. Under the ACA, funding for MFP was extended from 2012 through 2016. Over 1,000 Virginians have been discharged from a facility to the community since 2012 with assistance from MFP. 7. All of the foregoing benefits of the ACA would be removed if the Plaintiffs' motion for preliminary injunction were granted. 00132 I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct and of my own personal knowledge. Executed on June 6, 2018, in Richmond, Virginia. r..TennliLee ' Director Virginia Department of Medical Assistance Services 00133 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI , NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UT AH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 V. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAW All, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF KIMBERLEY LUFKIN IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION I, Kimberley Lufkin, declare: 00134 l. I am 37 years old and a resident of Fairfax, Virginia. I work with international health nonprofits that focus on issues ranging from reproductive health to HIV/AIDS. 2. I was diagnosed with type-I diabetes at five years old. For my most of my life, I have been in a constant battle with insurance companies that repeatedly denied me coverage and care for a pre-existing medical condition. Even though I have maintained continuous employer-sponsored coverage, I often experienced discrimination or difficulties receiving care because of my diagnosis. 3. The Affordable Care Act eliminated any discrimination based on my diabetes. I no longer needed to fill out paperwork or prove continuous coverage before insurance companies would cover my care every time I started a new job or had a change in employer-sponsored coverage. When the law went into effect, I felt like a huge and constant worry in my life had been lifted. 4. This was made all the more pressing for me and my family in 2016, when my 18month-old son was diagnosed with type- I diabetes. My husband and I were shocked, worried, and scared for three days after his diagnosis in the ICU, and we knew that our son' s childhood would be forever be impacted. With all the fears we had as parents of a young child with a chronic condition, I was at least relived that because of the protections under the ACA, my son wouldn't face the same struggles I did with insurance coverage. 5. I'm terrified that that efforts to overturn the ACA will cause people like me and my son to lose the protections we have. My family will now have to constantly worry about our ability to access lifesaving health care. We shouldn't have to worry if we can afford insulin for my three-year-old son, or if he'll miss out of medical innovations because of our inability to pay. We shouldn't have to fight with insurance companies to cover care for a medical condition he developed at just 18 months old. 00135 6. I support the Intervenor-Defendants' defense of the ACA. Elimination of the ACA would hurt me and my family. I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct and of my own personal knowledge. Executed on June 1, 2018, in Fairfax, VA. SA2018100536 00136 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LeP AGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEIL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 V. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELA WARE, HA WAIi, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenors-Defendants. DECLARATION OF CHRIS MALEY IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORSDEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION I, Chris Maley, declare: Deel. of Maley ISO Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page I 00137 1. This declaration is submitted in support of the Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to the Application for Preliminary Injunction. 2. My name is Chris Maley. I am employed by the Office of the Illinois State Comptroller as the Director of Research and Fiscal Reporting. 3. Susana A. Mendoza is the Illinois State Comptroller. The Comptroller is the chief fiscal control officer for Illinois government, charged by the Constitution with maintaining the state's central fiscal accounts and ordering payments into and out of the appropriate funds. The Illinois Constitution empowers the Comptroller to record transactions, pre-audit expenditures and contracts, issue financial reports and provide leadership on the fiscal affairs of the state. The office processes more than 16 million transactions annually and serves as a "fiscal watchdog" to ensure all state payments meet the requirements of the law. The office provides current and accurate fiscal information to the Governor, the General Assembly, local governments and the public. Financial Impact analyses and other studies are published to assist the Governor and lawmakers in making informed budget decisions. As part of its responsibility to ensure the operations of state government are transparent, the Illinois Comptroller's Office collects information from participating state agencies about the programs they administer and reviews financial resources allocated to those programs. 4. As Director of Research and Fiscal Reporting, one of my responsibilities is to oversee the assembly of several reports produced by the Office of the Illinois Comptroller that provide facts, figures and analysis of various aspects of the State of Illinois' fiscal condition and economic outlook. As paii of my duties, I am responsible for the preparation of the Public Accountability Report, a compilation of data reported by State government agencies addressing agency initiatives, effectiveness, program administration, goals and objectives. 5. The Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services (HFS) is responsible for administering the Medical Assistance Programs under the Illinois Public Aid Code, the Children's Health Insurance Program Act, the Covering All Kids Health Insurance Act, the Veterans Health Insurance Program Act, other provisions of state law, and Title XIX and XXI of Deel. ofMaley ISO Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 2 00138 the federal Social Security Act. Specifically, HFS is the Illinois state agency responsible for providing healthcare coverage for adults and children who qualify for Medicaid, including those who qualify for Medicaid through the Medicaid expansion. As part of its review of state agency programs, the Illinois Comptroller's Office receives and reviews info1mation from HFS about the resources allocated to the medical assistance program (Medicaid). 6. In 2013, Illinois adopted what is commonly known as the Medicaid expans10n pursuant to the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. 42 U.S.C. § 1396a(a)(I0(A)(i)(VIII). Beginning January 1, 2014, Illinois law required that individuals aged 19 or older, but younger than 65, with incomes at or below 133% of the federal poverty level, be eligible for coverage under Illinois' Medicaid program. 305 ILCS 5/5-2(18). Illinois law also provides that if Illinois' federal medical assistance percentage is reduced below 90% for persons eligible for medical assistance through the Medicaid expansion, coverage for such persons shall terminate no later than the end of the third month following the month in which the reduction takes effect. Id. 7. I have reviewed data regarding HFS' financial operations provided by HFS to the Comptroller's Office for publication in the fiscal year 2017 Public Accountability Report. According to that data, Illinois received approximately $9,553,600,000 from the federal Department of Health and Human Services for Illinois' Medicaid expansion population for the years FY 2014 through FY 2017. Illinois is projected to receive $3,740,400,000 in FY 2018 for the Medicaid expansion population. 8. Additional data provided by HFS indicates that more than 673,000 individuals in Illinois are projected to be enrolled in an Affordable Care Act health insurance exchange plan in FY 2018. Enrollment by individuals in an Affordable Care Act health insurance exchange plan in Illinois has continued to increase since enrollment began in 2014: 457,000 enrollees in FY 2014; 642,000 enrollees in FY 2015; 651,747 enrollees in FY 2016; and 639,418 enrollees in FY 2017. In total, that amounts to 2,390,165 unique enrollments from FY 2014 through FY 2017. Deel. of Maley ISO Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 3 00139 9. Any of the foregoing financial contributions received under the Affordable Care Act would be terminated if the Plaintiffs' motion for preliminary injunction were granted. I declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct and of my own personal knowledge. Executed on June 5, 2018, in Springfield, Illinois. Chris Mal Director of Research and Fiscal Re Office of Illinois State Comptroller Deel. of Maley ISO Intervenors-Defendants' Opposition to Preliminary Injunction (I 8-cv-167) Page4 00140 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-0 V. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAYID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAll, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenor-Defendants. DECLARATION OF THEA MOUNTS IN SUPPORT OF IN SUPPORT OF INTERVENORS-DEFENDANTS' OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION Deel. of Thea Mounts in Opp. To Motion for Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 1 00141 I, Thea Mounts, declare: 1. I am over the age of 18 years and make this declaration based on my personal knowledge of the matters stated below. 2. I am a Senior Forecasting and Research Manager/WA-APCD Program Director at the Washington State Office of Financial Management. My responsibilities include supervising a team that provides analytic and research support for budget and policy development of the state's health and human service programs. We analyze and monitor data related to trends in the state's health care coverage, service utilization, quality, costs and workforce capacity, in addition to producing the state's Medicaid expenditure forecast. 3. The Washington State Office of Financial Management is the Governor's office for vital information, fiscal services and policy support that the Governor, Legislature and state agencies need to serve the people of Washington. 4. This declaration is submitted in support of the Intervenor-States ' Opposition to the Motion for Preliminary Injunction. Based on my knowledge and experience, dismantling the Affordable Care Act would cause severe harm to the state of Washington, to its residents and to its economy. In addition to loss of benefits and services and federal investments to support Washington's health care system as stated below, Washington would experience harm and increased costs from the dismantling of the state's administrative structure and apparatus created in compliance with, and to work in conjunction with, the Affordable Care Act. For example: a. The state would have to rebuild the eligibility and enrollment system for Medicaid, which would have a significant cost associated with it. b. The state would have to take on the costs of the call center for Medicaid. c. The state would have to pick up outreach, marketing, and other functions for Medicaid currently performed by the Exchange. Deel. of Thea Mounts in Opp. To Motion for Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 2 00142 d. The state would have to revert to the law related to individual market coverage in place prior to the ACA's enactment. Under those provisions, all applicants for individual health insurance would be required to complete a standard health questionnaire, which would be used to determine whether an individual meets a health cost/risk threshold sufficient to allow the catTier to deny coverage and trigger the individual's eligibility for the Washington State Health Insurance Pool (WSHIP), the state's high risk pool program. The substantial cost impacts of reversion to this system would include: 1. WSHIP is funded by a combination of enrollee premiums and assessments on health carriers and stop loss insurers doing business in Washington State. WSHIP coverage would be more costly for consumers, especially those who would be eligible for an APTC payment under cuITent law, directly harming those consumers. 11. CatTiers and stop loss insurers in Washington state would be required to fund the difference between WSHIP enrollee claims costs and premiums paid by enrollees, through as assessment formula. After implementation of the ACA, WSHIP enrollment was closed because consumers have guaranteed access to coverage. Carriers would be confronted with the additional costs of the assessment. m. The Office of the Insurance Commissioner would face substantial administrative costs associated with major regulatory changes, modifications to individual and small group health plan filing requirements and other administrative changes required to return to the rules and policies that were in place prior to ACA implementation. Deel. of Thea Mounts in Opp. To Motion for Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 3 00143 A. The Affordable Care Act Directs Billions of Dollars Directly to Washington State 5. Washington received $10 .1 billion in additional funds from the federal government to support its Medicaid expansion between January 2014 and June 2017. 6. Washington has spent $48.7 million in Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation grant dollars between February 2015 and February 2018. B. The Affordable Care Act Increased Access to Affordable Coverage 7. Overall, the number of individuals with health insurance has increased. In Washington State in 2016, 6.9 million people had coverage. The State' s total uninsured rate declined by 61 % between 2013 and 2016, falling from 14.0% to 5.4%. 8. The Affordable Care Act (ACA) expanded coverage through two key mechanisms: Medicaid expansion for those individuals with the lowest incomes, and federal health subsidies to purchase coverage in new health insurance Exchanges for those individuals with moderate incomes. 9. Adults ages 18-64 experienced the largest reduction in the number of uninsured and the uninsured rate, declining from 877,000 (19.8%) in 2013 to 352,000 (7.9%) in 2016 . 10. Medicaid is an important source of health coverage and has resulted in significant coverage gains and reduction in the uninsured rate, both among the lowincome population and within the vulnerable populations. In the first year of Medicaid expansion, the increase in Medicaid accounted for at least 93% of Washington State' s total coverage gains. In turn, low-income non-elderly adults accounted for 92% of the net increase in the state's Medicaid enrollment in 2014. Deel. of Thea Mounts in Opp. To Motion for Preliminary Injunction (I 8-cv-167) Page 4 00144 11. The State's Exchange is an important reform made by the ACA that has had a major impact on access to affordable health insurance. In Washington State, over 132,500 residents·currently receive federally subsidized coverage as a result of the law. 12. In 2017, an average of 156,000 people per month received tax credits totaling over $342 million dollars. 13. In 2017, an average 101,000 people per month received cost-sharing reductions totaling over $56 million dollars. C. The Affordable Care Act Has Positive Economic Benefits on States 14. Our State's experience shows that expansion of Medicaid under the ACA has resulted in budget savings, revenue gains, and overall economic growth. 15. In 2015, an estimated 51,196 jobs were saved or created as a result of the ACA Medicaid expansion in Washington State. · 16. The amount of uncompensated care in Washington State's community hospitals declined by $1.332 billion, or two-thirds (66.7%), in FY 2016, when compared to the level seen in FY2013. 17. The state budget benefited by nearly $1.14 billion through June 2017 thanks to refinancing health programs that were previously all or partially funded by the State-General Fund (Basic Health, Medical Care Services, Presumptive SSI, state only behavioral health programs, Medically Needy, etc.). These programs served vulnerable populations who were not previously eligible for federally funded Medicaid prior to the ACA. D. The Affordable Care Act Has Allowed States to Test and Implement Reforms to Healthcare Delivery Systems That Support State Policy Priorities of Increasing Efficiency and Quality of Care 18. Washington State continues to benefit from the infusion of resources for health reform and innovation that has catalyzed higher quality, safer and better Deel. of Thea Mounts in Opp. To Motion for Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 5 00145 coordinated care delivery, smaiier spending and the realization of savings to public programs, more engaged providers, and healthier populations. 19. Successes to date that have been achieved pursuant to ACA authority or funding include: a. Developed, implemented, and managed the Washington State Common Measure Set, which sends aligned signals to providers. b. Launched fully-integrated Managed Care contracts aligning the financing for physical and behavioral health, resulting in better patient outcomes. c. Created a value-based plan option called UMP Plus for state employees and their families, starting in 2016. Over 25,000 state employees and their families are emolled in the plan. Year 1 (2016) results show state employee received high quality care for chronic and preventive services, and the State spent $2.7M less for UMP Plus members (compared to benchmark) or roughly 1% less than if non-UMP Plus providers had been caring for this same population. d. Stood up nine Accountable Communities of Health to link clinical and community supp01is in service to the whole person. e. Matured the State's analytic and data capabilities, to include data aggregation infrastructure and overall improvement of data and reporting quality and consistency. 20. Funding available under the ACA supp01ied the design and development work that created the Health Home program, a care management strategy for high risk clients. This is the first program in the state to offer such services to Medicare-Medicaid dual eligible clients. Under an ACA supported demonstration agreement with CMS has brought tens of millions of dollars in savings to the state. 21. Amidst the success of the Medicaid expansion, leaders in Washington state and nationwide recognize access to coverage is just the beginning, and barriers remain to improved health and wellbeing of individuals and families. The innovation opp01iunities offered through ACA-facilitated models like SIM, Partnership for Patients, Transforming Clinical Practice Initiative and more help ensure we are not expanding access to a system Deel. of Thea Mounts in Opp. To Motion for Preliminary Injunction (l 8-cv-167) Page 6 00146 that is unsafe, fragmented and wasteful. One success story from these opportunities is that the Washington State Hospital Association's leadership in the state for the Partnership for Patients program led to a reduction in hospital-acquired conditions and avoidable readmissions. Through the first r.ound of this program, 23,000 patients were saved from harm and saw a reduction of $336 million in health care spending. 22. Also as a result of the innovation opportunities offered through ACA- facilitated models, five Transforming Clinical Practice Initiative sites statewide are set up to help clinicians achieve large-scale health transformation through comprehensive quality improvement strategies. E. The ACA Resulted in Better Quality and More Accessible, Affordable Healthcare for Consumers 23. The ACA created robust consumer protections to help ensure individuals can access the health care system. 24. Between 2009 and 2016, nearly 100,000 young adults aged 18-26 in Washington State gained access to private coverage. Many of these young adults were able to stay on their parents' coverage policy as a result of the ACA. 25. Since January 2014, more than 27,000 adults in Washington State have been treated for cancer while enrolled under the ACA's Med.icaid expansion. 26. Since January 2014, more than 90,000 new adult Medicaid enrollees received substance use disorder services as a result of the ACA. 27. The ACA has led to improved access to care in Washington State: between 2013 and 2016, the share of adults with a doctor increased 3 .2 percentage points; and between 201 J and 2014, the percent of adults who skipped medications because of cost declined 1.5 percentage points. 28. The ACA led to improved financial security for over 90,000 adults in Washington State in 2014. The share of adults carrying medical debts declined from 19.5% in 2013 to 17.7% in 2014. Deel. of Thea Mounts in Opp. To Motion for Preliminary Injunction (18-cv-167) Page 7 00147 29. The ACA has resulted in improved health outcomes. The share of adults in Washington state reporting fair or poor health dropped by 1.4 percentage points between 2013 and 2016. 30. The number of adults in Washington state delaying care due to costs dropped from 15 .5% in 2013 to 10.1 % in 2016. 31. All of the foregoing benefits of the Affordable Care Act would be removed if the Plaintiffs' motion for preliminary injunction were granted. I declare under penalty of perjury under the laws of the United States of America and the State of Washington that the foregoing is true and conect. Executed on this _5__ day of June, 2018, at Olympia, Washington. ~ / 7. /J?~ THEA N. MOUNTS Senior Forecasting and Research Manager/ WA-APCD Program Director Washington State Office of Financial Management Deel. of Thea Mounts in Opp. To Motion for Preliminary Injunction (l 8-cv-167) Page 8 00148 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION TEXAS, WISCONSIN, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, ARIZONA, FLORIDA, GEORGIA, INDIANA, KANSAS, LOUISIANA, PAUL LePAGE, Governor of Maine, Governor Phil Bryant of the State of MISSISSIPPI, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA, NORTH DAKOTA, SOUTH CAROLINA, SOUTH DAKOTA, TENNESSEE, UTAH, WEST VIRGINIA, NEILL HURLEY and JOHN NANTZ, Plaintiffs, Civil Action No. 4:18-cv-00167-O v. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, ALEX AZAR, in his Official Capacity as SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES, UNITED STATES INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE, and DAVID J. KAUTTER, in his Official Capacity as Acting COMMISSIONER OF INTERNAL REVENUE, Defendants. CALIFORNIA, CONNECTICUT, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DELAWARE, HAWAII, ILLINOIS, KENTUCKY, MASSACHUSETTS, MINNESOTA by and through its Department of Commerce, NEW JERSEY, NEW YORK, NORTH CAROLINA, OREGON, RHODE ISLAND, VERMONT, VIRGINIA and WASHINGTON, Intervenor-Defendants. DECLARATION OF NELI PALMA IN SUPPORT OF OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION FOR PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION 00149 I, Neli N. Palma, declare: 1. I am an attorney at law licensed to practice in all Courts of the State of California. I have been appointed and currently serve as a Deputy Attorney General in the California Office of the Attorney General. In this capacity, I have been assigned to appear on behalf of the Intervenor-Defendants in this matter. 2. I have reviewed the exhibits listed and attached hereto, and if called upon could testify that each document is a true and correct copy downloaded from the referenced web address on June 6, 2018: Exhibit A – Glied, Sherry A., et al., “Access to Coverage and Care for People with Preexisting Conditions: How it Has Changed Under the ACA?,” The Commonwealth Fund, June 22, 2017. http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/issuebriefs/2017/jun/coverage-care-preexisting-conditions-aca. Exhibit B – Maine Equal Justice Partners Consumers for Affordable Health Care, et al. v. Ricker Hamilton, Commissioner Maine Department of Health and Human Services, Order on M.R. Civ. P. 80C Appeal of Agency Action, Business and Consumer Court Civil Action, Doc. No. BCD-AP-18-02, June 4, 2018. http://www.courts.maine.gov/news_reference/high_profile/equal-justice-partners/orderon-mrcivp80c-appeal-of-agency-action.pdf. Exhibit C – Kaiser Family Foundation, “Medicaid Expansion Spending,” FY 2015. https://www.kff.org/medicaid/state-indicator/medicaid-expansion-spending. 00150 Exhibit D – Kaiser Family Foundation, “High-Risk Pools for Uninsurable Individuals,” February 22, 2017. https://www.kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/high-riskpools-for-uninsurable-individuals/. Exhibit E – Congressional Research Service “Legislative Actions in the 112th, 113th, and 114th Congresses to Repeal, Defund, or Delay the Affordable Care Act,” February 7, 2017. https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R43289.pdf. Exhibit F – Internal Revenue Serv., Affordable Care Act Provision 9010 - Health Insurance Providers Fee (Rev. Mar. 2018). https://www.irs.gov/businesses/corporations/affordable-care-act-provision-9010. Exhibit G – Internal Revenue Serv., U.S. Department of the Treasury, Pub. No. 1304, Individual Income Tax Returns 2015 26 (Rev. Sept. 2017) [portion]. Exhibit H – Congressional Budget Office, “Repealing the Individual Health Insurance Mandate: An Updated Estimate,” November 2017. https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/115th-congress-2017-2018/reports/53300individualmandate.pdf. Exhibit I – Internal Revenue Service, “Federal Tax Compliance Research: Tax Gap Estimates for Tax Years 2008–2010,” Publication 1415, May 2016. https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/p1415.pdf. Exhibit J – Congressional Budget Office, “Federal Subsidies for Health Insurance Coverage for People Under Age 65: 2018 to 2028,” May 2018. https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/115th-congress-2017-2018/reports/53826healthinsurancecoverage.pdf. 00151 Exhibit K – Congressional Budget Office, “The Effects of Terminating Payments for Cost-Sharing Reductions,” August 2017. https://www.cbo.gov/ system/files/115thcongress-2017-2018/reports/53009-costsharingreductions.pdf. Exhibit L – Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services “Health Insurance Exchanges 2018 Open Enrollment Period Final Report,” April 3, 2018. https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Fact-sheets/2018-Fact-sheetsitems/2018-04-03.html. Exhibit M – Miller, Thomas P., “Examining the Effectiveness of the Individual Mandate under the Affordable Care Act: Statement before the House Committee on Ways and Means Subcommittee on Oversight,” January 24, 2017. https://waysandmeans.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/20170124-OS-TestimonyMiller.pdf. Exhibit N – Tricia Brooks et al., Medicaid and CHIP Eligibility, March 2018 Enrollment, Renewal, and Cost Sharing Policies as of January 2018: Findings from a 50State Survey, Kaiser Family Foundation, March 2018. https://www.kff.org/medicaid/report/medicaid-and-chip-eligibility-enrollment-renewaland-cost-sharing-policies-as-of-january-2018-findings-from-a-50-state-survey/. Exhibit O – Texas Health and Human Services, Community First Choice. https://hhs.texas.gov/services/health/medicaid-chip/programs/community-first-choice. Exhibit P – Texas Health and Human Services Commission, “Report on the CostEffectiveness of Community First Choice in Star+Plus,” February 2017. https://hhs.texas.gov/services/health/medicaid-chip/programs/community-first-choice. 00152 I declare under penalty of perjury under the laws of the United States that the foregoing is true and correct and that this declaration was signed on this date in Sacramento, California. Executed on this 7th day of June, 2018, at Sacramento, California. /l/v~ NELIPALMA 00153 00154 00155 00156 00157 00158 00159 00160 00161 00162 00163 00164 00165 00166 00167 00168 00169 00170 00171 00172 00173 00174 00175 00176 00177 00178 00179 00180 00181 00182 00183 00184 00185 00186 00187 00188 00189 00190 00191 00192 00193 00194 00195 00196 00197 00198 00199 00200 00201 00202 00203 00204 00205 00206 00207 00208 00209 00210 00211 00212 00213 00214 00215 00216 00217 00218 00219 00220 00221 00222 00223 00224 00225 00226 00227 00228 00229 00230 00231 00232 00233 00234 00235 00236

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