The Football Association Premier League Limited et al v. Youtube, Inc. et al
Filing
276
DECLARATION of Elizabeth Anne Figueira, Esq. in Opposition re: 167 MOTION for Summary Judgment.. Document filed by The Music Force LLC, Cal IV Entertainment, LLC, Cherry Lane Music Publishing Company, Inc., The Football Association Premier League Limited, Robert Tur, National Music Publishers' Association, The Rodgers & Hammerstein Organization, Edward B. Marks Music Company, Freddy Bienstock Music Company, Alley Music Corporation, X-Ray Dog Music, Inc., Federation Francaise De Tennis, The Scottish Premier League Limited, The Music Force Media Group LLC, Sin-Drome Records, Ltd., Murbo Music Publishing, Inc., Stage Three Music (US), Inc., Bourne Co.. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit 189, # 2 Exhibit 190, # 3 Exhibit 191, # 4 Exhibit 192, # 5 Exhibit 193, # 6 Exhibit 194, # 7 Exhibit 195, # 8 Exhibit 196, # 9 Exhibit 197, # 10 Exhibit 198, # 11 Exhibit 199, # 12 Exhibit 200, # 13 Exhibit 201, # 14 Exhibit 202, # 15 Exhibit 203, # 16 Exhibit 204, # 17 Exhibit 205, # 18 Exhibit 206, # 19 Exhibit 207, # 20 Exhibit 208, # 21 Exhibit 209, # 22 Exhibit 210, # 23 Exhibit 211, # 24 Exhibit 212, # 25 Exhibit 213, # 26 Exhibit 214, # 27 Exhibit 215, # 28 Exhibit 216, # 29 Exhibit 217, # 30 Exhibit 218, # 31 Exhibit 219, # 32 Exhibit 220, # 33 Exhibit 221, # 34 Exhibit 222, # 35 Exhibit 223, # 36 Exhibit 224 Part 1, # 37 Exhibit 224 Part 2, # 38 Exhibit 225, # 39 Exhibit 226, # 40 Exhibit 227 Part 1, # 41 Exhibit 227 Part 2, # 42 Exhibit 227 Part 3, # 43 Exhibit 227 Part 4, # 44 Exhibit 228, # 45 Exhibit 229, # 46 Exhibit 230, # 47 Exhibit 231, # 48 Exhibit 232, # 49 Exhibit 233, # 50 Exhibit 234, # 51 Exhibit 235, # 52 Exhibit 236, # 53 Exhibit 237, # 54 Exhibit 238, # 55 Exhibit 239, # 56 Exhibit 240, # 57 Exhibit 241, # 58 Exhibit 242, # 59 Exhibit 243, # 60 Exhibit 244, # 61 Exhibit 245, # 62 Exhibit 246, # 63 Exhibit 247, # 64 Exhibit 248, # 65 Exhibit 249, # 66 Exhibit 250, # 67 Exhibit 251, # 68 Exhibit 252, # 69 Exhibit 253, # 70 Exhibit 254, # 71 Exhibit 255, # 72 Exhibit 256, # 73 Exhibit 257, # 74 Exhibit 258, # 75 Exhibit 259, # 76 Exhibit 260, # 77 Exhibit 261, # 78 Exhibit 262, # 79 Exhibit 263, # 80 Exhibit 264, # 81 Exhibit 265, # 82 Exhibit 266, # 83 Exhibit 267, # 84 Exhibit 268, # 85 Exhibit 269, # 86 Exhibit 270, # 87 Exhibit 271, # 88 Exhibit 272 Part 1, # 89 Exhibit 272-2, # 90 Exhibit 272 Part 3, # 91 Exhibit 272 Part 4, # 92 Exhibit 272 Part 5, # 93 Exhibit 272 Part 6, # 94 Exhibit 272 Part 7, # 95 Exhibit 272 Part 8, # 96 Exhibit 272 Part 9, # 97 Exhibit 272 Part 10, # 98 Exhibit 272 Part 11, # 99 Exhibit 272 Part 12, # 100 Exhibit 272 Part 13, # 101 Exhibit 272 Part 14, # 102 Exhibit 272 Part 15, # 103 Exhibit 272 Part 16, # 104 Exhibit 272 Part 17, # 105 Exhibit 272 Part 18, # 106 Exhibit 272 Part 19, # 107 Exhibit 273, # 108 Exhibit 274, # 109 Exhibit 275, # 110 Exhibit 276, # 111 Exhibit 277, # 112 Exhibit 278, # 113 Exhibit 279, # 114 Exhibit 280, # 115 Exhibit 281, # 116 Exhibit 282, # 117 Exhibit 283, # 118 Exhibit 284, # 119 Exhibit 285, # 120 Exhibit 286, # 121 Exhibit 287, # 122 Exhibit 288, # 123 Exhibit 289, # 124 Exhibit 290, # 125 Exhibit 291, # 126 Exhibit 292, # 127 Exhibit 293, # 128 Exhibit 294, # 129 Exhibit 295, # 130 Exhibit 296, # 131 Exhibit 297, # 132 Exhibit 298, # 133 Exhibit 299, # 134 Exhibit 300, # 135 Exhibit 301, # 136 Exhibit 302, # 137 Exhibit 303, # 138 Exhibit 304, # 139 Exhibit 305, # 140 Exhibit 306, # 141 Exhibit 307, # 142 Exhibit 308, # 143 Exhibit 309, # 144 Exhibit 310, # 145 Exhibit 311, # 146 Exhibit 312, # 147 Exhibit 313, # 148 Exhibit 314, # 149 Exhibit 315, # 150 Exhibit 316, # 151 Exhibit 317, # 152 Exhibit 318, # 153 Exhibit 319, # 154 Exhibit 320, # 155 Exhibit 321, # 156 Exhibit 322, # 157 Exhibit 323, # 158 Exhibit 324, # 159 Exhibit 325, # 160 Exhibit 326, # 161 Exhibit 327, # 162 Exhibit 328, # 163 Exhibit 329, # 164 Exhibit 330, # 165 Exhibit 331, # 166 Exhibit 332, # 167 Exhibit 333 Part 1, # 168 Exhibit 333 Part 2, # 169 Exhibit 334, # 170 Exhibit 335, # 171 Exhibit 336, # 172 Exhibit 337, # 173 Exhibit 338)(Figueira, Elizabeth)
Eiueiia
Deci.
Tab
From
Sent
246
Kim
James October
Chris
Saturday
To
Subject Attach
2006 719 1PM
Ccscarbor@cred
it-ga
Scarborough
isse
com
zaurus@creditjssecom
Project Project
Maurus
Zach
Snowmass Snowmass
Oct. Oct.
Board Board
Materials
vS.PPT
MateljaJsygppT
Scarby/zach
Attached
is
draft
of the materials.
Im
around
to
disctjst
Thx James
EXHIBIT IGiOHMflOSRRpR
HIGHLY
CONFIDENTIAL
CSSU 003326
CREDIT
Suiss
CONFIDENTIAL
Project
October
Snowmass
IBC Materials
2006
DRAFT
PRELIMINARY
THESE
WRITTEN
SUBJECT TO FURTHER
UPON FOR ANY PURPOSE
REVIEW AND EVALUATION
THAN AS SPECIFICALLY
MTERIALS MAY 401 BE USED OR REUED AGREEMENT WITh CREDIT SUISSE.
OTH
CONTEMPLATED
BY
.1
CONFIDENTIAL
Summary of Key Transaction Terms
11
Based on
-I
Draft
MergerAgreement
as of October
2006
Summary
$1.65 Stock
billion
in
of
Terms
Summary
of Statistics
of
Green Class
for all
Common
options
of
$MM
Illustrative
exchange and
shares
Green
Street
Statistics
warrants Yellow
other equity
interests
Yellow
Txri
Statistics
One
year
indemnification
period
with
Fully-Diluted
certain
customary carveouts
for
Equity
Value
$1650
$132299
Net
Cash Aggregate
Value
10.840 1650
121458
Liability
breaches
is
limited to
Fully-Diluted
of the aggregate
consideration
of the
Revenue
Statistic
Escrow
of
aggregate
CY2007E CY2008E
$150 299
11.Ox
5.5
consideration
12.$x
6.7
Expected
after
to sign
and
publicly
announce
EBIIDA CY2007E CY2008E
$67 144 24.Sx 11.5 9.6x 15.3
market on October
in
Closing anticipated
30
to
45 days
ItOPAT
0Y2007E CY200SE
Based Yellow CA Based
on
$34 78 Green
48.4x 21.2
31.3x 25.2
management based
stock on
data
provided
Ootobere
data
2006. provided 2006.
projections
Green
of
Management
as of
October
ProJections
2006.
on Green
Welsel
pce
2008
$420.50
October
based
on Thomas
estimates
analyst
research
dated
September
14 2006
and
consensus
for
2007
and
respectIvely.
Co
CONFIDENTIAL
Update
Football
Field
Last
_________________________
Summary of
$MM
Valuation Analyses
To discuss
IPO Analysis
rIllustrative
DCF
Selected
Selected Transactions
Analysis
Illustrative
Companies
IPO Analysis
$2000
Green $1500
Offer
$1650MM
siooo
CRED1TSUISS
Yellow Company Overview
-n -l Status Headquarters
Private
is
91
place
for
people as
to share1 personal with enables
comment
video
San 2005
Matco
CA
Yellow
into
on and view
service
videos
online.
originally
started
Founded
an
sharing
and
than
entertainment
destination
daily.
has grown 100
million
videos
on the Upload
people Watching people to
more
site
Yellow
tag
and share
of
videos
Worldwide
Browse
millions
original
videos
uploaded
by community
with
members
ind
Management
Join
and
create
video
groups to connect
similar interests
people who have
Customize
Title
the
experience creating
same
Chad
Steve Gideon
Hurley
by subscribing
to
Background
Executive Executive Paypai
favorites
and
member videos
saving
playilsts
CEO CFO
Integrate
Yellow
videos
on websltes
users with
Chen Yu Paypal Yahool
Treasurer
using
video
embeds
to
or
APIs
their
Make publl
videos or
public
or private prIvately
can
elect
share them
broadcast
videos
friends
and family
upon
upload
Amount Round Round Type
1st
Post-Money Valuation September
discover
Raised Date
11105
20 2006
Announced
$MM
$3.5
$MM
NA NA
Company
Shipping
unsigned
bands
Stage
Clngularsponsored and musicians.
video
promotion
to
September18
Product partnership with
2006 Warner
-Announced Music
distribution
and
revenue
2nd
Group
advertising
4/06
8.0
Shipping
Product
August22
Ads
2006
and and
UnveIled
new
Yellow
CPVA
Brand
Channels_to
Investors
include
Sequoia
Capital
community Warner promote
oonceptsParijclpato encourage dialogue between
their first
Video
marketers Records
names
Brand
for
Brothers her debut
Channel
Hilton
and
partner to
designates
channel
Paris
album Paris Launched
mobile service that allows
to
May 10
directly
2006
from
their
people
the
to
upload
videos
phones
and POAs
Yellow
that
Web
site.
June
212006-Announced
with
strategic audience.
partnership
will
combine
programming
CCo
directly
Yellows
NBCs
May 10 2006
from
their
Launched
mobile
service
that
allows
to
people the
to
upload
site
videos
phones
and
PDAs
Yellowweb
Ca
CONFIDENTIAL
Yellow_Company Overview
Ii -I
contmued
YQrinterfce
Metric
October Metric 2005 July 2006
Rank
Sal
Lmj
Wothl
Unique 0.7MM 16.1MM
ers
ra
es
Viewed
10MM
661MM
___
.aoItyjJsk
terfluge a tes
Per Visitor
11.6
miii
Thonuflgef
SiI4IeI
II
flqw
33.7
miii
Mceh
Forre
Rank omscore
within
online Metrix
video
space.
Based
on
July
2006
metric
Media
per
Current number Current number
of videos
viewed uploaded
daily
180MM
User
I.
tormedlj
of
videos
daily
1001000
LT1
Video
FRcrnber
Only
viden
Source
Yellow
Management
date
provided
October
2006.
Pqg
II
Cs Cs
L.......1
nin
MdkOroup
l.fsN
lInw.U
iIIIthY4Ig.
Jl..
__________
Ccnimn.l
_____
mI
tA
faft
ThCIk4
miitft
L.ttt
I-
CONFIDENTIAL
Benchmarking User Growth
-I
Unique Users
In
MM
Compounded
Monthly Growth
Rate
Aug-OS
Jul-06
54.5 51.4 46.0 52.3
8.3%
41.
35.6 32.2
243
21.8 21.6
12.4 8.3 8.5
95
11.1
12.1 10.5
12.9
14i
12.4
138
1-22
___
14.4 16.1
Yellow
fat oh nok
64.0% 4.7%
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-OS
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar.06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Source
ComeoDre
Media
Metrix
Co CD
CREDITSUISS
CONFIDENTIAL
Online Video Market Forecasts
71
-I
2005
2010
CAGR
Ia
Carte
79.9%
$601.8
tT@r
Advertising
40.5%
$230.0
$458.0
$92.8
Subscription
40.9%
2006
2007
Subscription Advertising
Ia
Carte
2005-2010
CAGR
Other 36.8%
$1446.5
$172.5
Sports
41.8%
User-Created
580.0
52.6%
$601.6
News
Movies
-SrcSSicIlj
42.5%
68.4%
$230.0
C.
-$1581
Jt
$324.9
$116.1
$517.7 $235.6
69.6%
2005
03 CA CA CA
2006
2007
2008
2009
Sports
2010
TV
30000
Movies
News
User-Created
Other
ID
Maroh
2016
CONFIDENTIAL
Transaction Rationale and Positioning
Enables Green to catapult to the clear number one position
Online video has meaningful Yellow
players
in
online video
to gain
been
top
priority for
Green and they have not been able
efforts
traction
with their stand
alone
has consistently
in
extended
its
leadership
position over
Green and
all
other online
2006
Numerous
revenue
and cost synergies
of
will
drive
of
its
increasing network
its
profits
Green can
can
advertiser
increase usage
better monetize relationships
realize significant
Yellow
as part
traffic
Yellows
and
viewing with
technology
and
Green can
cost
savings
in
ad serving
bandwidth
and sales
Yellow
is
one of the leading and fastest growing
has exhibited tremendous growth
of private internet
Web
2.0
companies
loyal
Company
and has established companies exhibiting
global
following
There are only and traction
handful
this type
of growth
Cl Cl
CREDIT
Suiss
CONFIDENTIAL
Key Revenue Assumptions
ii -I
Currentiy website there are
in
Yellow Model
180MM
videos
videos
viewed
per
day on
Yellow
950MM
par
avg.
videos
viewed
day by 2011E
of
Assumes 90% 13%
400MM
of videos of videos
avg.
viewed
are major partner
per
day
in
20078
markets
CAGR
eta
24%
viewed viewed
geographic websites
on
MySpace
Page
vIews
on Page Page
areas
of the of
Yellow
website
views
670BN
by 2011
annual
page
views
Home
Search Watch
10% 45%
total total
page page page
of of
views
views
CAGR
of
24%
Page
11
46%
page
total
Assumes 2608W 50%
Video
Stream vIews
to
in
Watch 20078
Page
ratio
annual
of
total
video
streams
is
on Yellow
website
are as
Premium movie
50% TV
tnilers
of
premium
allow
content Yellow
to
$10
CPM
in to
2007E
$13 by
636N
videos
premium viewed
wiil
Premium
Content
etc of
copyrighted
content
such
providers
musiovideos Assumes
their
mopetzetheircorttent content providers allow Yellow
to
Growing 2011E
notservendeo
In
ads
10%
in
content
premium 20078 on
monetize
79%
sell
through
on
20078
in
advertising advertising Inventory
inventory video
998W
201
19
75% 5/5Q SSN 40%
video
sell
through
649W
streams
for
annual sold of
ad
revenue
share sphtafter
10%
ailocation
expenses
bandwidth
storage ad streams
eta
in
CA3R
88%
said
200Th
of
total
video
streams
is
on
Yellow
website
are
Non Premium
and
is
10%
content using
of
Non-Premium be monetized ads by 20118
CPM
20119
of
sa
In
200Th
by
s.
45BN annual non
premium videos viewed wMl not serve video ads
in in
Non-Premium between
high of
Content
value
user
generated
videos content
segmented
can
video
Growing to $5
content
and regular can
5%
in
Non
Premum
and
content
be monetized
using
video
ads
sold
2007E
Sell
SBN video ad streams by2OllE
of
2007E
1000W
20118
through
revenue
share
assumptions
consistent
with
CAGR
78%
premium
video video
assumptions ad streams
said
in
900MM
Non-targeted
20078 Pages
run
of
site
ads served on
in
Search and Watch
254BM page views
20078
603N CAGR
page
of
views
by 2011
CPM
of
$0
14 on
24%
$050 CPM
GreenMaii
CCl Cl
Sponsored sponsored
advertising by
on Yeliow
Prison
sell in
home page to
on sovertising
Pans
Hilton
678W
page
of
views
by 20118
CPM
Green
of
$3
to
In
Fofl
Break through
inventory
CAGR
24%
growing
$5
20079 by 20118 thatAOL
Is
Assumes
100%
views
estimates
28BN page
20078
Home
and
Page
CPM
$5
YHOO Home CPM is -43
Page
c-fl
CONFiDENTIAL
C-
Yellow Long-Term Financial Projections
Financials
-I
based on Green Management Case
Yellow Calendar 2007E
Premium
High Value of Site Video $51 Video 36 65 53 148
Year Financial 2009E
$342 20 67 212
Performance 2010E
$565 35 77 274
07-ll CAteR 101%
2008E
$168
2011E
$835 43 84 335
Non-Premium Ads Ads
Run
102% 24% 41% 65% 57%
Sponsored
Gross Revenue
Net
$174 $150
$379 $299 99%
144
$640 $477 60% 246 52% 80%
$950 $681 43% 374 55% 58%
$1297
$902 33% 496
Revenue
Growth
NM
67
EBJTDA
L%
Less
Margins Grovilh
45%
48%
128%
NM
55%
33%
66%
Current headcount eo
of
approximately growing
to of
employees
DA
income 52
200 by2OllE
24
120
ai
215 340 bO%
451
Majority
Operating
Margins
expanses
other operaung consist of bandwidth
5%
35% 34 23%
based on
71%
and
server costs
40%
45
36% 140 29%
2006.
bQ%
83MM
last
in
video costs
streaming over the
income
bandwidth
Taxes 35%
78
months
Tax Rate
NO PAT
Margins
35%
221
35% 293 33% 71%
26%
October
33%
Projections Net
Green
Management
expenses.
data
provided
of partner
revenue
share
CREDIT
CA
C.-
Suiss
CONFIDENTIAL
Selected Companies Trading Statistics
-Il
LNX_I1TI
-I
Trading_Performance
FO
Free.
Capitalization Aggr. Market Value CYOG. PIE
raliltiples
D_
COMPANY
internet
Stock Price 1E1U106
Dice.
to
Equity M.rliet
FD Revenue CYOB CYOG CYOF eyes CYO7
LTM
Love
Aggregate
Value _________________
LT Cr. Rite
CY2OIJI
FYE
EBITDA CYst CYO CYOR CYIG
fliqh
Value
NOPA OVa
FE LIaR
VW
ILIGR
Lefl6
oBey
Yahool
Dec.
toec.
82939
25.47
37.2% 41.3% 34.2%
27.6% 3.3% 25.0%
$42400 37107
13.699
$39045 27377
13.011
29.811
23.6x
17.7 29.6 29.0
6.6 5.0 .3
13
4.7 lix
4.2x
17.11 14.1
13.5
ID.6tc
10.61
23.8
22.6 37.5 45.1
22.7 27.0 31.0
24% 26%
63.6
Arnezon.com
391
4181
1.01
Dec.
3.9 6.0
--
32.59
94
13.4
NM NM
NM
1.4 2.3
22.0
17.211
Ouxfa
Monster
Qonmft
sad Corstmer Uso.
littgaUor
Services 839.98
WorktMde ax
32.6%
38.5%
85.309 2.119 1.727
84.860
32.2
24.6
45.51
19.7
4.2
3.7k
RealNatworks Netflc
Doe.
11.34
25%
23.9% 37.8% 4.3%
3.5 alt
3.1 2.9
0.811
16.0
12.Sic
10.3
$1911
2t911
976%
29.8% 35.9% 99.0% 12.4%
1350 1365 1519
809 419
NM
46.7 45.4 51.8 29.5
22.6 84.0 30.1 47.0 37.0 20.8
17.311
25% 23% 43% 29% 33% 20%
1.0 2.0
Dec.
Neiwotits
NM
6.7 17.1
2411 Des.
9.65 21.17
46.6
114 NM
45.4
30.4
322ac
32.011
ONET
Knot
18.3
28.4x
1.4 8.9
10
3.41
NM
7.Dt 34.31 14.41
1517
643 522
62
135
21.31
NM 111
t4k
Dec. Dec.
3.011
245
i6.Ouc
Bankrata
85
59
4.2
07 11
1.0 Gas
4.611
26.91
481%
427
14.8
NM
219cc
22.0
3.4
iQ0x
8.2
Source II Yehcot
legs
sonaenaaaeallmoteaaedwellst.roet atfjustaltolndade$e
Rsarch
metketvalua
01 yo3ccot
tiotceth
owreatlp
lii
Yeutaol
Japan.
Aanjaied
84%daurasetmelketcapuaezeson
arYaheal
Japan
sIlo
20%
llqiMdJc1acojrt
Selected
Statistict21
Multiple
Reference
Range
High
Implied
EquityValUeJ
High
Low
Low
0Y2C07E
$67
20.0
30.0
$1350
$2024
CY200SE
144
11.0
17.0
51579
$2440
CY2007E
$34
30.Ox
50Ox
$1023
$1706
CY200SE
78
20.0
30.0
$1555
$2332
Assumes
Yellow
Yellow projeolions
net
cash
of upon
80.0MM Green
based
on management
provided
data
provided
Qolober6
2006.
2Q06.
based
Menegemeni
October
Implied
Co C. -I
valuation
range of $1.OBN
to
$2.3BN based on selected company
statistics
10
CONFIDENTIAL
Selected Internet Transactions
$MM
-I FuIIyDiIutecj Equity
Consider adding content
Date 0W09/os
04/24/06 03/16/06 03/06/06 01/17/06 12/14/05 09/12/05 09/08/05 07/18/05 06/07/05 06/01/05 05/04/05 03/21/05 03/21/05 02/16/05 12/16/04 11/14/04 09/14/04 08/03/04 03/26/04 07/08/02
Agg. Value $200 102 566 809
Revenue
Target
EBITDA
_________
Entertainment
Acquirer Viacom Viacom
Value
$200 102 366 665
LTM NA
Atom
Xflre
NTM NA NA
8.8x 5.Sx
LTM
NTM NA NA NA
21 .Ox
NA NA NA
35.9x
uSwitch1
iVillage
EW
NBC
NA
14.6x 6.7x
Scripps Universal
dMarc
Broadcasting4
Green
1238
plc
1258
485
2.600
NA
8.lx 43.3x 11.3x
PrlceGrabbercom Skype IGN
Intermix
GUS
eBay
NA NA
13Ox
NA
19.4x
NA NA NA NA
37.4x
485
2600
650 575 560 667 350
News Corp News Corp
E.W. eBay
corn Experian lrlterActiveCorp Scripps
NA
41.9x
650
571
NA
4.8x 4.0x 3.9x
72x
6.6x 4.9x 2.9x 7.lx
ShopziIla Shopping.com
LowerMyslils
NM
28.Ox 24.3x
560 524 350
168x 189x
Ask
FIickr
NA
4.8x
Jeeves
NA
21.9x
NA
15Sx
1966
50
1858
50 410 415 456
160
Yahoo
NA
10.Ox 10.4x 6.4x 6.5x 3.7x
11.
About.com Rent.con Marketwatcj MusieMatch
Pricerunner.com Kelkoc
Inc
NA NA NA
4.8x
New
eBay
NA
30.Ox
York Times
NA
23.Ox
410 415
Dow
NA
52.9x
Jones
Co
NA
23.lx
512 160 29 576
Yahooj
ValueClick
NA NA
6.2x 5.5x
NA
166x
37.lx
NA NA
222x
54.9x
27 556
Yahoo
eBay
lx
PayPal
1532
1406
10.lx
NM
Median.
..VJt..
LH...
Analyst calculated on research as of reports
...4
.J
..
ioJo1..
6H
51...
72x
Source
.H .I1i
SEC
filings
and
press
releases.
LTM
Based
June
2005. of
estimated as
CYO5 revenues CYO4 and NTM
based
on
560mm
as
and CYO6 CYOS.
LTM
revenues
of
$200mm.
calculated
calculated
Transaction
value
$IO2MM
cash
transaction
value
and
indudes
$1.IBN
in
contingent
payments.
ci
11
CONFIDENTIAL
-n
Selected Transactions Analysis
lii
$MM
Yellow
Statistic
Multiple
Reference
Range
High
Implied
Equity
Value High
Low
SM1ASMAW
CY2007E
$150
9.Ox
Low
13.Ox
$1350
$1949
Adjusted Forward
for
Yellow net cash
statisflcs for
of
$O.OMM
based on
on
management
data
for
the period
ended
September
financial
Yellow
30
2006.
based
calendar
year 2007E
financlals
F.
Implied
CA
valuation
range of $1.4BN
to
$2.OBN
based on selected transaLtion
statistics
CREDIT
SuIsss
12
CONFIDENTIAL
Illustrative
11 in -I
Yellow
DCF AnalyLis
Discounted
Cash Flow
Analysis
Rate
Equity
ValuG
$MM
$4000
$.500
$3144
$3000
$2908
$2500
$2000
$1500
$1000
$500
$0
Li
9Ox
11.Ox 13.Ox 9.Ox 11.Ox 13.Ox 9.Ox 11.Qx 13.Ox
DCF
analysis
implies
valuationrange
for
Yellow
of $2.1
SN
$3.4BN
Cd Cd
CREDIT
SUISS
13
CONFIDENTIAL
Illustrative
.1
DCF
Sensitivity
growth
on Financial Performance
Sensitivity
-I
based on revenue
and EBITDA margin
Illustrative
DCF
Valuation
Range
_________________
$366
CYO7E
CY1 1E Revenue
$576
CAGR $90fl
$1406
75%
R1
Note
CYOT-
CYTI
CAGR
25%
40%
40.0%
$834
$1268
$1973
$2963
45.0%
941
1431
2225
3339
1138
1735
L2701
2729
4067
55.0%
1156
1755
4091
60.0%
1264
1918
2981
4467
Sased
on
22.5% discount base
rate
end
I.Ox
terminal
EBI7DA
mu/tip/a.
Denotes
case
Cl Cl
CREDiT Su
-a
iss
14
CONFIDENTIAL
Green Pro Forma Transaction Impact
$MM
except
per
share
amounts
Green Yellow
Projections Net Income
0Y2007E
$4294.8
CY2003E
$5595.3
0Y2007E
CY200BE
$80.7
ElS
Annualized Weighted P/E
$13.00
$16.94 24.8x
Average
Shares
MM
330.4
330.4
J1j
MM
51653
3.9
at
JJ__I
11
Wfllbii
_____
1I
______________________________________________________________________
1.2%
AcomtonqDflution flti
I1
PTSyns
$22
NM
32.Sx
24.8x
$1.136
2.7
0.8%
NM
NM
$2.4
24.7
2005
4.8
1.5% $35 ..
NM
$2.6
24.6
Note
Does
treatment
nocrerwct
she
potential
Impact
of
cartilii. of Intangibles data provided
accounting tax
and
nancjei
tmactio
other
$1
variables
-
-
Inciuuing
depreciation based based on on
of
and
amortization
among others
Items.
In
equity
compensation
charges/benefits
end
aspense
excess
purohasa
price
nOn.recurrlng/tmnsaciJon
Yellow Green
projections projections on on on cuirent Green Green
Green
Management
Welsel Green
October dated
72006. 14
Assumes 2008
MM
IBES
and
$3MM
or
interest
hoome
and
Thomas
$420.Vflfor
2007
and
2008
respeotwely.
analyst
research
September
and
Based
Based
consensus
for
2007
2008.
pria
tax
rate
as of October
200
reaotlvel
of
292%. of304.4MM
from
Based
stares
outstanding
10-0
for
the
period
ended
June
30
2006
and
options
echeduie
from
10.0
for
tire
period
ended
June
30.2006.
Co
Co Co
CREDIT Suissr
15
CONFIDENTIAL
Appendix
A.
Discounted
Cash Flow
Analysis
Detail
CREDITSUISSE
16
CONFIDENTIAL
Illustrative
Yellow
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Detail
DCF Assumptions
Management Base Case DCF Analysis
0MM. excent Der share amountnI
Yellow CY2007E CY2008E Projetjons GY2009E CY2OIOE CY2OI1E Oemsna $150
%Grov.lh
Yr.
Income
Statement and margin assumptions
projections IE
Revenue
based
CAGR 07E-IIE
on Green
management
57% CAGR ftom 2007E-201 35%
operating to
Revenue $299 99% EBITDA $477 60%
246 $651
margins
by
in
2007E
$902 33% 496 55%
451
57%
rising
50%
2011
43% 374 55% 340 50%
Me gin
EBIT
67 45% 52
Tax Cash
rate of
144 48%
120
35%
52% 215 45%
Flow Management equals 10%
to
MargIn
35%
71%
assumes
of sales
In
DA
2007E
expense
declining
40%
Tax Effect
rex Rate
50%
35%
34 Amortization 15 10%
in
35% 78
24
5%
by termInal
In-line
year 2011
WOPAT
Plus
Depreciation
35%
140 31
35%
221 84
35% 293 45 5%
Capex
with
DA
expense does
not
71%
Assumes
have
flow
net
working
capital
%Margh Loss 8%
Capital Expenditures
meaningful
impact
on free cash
7%
5%
Unlevered
Gro.4h
fj
$34
$78 128%
Discount $140 80%
$221
Free
Cash
Flow
Rate
and
Terminal
of
MultIples
$293 33%
71%
Assumes
WACC
58%
range
20
25%
of
Terminal
EBITDA
exit
multiple
9-
3x
Discount
Terminal
Illustrative
Rate Forward EB1TDA
Wet Multiple
Preent
Value
as of December 22.5%
31
2006 25.0%
200%
9.Ox 15.2x 7.6% 11.Ox
13.Ox.
9.0
15.2x 10.2%
Imp/led implied
Un/avers
Petpetu
fly
11.Ox
13.Ox
/ncome
Rate
9.Ox
Itox
18.6x
Multiple
l3.Ox
18.6x 10.9%
22.Ox
Growth
16x
124%
$281
22.Ox
11.6%
l2x
12.6%
22.0 16.4%
14.0%
PV
14.8%
of Unlevered TermInal A9gregate
FCP
value
0Y2007E CY2OI1E
CY2O1OE
Beyond
$296 ij.a $2448
PVof
Implied
$296
$296
2i.
$2927
Value
1Q
$3405
$281
$281
2422
$2263 $2703
2.
$3144 $3144 91%
$267
$267
$267
L24
$2.095
Less
Implied
242
$2908
NetDebvoasht
Equltyvalue
to
$2502
$2448 45%
of
Pfemiun1/0Jscouf
Based on
Yellow
$2927
77% October
Offer
$345
106%
$2263 37%
$2703 64%
$2095 27%
$2502
82%
$2il
76%
net
cash
$0OMM
ed on managemeni
data
provided
2005.
17
a.
CONPIDENTAL
-I
Weighted Average Cost of Capital Analysis
-I
Stock
Price
FD
Equity
Company
Capitalization Debt
Reta
Debt
Equity
WACC
Cost
Equity
01141
Assuming
Debt/Total
Varying
Levels
10/B/OS
quiLy%
LK2ifl
t2
Leades 52939
25.47
1%9l
.qsc
100.0% 96.0% 91.0%
ik4
$0 768
1%
1.933 1.929 1.822
Asit
Size
Current
of
Cap 10.0% 20.0%
Asset
Premium
WACC
0.0%
t$4j
18.5% 18.6% 18.5% 18.5% 17.7%
Intwnet
eBeyDec.
Yahoot
$42400 37107 13899
0.0% 2.0% 9.8%
Ceo.
1.933
0.4% 0.4% 07%
18.1% 18.0% 17.8%
Amazon.compo
1953
1.833
18.1% 18.1% 18.4%
17.5% 17.5% 17.8%
16.9% 16.9% 17.2%
3259
1367
185%
n
Ihse Co ntst and Consumer Sevftes
$89.98
flJ
0.9% 1.5% 1.7%
Morsaterwordvade
Realfletworlcs
Dec.
litigation
$5309 2119
1.727
99.6% 95.5% 100.0% 91.4% 100.0% 100.0%
$21 100
0.4% 4.7% 0.0%
1.649 1.410 1.649 1.933 1.300
Dec.
1.645 1.370 1.849 1.826 1.300
18.5% 14.8% 16.5%
11.34 24.11 9.85 21.17 26.91
164%
14.5% 16.5% 17.7% 14.0% 16.5%
17.3% 15.8% 18.2% 18.9% 16.3% 19.2% P4Paas.ttm
17.3%
16.8% 16.6% 17.7% 18.9%
16.3% 15.1% 17.2% 18.3% 15.5%
NotfllxDoo.
160%
18.2% 19.5% 18.3%
CNETNOtWQjlsec
Knot
1517 643 522
143
Qoe.
94% 00% 00%
185%
14.0% 16.5%
17%
2.3% 2.8%
BankreteDao.
L1I4.
Convens Sasod Based Based Size on on on premle
frosted
tili. caE
dated
of
1649
649
159%
ftPR4
vflFUitmasts
nnena
19.2%
...
18.7%
182%
as debt researok
tax rate
SARRA
margins
beesty.year
Ootobor
2oo6
38%
of
U.S.
Treasury lbboson
data.
477%
as olOctober
boss
25
and
equitynlarliet
risk
premium
0f7.10%.
2008
Soacce
eroombea
C.
CREDIT Sut
Ce
v-n
SS
18
CONFIDENTIAL
Appendix
B.
Green Overview
CREDITSUISS
19
CONFIDENTIAL
-C
Green Trading Performance
January 2005 through October
2006
December
Price Current Closing Price High January
17 2006
agreement
for to acquire up-front in
Aveiacje Period
Statistics
Mnounces 20
2005 dMerc
Price
Voiunie
Sroadoasting
or
an
OOO
and Current
Lost
1016/06
Price Price
$420.50 471.63 174.99
Volume
Announced
strategic
$IBN
investment
for
in
consideration potential three
3102MM
of
cash
over
$420.50 Days 410.70 407.27 396.24 389.89 393.31
7335 5753 5398 5604 5766 5855
1/11106
earnout
$1.IBN
GODs
150000 140000 130000
$500
Closing
Low
3/1405 COOs
an
effectIve
5%
stake
years
Lest Last
Time
Wamers
AOL March 312006
10 Days 30 60 90 Days Days Days
Average
Volume
10077
Last Last
$450
October Announces
strategic
2005
muiti-year
hares
agreement promote and Java the
with
Sun
to
November
29
2005
technology
120000 110000
Chair
of the Audit
$400
Green
Toolbar
Committee
100000
$350
90000
February
20.
2006 statement George on
August
Announces
with
2006 agreement be
the
$300
Issues to
press
80000
August 282006
Announces
multi-year with exclusive provider the fer
ciarl
CFO
Foxto
Reyess revenue
comments
growth
exclusive
search
targeted
and agreement
trends
keyword
advertising
eBey
to
70000 60000 50000 40000
beoome
for advertising
$250
.1
provider properties
Foxs web August10
Files
ebay 2005
Including
outside
US
Myspace
for of
in
exchange
registration with the
revenue
at
share
payments
statement
SEC
of of
October Appoints Tlighman
Princeton
its
2005
Dr. Shirley of to
least
3900MM
$200
fcra
public
offering
14159255
Ciass
shares
President University of Directors
common
stock
Board
30000 20000
10
hiiii
$150
IL
Ii
000
IlIiIIIIIIIIiIII
III
IIIiIIIIHIIIIIIrIlIIrdIIiIpl
11111
hut
nhIpIIiIIIIiIpuIiI
1511
ildIIIIIlllIbkiIla.
$100
8/810
10/18/05
12/29/05
3/14/06
5/24/06
8/4/06
Source Note
Fsctset
Denotes
earnings
date.
20
CONFIDENTIAL
Green Summary of Analyst Estimates
rn -I
Date ershara amelia analyst Pir.e LI Growth Rate Eotimatos for
FY Ended
Ductarter
fl.
Company Needham
$sarsteams
________
FY2006E
Revenue
FY20U/E
ESIIDA FY2008E
FYZODSE F12007E
Hecomncrndotion
Target
%J
_______ FY2OUBE
__________
FV200CtE $9.94
BPS FY200/E
$11.55 12.64 12.87 11.40 12.94 11.75 13.00 P12110CC
10/8/06 19/5/06 19/4/08 9/25/06 9/19106 9/19/06 -I9i14/ot 9/1408
Buy Buy Buy Hold
Equity
$490.00
$7020
7.033 16.0%
$9556 10265 10619 9575
11414
$4441
$8023
52500
455.00 450.00 520.00
$13529
4433
WA
198
403 4$6
6241
5.681
88542
8.74 10.2$
1683
Hambreohl
7149 7054
3974 4031 4318 4523 4339 4414
9.00 9.12 9.94 9.94
Pnldenual Slantord
Group Group Partners
Buy Bux Buy Buy Buy Buy
600%
73 69091
7.103
Financial
51500
9188 9687 9682
9.923
Thomas%eSel Cowan
8195
6221
Company
3Q%
600.00 35.0%
6.922
956
8.9$
1223 1137 1228 1328
13.25 14.10 17.59
TWP
for
used
9/14/00 9/13/06 GIll/OS 8/2606
Piper/affray JPMorgar RBQCopltal Giubal Crown Markets Cap/si
7080
6110
2007
2U
46500
500.00 540.00 525.00 23.0% 16.0% 7.146 6.933 10.401
ljnancial analysis.
Buy Buy Buy
4471
3921
430 5479
6.275
10.16 10.20
300%
9827
16237
Consensus used 2008
financIal analysis. for
8/28/06 8/16/06 8/16/06 6/14/06 8/8106 8/8/08 8/1/06 7/3006 7/27/06 7/24/06 7/24/06 7/2406 7/fl/OS 7/V/OS 7/fl/Os 7/fl/OS 7/V/OS 7/fl/OS 7/21/06 7/21106 7/21/06 7/21/06 7/21/06 7/14/06
Oenhofrnrsr
7058
13274
4342 4418
8153
10.17 9.76
9.91
080
Worid
Marko
Buy SlrongBuy Buy Buy
7h135
7471 7.214
9666 11513
10431
5855
1275
11.41
GiobalEqutifasResearob
6952 14014 14384
3J8731 5.076
14.80
Mc.an
Jefferles
Stanley
9265
10.11
13.66 14.10 1.PA9J
500.00
320%
30.0%
7080 7042 7034 7209
10396 9360 9915
4470
4.272
0557 5873 5604
.-
10.04 9.85 7.250 6.90
William
Blair
Soy Underpe/orna Buy Buy Strong Strong Buy Buy Buy Buy 500.00
Guaman
i3f
Oompaury
.9J..I
4.356
93J
14.521 13.20 13.58 13.24 13.10 13.14 11.46 13.28 14.44 17.62
PtrslGlobalstockbrowng Jackson
Securities
1017
7389
i.piJ
4942i
10.46 9.84
kgus Carls
Research
Comoany
Partners
Buy
7275
6981 7071
10833 9.831 10387 10428
14271
9.97
ThinkEquity
4341 3996 4465
6011
1030
9.65 9.90 8.75
JMP
Securtles Brothers
5735 6522
Lehman
Mardi
Pacific
7003
Bay 500.00 25.0%
Lynch Crest
Securities
Suong
Bay Hold
7254 6930
10641
4449
5466
8.90 9.67
Soi
Silts
9810
10031
1265 1316
14.24 12.62 11.87 12.70 12.48 16.02 13.57 15.92
Nicolaus
Strong Hold StrongBuy Buy cc. Buy
Buy 525.00
7035 7409
4457
4.289
5703 6377
994 1989
9.76
OMocapllalMarkets
Citigroup
10833
FirsiAlbany Goldman Susquehanna Nnerican Technology Research Baths
515.00
40.0%
7.134
10342 10310
4492 18578 4356 4408
12.858
6387 6118 6630 7038
7.0221
8.99
7125 7050
7907
8.76
9976
10887
1G09 986
Buy
WSfl
snureen
1rMM IMSWI
SEE teen
stallsrica.
MTh fl
7219
4499
1395
CJ
15.10
Eloonberg
euckuded ty
Pa/set eases
and
Ofnttee
High
estimate
Low
estimate
Co C.
CREDIT
Suiss
21
CONFIDENTIAL
C.
11
Green_Summary Income Statement
MM
except per share
amounts
Green
FY2005/\ Quarterly Financial
Iii
Performance FY2006E
Green
Annual
Performance
-1 Mar-USA
Net
Fl Ended Dec-USE 2005A1
Deceniber 2006E 2007E
Jun-USA $890
Sep-05A $1049
Dec-USA $1290 Ill 1144
157 155
Mar06A
$1531
Jun-06A $1871
Sep-06E
Revenue
Sold
$795
$1800
Cost of Goods GrDss
Profit
$2100
$4024
1Q
711
J2
925
152
$7103
$9887
fl
1352
174 175
767
96 97
2Q
14891
2121 182
21
1582 229 196 1846 249 263
4ZI
3567
484 440
RD SM SM
Operating
8250
864 617
8891
79
83
1189 1167 5485
105 22 576 21
22 Income 492 523
iii 718 888
iiI
925
1005
135 1140
1157
2308
3973
Plus
Depreciation
12Q
514
ES
IT
DA Income
Income Taxes Expense
11I
1305
548 UAI 505 Liz 358
$1.25
590 12P 543
672
12fl
1029
1051
26241
4523
6196
Interest
122 786 955 1031 1111 1273
Pretax
598
Income
2432
Thu
4370
6063
Net Income
22
381
437
$1.51
469
$1.54 304.0
697
$2.29 304.1
22
3116
$9.94 313.5
7721
$2.49
770
$2.42 317.4
879
$2.7 322.4
EPS
Average
IB/EIS
16461
$5.64
4295
$13.00
330.4
$1.33 287.2
Shares
286.6
2597
310.01
2919
EPS
$2.42
$2.78
$9.95
$13.07
Marains
Gross
Profit
RD
GSA
Operating Income
90% 10% 10% 7% 62% 69% 29% 45%
86% 11% 11%
88% 14% 10% 9% 65% 64% 27% 42%
89% 12% 12%
88% 11% 11% 8% 58% 67%
68% 13% 11%
88% 13% 11% 8% 55%
86% 12% 13% 8% 55%
89% 12% 11% 8%
88% 12% 11%
88% 12% 12%
____
6% 59% 68% 30% 43%
____
9% 56% 63% 40% 36%
EBITCA
Tax Rate Net Income
if
.22tJ.
9%I
A.
31% 43%
ai.
31% 42% 32% 41%
27% 45%
25%
a_
58% 29% 44% 77% 72% 76%
8%
_____
9%
65%
48%
88% 9% 77% 4% 88%
29%
43%
Growth
Revenue Revenue
Rates
V/V
22%
27% 12% 113%
30% 18%
106%
25% 23%
114%
93% 19% 81% 24% 83% 48%
QJQ
income
23%
VA
0/0 113%
72% 8% 75% 9% 81%
63% 17% 61% 15% 77% 12%
IOe4
IOG9Zt
39%
38%
EPS C.
Opnthg WY
Q/Q
Income
47% 421% 76%
6%
342%
10% 694% 14% 14 2006.
25%
117%
EPS
6% dad
September
2%
11391
31%
3%
Projections
based
on Thomas
Wolsel
analyst
research
CREDIT
Suiss
22
CONFIDENTIAL
C.
_________
-Il
-I
CS does
written
to
not
provide
be used
herein
relates.
any tax advice. Any tax statement herein regarding and cannot be used by any taxpayer for the purpose
written to support the marketing or promotion
any
US
federal
tax
is
not
intended
or
of avoiding
statement statement independent These may
was
any
penalties. or
Any such
to which
of the
transactions
particular
matters
the
Each taxpayer should
advisor. been
provided
for
seek advice
based on
the
taxpayers
circumstances
from an
tax
to you by Credit Suisse in connection with an actual or potential mandate or engagement and other than as specifically contemplated by any purpose written agreement with CS. In addition these materials may not be disclosed in whole or in part or summarized or otherwise referred to except as agreed in writing by CS. The information used in preparing these materials was obtained from or through you or your or from public representatives sources. CS assumes no responsibility for independent verification of such information and has relied on such information and accurate being complete in all material To the extent such information respects. includes estimates and forecasts of future financial performance including estimates of potential cost savings and synergies prepared by or reviewed or discussed with the managements of your company and/or other potential transaction or obtained from public sources we have assumed that such estimates participants and forecasts have been reasonably prepared on bases reflecting the best currently available estimates and judgments of such managements with respect to or estimates and forecasts obtained from public sources reasonable estimates. represent These materials were designed for use by specific persons familiar with the business and the affairs of your company and CS assumes no to update obligation or otherwise revise these materials. contained Nothing herein should be construed as tax accounting or legal advice. You and each of your employees representatives or other agents may disclose to any and all persons without limitation of any kind the tax treatment and tax structure of the transactions contemplated by these materials and all materials of any kind Including opinions or other tax analyses that are provided to you to such tax treatment and structure. relating For this purpose the tax treatment of transaction is the purported or claimed U.S. federal income tax treatment of the transaction and the tax structure of transaction is any fact that may be relevant to understanding the U.S. federal purported or claimed income tax treatment of the transaction. not
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